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We analyse the consequences of carbon price heterogeneity on households in The EU from 2010 to 2020. Accounting for both heterogeneity in carbon pricing across emission sources and the indirect effects from inter-industry linkages, we obtain two key findings. First, due to widespread carbon pricing exemptions, household burdens are lower than previously estimated. Second, lower-income groups are affected disproportionately, because they spend a smaller share of their expenditure on products that benefit from exemptions than their higher-income counterparts. Therefore, imposing uniform carbon prices both within and across countries would reduce carbon pricing regressivity on household expenditure in the EU. A global price would be most effective in this regard, as it would raise carbon prices embodied in EU imports. Further, because EU economies are open and apply higher average carbon prices than their trade partners, the domestic revenues exceed the costs embodied in EU household consumptions bundles. This increases the scope for reducing the burden of carbon pricing on lower-income households through revenue redistribution. Our results imply that the ongoing extension of carbon pricing to more sectors through the EU ETS II and the introduction of the EU’s CBAM should make carbon pricing less regressive, all else equal.
Environment and Development --- Environment and Trade --- Environmental Accounts and Accounting --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Environmental Equity --- Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Household --- Pollution Control Adoption and Costs • Distributional Effects • Employment Effects --- Population Growth --- Sustainability --- Taxation and Subsidies: Incidence
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Following the 2022 energy crisis, this paper investigates whether Europe’s ongoing efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions can also enhance its energy security. The global computational general equilibrium model analysis finds that individual policy tools, including carbon pricing, energy efficiency standards, and accelerated permitting procedures for renewables, tend to improve energy security. Compared to carbon pricing, sector-specific regulations deliver larger energy security gains and spread those more evenly across countries, benefitting also some fossil-fuel-intensive economies in Central and Eastern Europe. This finding strengthens the case for a broad climate policy package, which can both achieve Europe’s emissions-reduction goals and deliver sizeable energy security co-benefits. An illustrative package, which would cut emissions in the EU, UK, and EFTA by 55 percent with respect to 1990 levels by 2030, is estimated to improve the two energy security metrics used in this paper by close to 8 percent already by 2030. Beyond the policies analyzed in the model, the paper also discusses the technology, market design, and supply chain reforms that Europe needs for an energy-secure green transition.
Climate change --- Climate policy --- Climate --- Climatic changes --- Economics --- Economywide Country Studies: Europe --- Emissions trading --- Energy --- Environment --- Environmental Economics --- Environmental economics --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Environmental management --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Environmental Policy --- Environmental policy --- Exports and Imports --- Global Warming --- Imports --- International agencies --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Economics --- International economics --- International institutions --- International organization --- International Organizations --- International trade --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Natural Resources --- Natural resources --- Non-renewable resources --- Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: General --- Political Economy --- Political economy --- Public Policy --- Trade: General
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