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Biblioteca Nacional (Portugal) --- Portugal --- History --- Social life and customs --- Biblioteca Nacional de Portugal --- BNP --- National Library (Portugal) --- Portugal. --- Biblioteca Nacional de Lisboa --- Portugalii︠a︡ --- República Portuguesa --- Portugalia --- Portogalia --- Portogallo --- Portugali --- Sefarad --- Lusitania (Portugal) --- Portuguese Republic --- البرتغال --- al-Burtughāl --- برتغال --- Burtughāl --- الجمهورية البرتغالية --- al-Jumhūrīyah al-Burtughālīyah --- جمهورية البرتغالية --- Jumhūrīyah al-Burtughālīyah --- 葡萄牙 --- Putaoya --- 葡萄牙共和国 --- Putaoya Gongheguo --- Portugalsko --- Portugalská republika --- République portugaise --- Portugiesische Republik --- Portugál Köztársaság --- Repubblica Portoghese --- ポルトガル共和国 --- Porutogaru Kyōwakoku --- 포르투갈 --- P'orŭt'ugal --- 포르투갈공화국 --- P'orŭt'ugal Konghwaguk --- پرتغال --- Purtughāl --- جمهوري پرتغال --- Jumhūrī-i Purtughāl --- Republika Portugalska --- Португалия --- Португальская Республика --- Portugalʹskai︠a︡ Respublika --- Portekiz --- Portekiz Cumhuriyeti --- Republica Portugheză --- ポルトガル --- Porutogaru --- פורטוגל --- Portugal - History - Revolution, 1910 --- Portugal - Social life and customs - 20th century --- Portugal - History - Revolution, 1910 - Bibliography - Catalogs --- Portugal - Social life and customs - 20th century - Bibliography - Catalogs
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This book is about elicitation: the facilitation of the quantitative expression of subjective judgement about matters of fact, interacting with subject experts, or about matters of value, interacting with decision makers or stakeholders. It offers an integrated presentation of procedures and processes that allow analysts and experts to think clearly about numbers, particularly the inputs for decision support systems and models. This presentation encompasses research originating in the communities of structured probability elicitation/calibration and multi-criteria decision analysis, often unaware of each other’s developments. Chapters 2 through 9 focus on processes to elicit uncertainty from experts, including the Classical Method for aggregating judgements from multiple experts concerning probability distributions; the issue of validation in the Classical Method; the Sheffield elicitation framework; the IDEA protocol; approaches following the Bayesian perspective; the main elements of structured expert processes for dependence elicitation; and how mathematical methods can incorporate correlations between experts. Chapters 10 through 14 focus on processes to elicit preferences from stakeholders or decision makers, including two chapters on problems under uncertainty (utility functions), and three chapters that address elicitation of preferences independently of, or in absence of, any uncertainty elicitation (value functions and ELECTRE). Two chapters then focus on cross-cutting issues for elicitation of uncertainties and elicitation of preferences: biases and selection of experts. Finally, the last group of chapters illustrates how some of the presented approaches are applied in practice, including a food security case in the UK; expert elicitation in health care decision making; an expert judgement based method to elicit nuclear threat risks in US ports; risk assessment in a pulp and paper manufacturer in the Nordic countries; and elicitation of preferences for crop planning in a Greek region.
Elicitation. --- Judgment. --- Judgement --- Business. --- Production management. --- Operations research. --- Management science. --- Business and Management. --- Operations Research/Decision Theory. --- Operations Research, Management Science. --- Operations Management. --- Knowledge, Theory of --- Language and languages --- Psychology --- Thought and thinking --- Wisdom --- Interviewing --- Technique --- Manufacturing management --- Industrial management --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Decision making. --- Quantitative business analysis --- Management --- Problem solving --- Operations research --- Statistical decision --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Decision making
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arbeidsveiligheid --- gezondheidszorg --- veiligheid bouw --- Conferences - Meetings
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This book is about elicitation: the facilitation of the quantitative expression of subjective judgement about matters of fact, interacting with subject experts, or about matters of value, interacting with decision makers or stakeholders. It offers an integrated presentation of procedures and processes that allow analysts and experts to think clearly about numbers, particularly the inputs for decision support systems and models. This presentation encompasses research originating in the communities of structured probability elicitation/calibration and multi-criteria decision analysis, often unaware of each other’s developments. Chapters 2 through 9 focus on processes to elicit uncertainty from experts, including the Classical Method for aggregating judgements from multiple experts concerning probability distributions; the issue of validation in the Classical Method; the Sheffield elicitation framework; the IDEA protocol; approaches following the Bayesian perspective; the main elements of structured expert processes for dependence elicitation; and how mathematical methods can incorporate correlations between experts. Chapters 10 through 14 focus on processes to elicit preferences from stakeholders or decision makers, including two chapters on problems under uncertainty (utility functions), and three chapters that address elicitation of preferences independently of, or in absence of, any uncertainty elicitation (value functions and ELECTRE). Two chapters then focus on cross-cutting issues for elicitation of uncertainties and elicitation of preferences: biases and selection of experts. Finally, the last group of chapters illustrates how some of the presented approaches are applied in practice, including a food security case in the UK; expert elicitation in health care decision making; an expert judgement based method to elicit nuclear threat risks in US ports; risk assessment in a pulp and paper manufacturer in the Nordic countries; and elicitation of preferences for crop planning in a Greek region.
Operational research. Game theory --- Mathematical statistics --- Planning (firm) --- Production management --- Computer. Automation --- Bayesian statistics --- management --- mathematische modellen --- productie --- speltheorie --- econometrie --- operationeel onderzoek
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This book showcases a large variety of multiple criteria decision applications (MCDAs), presenting them in a coherent framework provided by the methodology chapters and the comments accompanying each case study. The chapters describing MCDAs invite the reader to experiment with MCDA methods and perhaps develop new variants using data from these case studies or other cases they encounter, equipping them with a broader perception of real-world problems and how to overcome them with the help of MCDAs.
Economics/Management Science. --- Operation Research/Decision Theory. --- Operations Research, Management Science. --- Finance/Investment/Banking. --- Economics. --- Operations research. --- Economie politique --- Recherche opérationnelle --- Management --- Business & Economics --- Management Theory --- Multiple criteria decision making. --- Decision making with multiple objectives --- MCDM (Decision making) --- Multiattribute decisions --- Multicriteria decision analysis --- Multicriteria decision making --- Multicriteria decision making analysis --- Multiobjective decision making --- Multiple objective decision making --- Business. --- Decision making. --- Finance. --- Management science. --- Business and Management. --- Finance, general. --- Decision making --- Operations Research/Decision Theory. --- Funding --- Funds --- Economics --- Currency question --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory --- Quantitative business analysis --- Problem solving --- Operations research --- Statistical decision --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology)
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