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Libya's economic stability should be a priority for the international community. Although the private sector is an integral part of the Libyan economy, limited systematic information is available on how the prolonged conflict in Libya affected the private sector and the implications for a postconflict recovery. Using original survey data, The Private Sector amid Conflict aims to fill this gap by analyzing how the private sector has coped with the conflict and examining resilience and postconflict optimism. The conflict has profoundly affected the Libyan private sector. The conflict-induced macroeconomic crisis has generated a liquidity crisis, weakening the banking sector. Firms' revenues, jobs,and production have been reduced and value chains have been disrupted. The conflict has distorted the business environment, undermining the rule of law, reducing accountability, and affecting service delivery. Not all fi rms have been negatively affected, however. The conflict-induced changes to competition, access to inputs and markets, innovations, and informal activities tend to affect different types of fi rms differently. Overall, the private sector shows signs of resilience and optimism for a postconflict recovery. The analysis in the book draws on novel data and other conflict experiences. The results presented offer suggestions for policy actions to address private sector constraints amid conflict and in the postconflict era.

Banking Sector --- Business Environment --- Conflict-Affected States --- Liquidity --- Macroeconomic Crisis --- Oil Dependency --- Postwar Reconstruction --- Postwar Recovery --- Private Sector --- Rule of Law --- Value Chain

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This paper explores the link between jobs, access to Finance, and informality. Using longitudinal firm-level data for countries in the Middle East and North Africa, it documents that jobs creation is positively associated with access to finance. At the same time, the findings show that access to finance is lower for firms that are more exposed to competition from informal firms. As a possible mechanism underlying this result, the paper provides evidence that firms that suffer informal competition have worse expectations on future sales growth, which in turn are associated with fewer loan applications.

Job creation.

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