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Banks' foreign credit exposures and borrowers' rollover risks : measurement, evolution and determinants
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ISBN: 9781475589481 1475589484 9781475544602 147554460X 9781475548310 1475548311 147551932X 1299264514 Year: 2013 Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund,

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The recent crises highlighted the role of cross-border banking linkages. This paper proposes two new measures for better capturing creditor banking systems’ foreign credit exposures and borrower countries’ reliance on foreign bank credit, by combining BIS data with bank-level data. The results indicate that the proposed refinements matter, especially when foreign bank affiliates’ funding relies heavily on local deposits. In addition, after developing novel and necessary break-in-series and exchange rate variation adjustments, estimations looking at the driving factors of both measures during 2006-2012 highlight: (i) the role of systemic banking crises and global financial conditions in the evolution of banks’ foreign credit exposures; (ii) the role of a larger set of factors in the case of the evolution of borrower countries’ reliance on foreign bank credit—how countries borrowed, from whom they borrowed, and global financial and domestic demand conditions.


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Bankers without borders? : implications of ring-fencing for European cross-border banks
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ISBN: 1462397093 1455299103 1283562316 9786613874764 1455210390 Year: 2010 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents a stylized analysis of the effects of ring-fencing (i.e., different restrictions on cross-border transfers of excess profits and/or capital between a parent bank and its subsidiaries located in different jurisdictions) on cross-border banks. Using a sample of 25 large European banking groups with subsidiaries in Central, Eastern and Southern Europe (CESE), we analyze the impact of a CESE credit shock on the capital buffers needed by the sample banking groups under different forms of ring-fencing. Our simulations show that under stricter forms of ring-fencing, sample banking groups have substantially larger needs for capital buffers at the parent and/or subsidiary level than under less strict (or in the absence of any) ring-fencing.


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Systemic Risks in Global Banking
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Year: 2012 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research

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Changes in prudential policy instruments : a new cross-country database
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Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, District of Columbia : International Monetary Fund,

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Changes in prudential policy instruments : a new cross-country database
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ISBN: 1475535457 Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, District of Columbia : International Monetary Fund,

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The need for "un-consolidating" consolidated banks' stress tests
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ISBN: 1475529961 1475519052 1475561962 1475560591 9781475529968 9781475519051 9781475560596 9781475519051 9781475560596 9781475561968 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The recent crisis has spurred the use of stress tests as a (crisis) management and early warning tool. However, a weakness is that they omit potential risks embedded in the banking groups’ geographical structures by assuming that capital and liquidity are available wherever they are needed within the group. This assumption neglects the fact that regulations differ across countries (e.g., minimum capital requirements), and, more importantly, that home/host regulators might limit flows of capital or liquidity within a group during periods of stress. This study presents a framework on how to integrate this risk element into stress tests, and provides illustrative calculations on the size of the potential adjustments needed in the presence of some limits on intragroup flows for banks included in the June 2011 EBA stress tests.


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Are Foreign Banks a 'Safe Haven'? Evidence from Past Banking Crises
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ISBN: 1498381227 Year: 2015 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The presence of foreign banks in emerging markets has increased markedly over the last two decades, raising questions about their potentially stabilizing or destabilizing role during times of financial distress. Most studies on this subject have focused on banks’ asset side (i.e., their lending behavior). This paper focuses on their liability side, studying the behavior of depositors vis-à-vis foreign banks. We rely on data from the banking crises in Argentina and Uruguay over the period 1994-2002 to conduct the study. The paper focuses on three questions; (i) are foreign banks perceived as a safe haven during bank runs?; (ii) does their legal structure (branch versus subsidiary) matter?; (iii) do perceptions depend on the nature of the crisis? Contrary to the commonly held view that foreign banks play a stabilizing role during domestic banking crises, we do not find robust evidence in this regard. Only in one (large) bank run episode, out of five studied, there is evidence of safe haven perceptions towards foreign branches.


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China's Bond Market and Global Financial Markets
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ISBN: 1484389247 1484389239 Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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A cross-country comparative analysis shows that there is substantial room for further integration of China into global financial markets, especially in the case of the international bond market. A further successful liberalization of the Chinese bond market would encompass not only loosening bond market regulations, but also further developing of other markets, notably the foreign exchange market. Even though the increased integration of China into international capital markets would increase its exposure to the global financial cycle, the costs in terms of monetary autonomy would not be large given China’s size and especially under a well-articulated macroeconomic framework.


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Cross-border Banking and the Circumvention of Macroprudential and Capital Control Measures
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ISBN: 1484379217 1484379187 Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We analyze the joint impact of macroprudential and capital control measures on cross-border banking flows, while controlling for multidimensional aspects in lender-and-borrower-relationships (e.g., distance, cultural proximity, microprudential regulations). We uncover interesting spillover effects from both types of measures when applied either by lender or borrowing countries, with many of them most likely associated with circumvention or arbitrage incentives. While lender countries’ macroprudential policies reduce direct cross-border banking outflows, they are associated with larger outflows through local affiliates. Direct cross-border inflows are higher in borrower countries with more usage of macroprudential policies, and are linked to circumvention motives. In the case of capital controls, most spillovers seem to be present through local affiliates. We do not find evidence to support the idea that additional capital inflow controls could interact with macro-prudential policies to mitigate cross-border spillovers.


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The Global Banking Network: What is Behind the Increasing Regionalization Trend?
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ISBN: 1484346742 1484346726 Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper analyses the nature of the increasing regionalization process in global banking. Despite the large decline in aggregate cross-border banking lending volumes, some parts of the global banking network are currently more interlinked regionally than before the Global Financial Crisis. After developing a simple theoretical model capturing banks' internationalization decisions, our estimation shows that this regionalization trend is present even after controlling for traditional gravitational variables (e.g. distance, language, legal system, etc.), especially among lenders in EMs and non-core banking systems, such as Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Moreover, this regionalization trend was present before the GFC, but it has increased since then, and it seems to be associated with regulatory variables and the opportunities created by the retrenchment of several European lenders.

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