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Book
Assessing Implementation of the Principles for Public Credit Guarantees for SMEs : A Global Survey
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Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Abstract

This paper presents evidence on implementation of the World Bank Group and Financial Sector Reform and Strengthening Initiative "Principles for Public Credit Guarantee Schemes for Small and Medium Enterprises". The evidence is based on a self-assessment of 60 schemes in 54 countries. Overall, the results show a fairly decent level of implementation of the Principles, especially in the areas of legal and regulatory framework, mandate and eligibility rules, and claim management process. The results also show several gaps where reform and actions may be warranted, namely identification and accountability of funding sources, corporate governance and risk management, prudential regulatory recognition of guarantees, program/product calibration, and reporting and disclosure.


Book
Predicting Bank Insolvency in the Middle East and North Africa
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Year: 2014 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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Abstract

This paper uses a panel of annual observations for 198 banks in 19 Middle East and North Africa countries over 2001-12 to develop an early warning system for forecasting bank insolvency based on a multivariate logistic regression framework. The results show that the traditional CAMEL indicators are significant predictors of bank insolvency in the region. The predictive power of the model, both in-sample and out-of-sample, is reasonably good, as measured by the receiver operating characteristic curve. The findings of the paper suggest that banking supervision in the Middle East and North Africa could be strengthened by introducing a fundamentals-based, off-site monitoring system to assess the soundness of financial institutions.


Book
Biodiversity and Finance : A Preliminary Assessment of Physical Risks for the Banking Sector in Emerging Markets
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Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, District of Columbia : World Bank,

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Abstract

Economic activity depends on a flourishing biodiversity and intact environment through the provision of ecosystem services. The depletion of these services poses physical risks for the financial sector. This paper attempts to measure the potential exposure of the banking systems in 20 emerging markets to nature loss through their lending portfolio. The results show that banks in emerging markets allocate around half of their credit portfolio to firms whose business processes are highly or very highly dependent on one or more ecosystem services. The results also provide initial and preliminary evidence that points to a negative correlation between country income level and dependency on ecosystem services. Accounting for indirect dependencies on ecosystem services via supply chains and trade could change this observed relationship, however. Furthermore, the highest dependencies on ecosystem services across countries tend to be on climate regulation and flood and storm protection, indicating the interconnectedness of climate change and nature loss.

Keywords

Biodiversity. --- Finance.


Book
Unlocking SME Finance in Fragile and Conflict Affected Situations
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Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : World Bank,

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Access to finance is a key obstacle for the growth and development of small and medium-sized enterprises in fragile and conflict affected situations. This paper provides empirical evidence on the key macrofinancial and institutional drivers of financial inclusion of small and medium-sized enterprises in a large sample of countries, highlighting the comparative importance of factors affecting countries with and without fragile and conflict affected situations. The results show that macroeconomic and institutional stability, along with reduced informality, banking sector soundness, and improved credit information environment, are associated with higher financial inclusion of small and medium-sized enterprises. The results also show that strengthening the rule of law, government effectiveness, and control of corruption while increasing financial depth and reducing public sector borrowing and banking market concentration could help close the small and medium-sized enterprise financial inclusion gap between fragile and conflict affected situation countries and the best performing countries. These effects are generally stronger in middle-income countries with fragile and conflict affected situations than in low-income countries with fragile and conflict affected situations. The results point to the importance of adopting comprehensive macrofinancial and institutional strategies to improve financial inclusion of small and medium-sized enterprises in countries with fragile and conflict affected situations, tailoring reforms to country contexts.


Book
Climate-Related and Environmental Risks for the Banking Sector in Latin America and the Caribbean : A Preliminary Assessment
Authors: ---
Year: 2021 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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There is increasing recognition that climate-related and environmental risks are a source of financial risks. Using publicly available data, this paper attempts a preliminary estimation of the physical and transition risks for the banking sector in a sample of economies in Latin America and the Caribbean. The results show that exposure to floods, compounded by high loan concentration in and around countries' capital cities, represents the most important source of credit risk for the banking sector. After large-scale natural disasters, banks' nonperforming loans increase by up to 1.4 percentage points in affected provinces. The results also show that banks in the region are exposed to transition risks, especially in Argentina, Bolivia, Paraguay, and Uruguay, due to their high lending to the agriculture sector, which is the largest emitter of greenhouse gases in the countries. Firms operating in transition-sensitive sectors already present signs of financial stress, especially those in the fossil fuel and agriculture sectors. Overall, the results demonstrate the importance for financial authorities in the region to advance in the integration of climate-related and environmental risks in their work.


Book
Benchmarking Costs of Financial Intermediation around the World
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Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The costs of financial intermediation have important consequences for financial development. Using bank-level data for 160 countries during 2005-14, this paper analyzes the composition and sources of bank net interest margins. First, it uses an accounting decomposition framework to provide summary statistics on the size of net interest margins and highlight the cost and profit components in countries, regions, and income groups. Second, it uses regression analysis to examine the underlying bank-level, structural, macroeconomic, and institutional determinants of net interest margins. Finally, the paper uses the results of the econometric analysis to construct country-level bar charts of relative contributing factors to financial intermediation costs. The results provide evidence-based guidance on key areas of structural reforms to reduce the costs of financial intermediation.


Book
Concentration in the Banking Sector and Financial Stability : New Evidence
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Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Theory suggests that the effect of banking market concentration on financial stability is mediated by several competing variables. Using a sample of 68 countries from 1997 to 2015, this paper proposes a unified empirical framework to test for the simultaneous presence and impact of the mediators through which concentration is expected to impact financial stability. The results indicate that the magnitude and net effect of the mediators depend upon the level of concentration. At lower levels of concentration, increasing concentration improves banking system stability via profitability. At higher levels of concentration, increasing concentration makes the banking system more fragile because of the cost of credit, diversification and the ease of monitoring. For intermediate levels, concentration has no significant effect on financial stability, as the competing moderators cancel each other out. The results suggest that an intermediate level of concentration may be optimal for welfare.


Book
An Exploration of Climate-Related Financial Risks for Credit Guarantee Schemes in Europe
Authors: ---
Year: 2022 Publisher: Washington, DC : World Bank,

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This paper assesses the vulnerability of credit guarantee schemes to the physical and transition risks related to climate change. Based on unique sectoral and spatial data from 29 European credit guarantee schemes linked to a range of vulnerability metrics, the paper identifies guarantees-at-risk, builds a transition risk score to rank sectors at risk, and conducts a stylized stress test to assess potential financial losses that credit guarantee schemes could incur under adverse climate-related scenarios. The results show that about one-third of credit guarantee schemes' guarantee portfolios is toward sectors that have high exposure to a disorderly energy transition. European credit guarantee schemes are also exposed to a broad range of climate-related physical risks, especially wildfires, coastal floods, and river floods, with 24-31 percent of outstanding guarantees toward sectors that have elevated exposure to climate change and weather variability. Finally, for transition and physical risk scenarios, the annual expected loss on the guarantee portfolio could increase by EUR 181 million and EUR 128 million, respectively. The results suggest that credit guarantee schemes could start integrating climate-related financial risks into their risk management frameworks.


Book
Bank Competition, Financial Dependence, and Economic Growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council
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Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The relationship between bank competition, firm access to finance, and economic growth is a much debated topic in the economic literature and in policy circles. This paper uses a panel of 23 manufacturing sectors over 2002-10 to investigate the impact of bank competition on industry growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council economies. The results show that greater competition allows financially dependent firms to grow faster. In addition, the results show that lower restrictions on banks' permissible activities, better credit information, and greater institutional effectiveness mitigate the damaging impact of low competition. These results are robust to a variety of checks. The findings suggest that improving bank competition should be an important aspect of the financial sector development agenda in the Gulf Cooperation Council.


Book
Interest Rate Repression : A New Database
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Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Financial repression resurfaced in the wake of the global financial crisis and might become a common feature in the post Covid-19 world. To advance knowledge and inform policy advice, this paper presents a new database on interest rate controls, a popular form of financial repression, based on a survey of 108 countries, representing 88 percent of global gross domestic product. The data cover such aspects of interest rate controls as types of controls, legal basis, intended objectives, methodologies, and enforcement rules. In an attempt to provide a meaningful characterization of the data, the paper also provides a preliminarily estimate of the degree of bindingness of the interest rate control regime in a country and presents simple correlations with other financial repression policies.

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