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International Comparisons of Money Demand : A Review Essay
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ISBN: 1462334970 1455281727 128108879X 9786613774255 1455272531 Year: 1992 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Many studies of the demand for money, covering a wide variety of economies, have demonstrated the importance of financial innovations and shifts in monetary policy regimes, but they have also illustrated the difficulty of measuring and assessing such changes. Because innovations and regime shifts have differed markedly across countries, international comparisons can help identify their effects. This paper reviews the literature on money demand comparisons, focusing primarily on industrial countries. It finds that innovations have had widespread effects, but also that the demand for money is not generally less stable now than it was before those changes occurred.


Book
Different Strokes? Common and Uncommon Responses to Financial Crises
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ISBN: 1462384404 1452736189 1281604038 9786613784728 1451891016 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Much of the debate about the management of financial crises has focused on structural and psychological issues regarding the conditions that are supposed to be necessary to restore investor confidence. Nonetheless, the paramount requirement in the short term is for countries in crisis to adopt correct macroeconomic policies. An analysis of conventional macroeconomic models reveals that countries can afford to run expansionary policies to restore internal balance only if they can afford to ignore the requirements for external balance. This arithmetic does not depend on whether macroeconomic policies were inappropriate before the crisis hit.


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Commodity and Manufactures Prices in the Long Run
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ISBN: 1462394434 1455208108 Year: 1991 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The low level of primary commodity prices since 1985 is examined in the context of the behavior of those prices relative to prices of manufactured goods since 1854. The Prebisch-Singer hypothesis of a secular decline in relative commodity prices is sustained, but the recent decline is shown to be well outside the realm of historical experience. Commodity and manufactures prices are found to be cointegrated, conditional on the negative trend and a number of unexplained short-term swings. The earlier finding of a Gibson paradox is explained in terms of the difference between short- and long-run relationships.


Book
Why White, Not Keynes? Inventing the Post-War International Monetary System
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ISBN: 1462306640 1452779538 1281258369 9786613777966 1451894228 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The international monetary system is largely the product of negotiations during World War II between U.S. and U.K. officials, led respectively by Harry Dexter White and John Maynard Keynes. The design of the system, especially the International Monetary Fund, reflects the U.S. plan much more than the British. That outcome resulted not only from the superior economic position of the United States but also from differences between White's and Keynes's views on key issues. Examination of White's economic papers shows that he was more multilateral than Keynes and placed a higher priority on monetary discipline.


Book
The IMF and the force of History : Ten Events and Ten Ideas that Have Shaped the Institution
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ISBN: 1462352006 1452709904 1281383600 9786613779731 1451896107 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The International Monetary Fund was designed during World War II by men whose worldview had been shaped by the Great War and the Great Depression. Their views on how the postwar international monetary system should function were also shaped by their economics training and their nationalities. After the IMF began functioning as an institution, its evolution was similarly driven by a combination of political events (Suez, African independence, the collapse of global communism), economic events (the rising economic power of Europe, the Middle East, and Asia), and trends and cycles in economic theory (the monetary approach to the balance of payments, new classical economics, the rise and fall of the Washington Consensus). As they happened, these forces had effects that were perceived as adaptations to current events and new ideas within a fixed institutional structure and mandate. The cumulative effect of history on the institution has been rather more profound and requires a longer and larger perspective.


Book
The Demand for M1 in the United States : A Commenton Baba, Hendry, and Starr
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ISBN: 1462363199 1455234311 Year: 1993 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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A recent paper by Baba, Hendry, and Starr presents an error-correction model of the demand for M1 in the United States, which shows a dramatic improvement in both fit and stability over earlier models. This note estimates an alternative model with the same data set and draws two conclusions: that the improvements are due more to the use of complex dynamics than to the introduction of variables representing financial innovation, and that some of the economic properties are not robust with respect to minor changes in specification.


Book
On the Origins of the Fleming-Mundell Model
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ISBN: 146230351X 1452736111 1281430056 9786613780331 1451898649 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Forty years ago, Marcus Fleming and Robert Mundell developed independent models of macroeconomic policy in open economies. Why do we link the two, and why do we call the result the Mundell-Fleming, rather than Fleming-Mundell model?.


Book
From Suez to Tequila : The IMF As Crisis Manager
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ISBN: 1462324738 1452714932 1283559005 1451897227 9786613871459 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The IMF was established in 1944 in part to “give confidence” to member countries by providing short-term credits. Although the intention was that the availability of the Fund’s resources should prevent countries from experiencing financial crises, in practice the institution often has found itself helping its members cope with crises after they occur. This paper examines how the role of the IMF as crisis manager has evolved over time, from its earliest loans to the exchange crisis that hit Mexico in December 1994. It argues that the defining moment for this role was the international debt crisis of 1982.


Book
Who's in Charge? Ownership and Conditionality in IMF-Supported Programs
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ISBN: 1462385168 1452737061 1282110551 1451905092 9786613803443 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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IMF lending is conditional on a country's commitment to carry out an agreed program of economic policies. Unless that commitment is genuine and broadly held, the likelihood of implementation will be poor. Is there a conflict between national commitment and conditional finance? Are national authorities or other agents in the country less likely to "own" a reform program simply because it is conditionally financed? This paper argues that potential conflicts are reduced when program design takes the country's interests and circumstances into account and when conditionality results from a genuine process of interaction between the IMF and the borrower.


Book
The Case Against Harry Dexter White : Still Not Proven
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ISBN: 1462333737 1452711860 1282108417 9786613801760 1451901984 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Harry Dexter White, the principal architect of the international financial system established at the end of the Second World War, was arguably the most important U. S. government economist of the 20th century. His reputation, however, has suffered because of allegations that he spied for the Soviet Union. That charge has recently been revived by the declassification of documents showing that he met with Soviet agents in 1944 and 1945. Evaluation of that evidence in the context of White’s career and worldview casts doubt on the case against him and provides the basis for a more benign interpretation.

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