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Imagine there's no country : poverty, inequality, and growth in the era of globalization
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ISBN: 0881323489 9786611181710 0881324523 1281181714 9780881323481 Year: 2002 Publisher: Washington, DC : Institute for International Economics,

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Devaluing to prosperity : misaligned currencies and their growth consequence
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ISBN: 0881326232 0881326518 9780881326512 9780881326239 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, DC : Peterson Institute for International Economics,


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The role of sources of income and investment opportunities in rural savings
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Year: 1978 Publisher: Washington (D.C.): World Bank

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Measurement errors and the permanent income hypothesis : evidence from rural India.
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Year: 1970 Publisher: Washington (D.C.) World Bank

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Macro Effects of Formal Adoption of Inflation Targeting
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Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We examine the impact of formal adoption of inflation targeting (IT) on inflation, growth and anchoring of inflation expectations in advanced economies and emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs). Our paper reports several findings relevant to assessing the success of IT regimes. We find that while the early adopters of IT (pre-2000) all saw declines in inflation rates following adoption, IT adopters since then have enjoyed such success in only about half the cases. Since there is not much difference, on average, between IT and non-IT countries in mean inflation, inflation volatility and the extent of inflation anchoring, it is not easy to sort out what role IT has played in ensuring good outcomes; in particular, we cannot rule out the possibility that the success of IT may be due to ‘regression to the mean’. Our country-level analysis—using the Synthetic Control Method (SCM) to compare outcomes in IT countries to a synthetic cohort—shows that IT adoption delivers significant inflation gains in about a third of the cases. At the same time, we also find limited support for the concern that adoption of IT systematically leads to poorer growth outcomes. At a time when central banks are struggling to keep inflation in check, our results suggest that the belief that IT adoption will be sufficient to achieve this goal cannot be taken for granted.


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Pandemic, Poverty, and Inequality: Evidence from India
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Year: 2022 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper presents estimates of poverty [extreme poverty PPP$1.9 and PPP$3.2] and consumption inequality in India for each of the years 2004-5 through the pandemic year 2020-21. These estimates include, for the first time, the effect of in-kind food subsides on poverty and inequality. Extreme poverty was as low as 0.8 percent in the pre-pandemic year 2019, and food transfers were instrumental in ensuring that it remained at that low level in pandemic year 2020. Post-food subsidy inequality at .294 is now very close to its lowest level 0.284 observed in 1993/94.


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Pandemic, Poverty, and Inequality: Evidence from India
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ISBN: 9798400208119 Year: 2022 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper presents estimates of poverty [extreme poverty PPP$1.9 and PPP$3.2] and consumption inequality in India for each of the years 2004-5 through the pandemic year 2020-21. These estimates include, for the first time, the effect of in-kind food subsides on poverty and inequality. Extreme poverty was as low as 0.8 percent in the pre-pandemic year 2019, and food transfers were instrumental in ensuring that it remained at that low level in pandemic year 2020. Post-food subsidy inequality at .294 is now very close to its lowest level 0.284 observed in 1993/94.


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Macro Effects of Formal Adoption of Inflation Targeting
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 9798400229244 Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

We examine the impact of formal adoption of inflation targeting (IT) on inflation, growth and anchoring of inflation expectations in advanced economies and emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs). Our paper reports several findings relevant to assessing the success of IT regimes. We find that while the early adopters of IT (pre-2000) all saw declines in inflation rates following adoption, IT adopters since then have enjoyed such success in only about half the cases. Since there is not much difference, on average, between IT and non-IT countries in mean inflation, inflation volatility and the extent of inflation anchoring, it is not easy to sort out what role IT has played in ensuring good outcomes; in particular, we cannot rule out the possibility that the success of IT may be due to ‘regression to the mean’. Our country-level analysis—using the Synthetic Control Method (SCM) to compare outcomes in IT countries to a synthetic cohort—shows that IT adoption delivers significant inflation gains in about a third of the cases. At the same time, we also find limited support for the concern that adoption of IT systematically leads to poorer growth outcomes. At a time when central banks are struggling to keep inflation in check, our results suggest that the belief that IT adoption will be sufficient to achieve this goal cannot be taken for granted.

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