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This paper estimates the pass through of VAT changes to consumer prices, using a unique dataset providing disaggregated, monthly data on prices and VAT rates for 17 Eurozone countries over 1999-2013. Pass through is much less than full on average, and differs markedly across types of VAT change. For changes in the standard rate, for instance, final pass through is about 100 percent; for reduced rates it is significantly less, at around 30 percent; and for reclassifications it is essentially zero. We also find: differing dynamics of pass through for durables and non-durables; no significant difference in pass through between rate increases and decreases; signs of non-monotonicity in the relationship between pass through and the breadth of the consumption base affected; and indications of significant anticipation effects together with some evidence of lagged effects in the two years around reform. The results are robust against endogeneity and attenuation bias.
Value-added tax --- Exchange rate pass-through --- Foreign exchange rate pass-through --- Pass-through of exchange rates --- Prices --- Added-value tax --- Goods and services tax --- GST (Goods and services tax) --- Tax on added value --- VAT (Value-added tax) --- Sales tax --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Taxation --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Taxation and Subsidies: Incidence --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Public finance & taxation --- Labour --- income economics --- Consumption --- Consumer prices --- Unemployment rate --- Consumption taxes --- Taxes --- National accounts --- Spendings tax --- Economics --- Unemployment --- Germany --- Income economics
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Personal Income Tax (PIT) is one of the key sources of revenues in Advanced Economies (AEs) but plays a much more limited role in Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) and Emerging Market Economies (EMEs), both in terms of revenue and redistributive impact. Notwithstanding, this paper shows that LIDCs and EMEs increased their PIT-to-GDP revenue by 110 and 48 percent, respectively, during the 1990-2019 period, a marked improvement in the PIT revenue performance. We find that this rise was driven primarily by economic developments and to a lesser extent by changes in the design of PIT systems. We also find that LIDCs that improved their tax-to-GDP ratios relied on a broader set of tax instruments and not exclusively on the PIT, suggesting that a successful revenue mobilization strategy of developing countries requires a comprehensive approach covering a wider range of taxes. Finally, using a newly assembled dataset of PIT characteristics of 157 countries over the 2006-2018 period, we estimate a novel redistribution index of the PIT in LIDCs. We show that the contribution of the PIT to inequality reductions has been significant.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Personal Finance -Taxation --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Corporate Taxation --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Public finance & taxation --- Corporate & business tax --- Personal income tax --- Taxes --- Revenue administration --- Income tax systems --- Corporate income tax --- Income and capital gains taxes --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Income tax --- Revenue --- Corporations --- United States
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Personal Income Tax (PIT) is one of the key sources of revenues in Advanced Economies (AEs) but plays a much more limited role in Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) and Emerging Market Economies (EMEs), both in terms of revenue and redistributive impact. Notwithstanding, this paper shows that LIDCs and EMEs increased their PIT-to-GDP revenue by 110 and 48 percent, respectively, during the 1990-2019 period, a marked improvement in the PIT revenue performance. We find that this rise was driven primarily by economic developments and to a lesser extent by changes in the design of PIT systems. We also find that LIDCs that improved their tax-to-GDP ratios relied on a broader set of tax instruments and not exclusively on the PIT, suggesting that a successful revenue mobilization strategy of developing countries requires a comprehensive approach covering a wider range of taxes. Finally, using a newly assembled dataset of PIT characteristics of 157 countries over the 2006-2018 period, we estimate a novel redistribution index of the PIT in LIDCs. We show that the contribution of the PIT to inequality reductions has been significant.
United States --- Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Personal Finance -Taxation --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Corporate Taxation --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Public finance & taxation --- Corporate & business tax --- Personal income tax --- Taxes --- Revenue administration --- Income tax systems --- Corporate income tax --- Income and capital gains taxes --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Income tax --- Revenue --- Corporations
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The COVID-19 pandemic hit countries’ development agendas hard. The ensuing recession has pushed millions into extreme poverty and has shrunk government resources available for spending on achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This Staff Discussion Note assesses the current state of play on funding SDGs in five key development areas: education, health, roads, electricity, and water and sanitation, using a newly developed dynamic macroeconomic framework.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Sustainable Development --- Diseases: Contagious --- Labor --- Finance: General --- Infrastructure --- Foreign Exchange --- Informal Economy --- Underground Econom --- Health Behavior --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Labour --- income economics --- Finance --- Financial crises --- Economic sectors --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Development --- COVID-19 --- Health --- Human capital --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Financial markets --- National accounts --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Sustainable development --- Communicable diseases --- Financial services industry --- Saving and investment --- Iceland
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Governments use tax expenditures (TEs) to provide financial support or benefits to taxpayers. The budgetary impact of TEs can be similar to that of direct outlays: after the support is provided, less money is available to fund other government priorities. Systematic evaluations are needed to guide informed decision-making and to avoid a situation where the narrative on the benefits of TEs is primarily driven by profiting stakeholders. By TE “evaluation,” this note refers to a process that seeks to systematically inform policymakers on the desirability of introducing or maintaining specific tax benefits by gathering and analyzing available quantitative and qualitative information on their effects. Evaluation processes can be tailored to different levels of data availability and analytical capacity. An evaluation should focus on the policy objective of a TE and whether it effectively and efficiently contributes to that policy objective. Although important lessons can be learned from country practices in implementing increasingly ambitious evaluation processes, there is no single best-practice approach to replicate.
Tax expenditures. --- Tax deductions. --- Budget --- Budgeting & financial management --- Budgeting --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Economics: General --- Efficiency --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Macroeconomics --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Optimal Taxation --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Revenue administration --- Spendings tax --- Tax administration and procedure --- Tax auditing --- Tax Evasion and Avoidance --- Tax incentives --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenues: Other Sources of Revenue --- Taxes --- Congo, Democratic Republic of the
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The COVID-19 pandemic hit countries’ development agendas hard. The ensuing recession has pushed millions into extreme poverty and has shrunk government resources available for spending on achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This Staff Discussion Note assesses the current state of play on funding SDGs in five key development areas: education, health, roads, electricity, and water and sanitation, using a newly developed dynamic macroeconomic framework.
Iceland --- Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Sustainable Development --- Diseases: Contagious --- Labor --- Finance: General --- Infrastructure --- Foreign Exchange --- Informal Economy --- Underground Econom --- Health Behavior --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Labour --- income economics --- Finance --- Financial crises --- Economic sectors --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Development --- COVID-19 --- Health --- Human capital --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Financial markets --- National accounts --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Sustainable development --- Communicable diseases --- Financial services industry --- Saving and investment --- Covid-19 --- Income economics
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This paper reexamines the relationship between aid and domestic tax revenues using a more recent and comprehensive dataset covering 118 countries for the period 1980 - 2009. Overall, our results support earlier findings of a negative association between net Official Development Assistance (ODA) and domestic tax revenues, but this relationship appears to have weakened in reflection of greater efforts at mobilizing domestic revenues in many countries. The composition of net ODA matters: ODA grants are associated with lower revenues, while ODA loans are not. The paper further finds that net ODA and grants are negatively associated with VAT, excise and income tax revenues, but have a positive relationship with trade taxes. Aid has a particularly strong negative effect on domestic tax revenues in low-income countries and in countries with relatively weak institutions.
Economic assistance --- Loans, Foreign --- Revenue --- Government revenue --- Public revenue --- Finance, Public --- Taxation --- Effect of economic assistance on --- Econometrics --- Public Finance --- Industries: Financial Services --- Foreign Aid --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenues: Other Sources of Revenue --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Estimation --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Public finance & taxation --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Finance --- Revenue administration --- Estimation techniques --- Taxes on trade --- Loans --- Value-added tax --- Econometric models --- Spendings tax
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By how much will faster economic growth boost government revenue? This paper estimates short- and long-run tax buoyancy in OECD countries between 1965 and 2012. We find that, for aggregate tax revenues, short-run tax buoyancy does not significantly differ from one in the majority of countries; yet, it has increased since the late 1980s so that tax systems have generally become better automatic stabilizers. Long-run buoyancy exceeds one in about half of the OECD countries, implying that GDP growth has helped improve structural fiscal deficit ratios. Corporate taxes are by far the most buoyant, while excises and property taxes are the least buoyant. For personal income taxes and social contributions, short- and long-run buoyancies have declined since the late 1980s and have, on average, become lower than one.
Taxation --- Revenue --- Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Government revenue --- Public revenue --- Finance, Public --- Duties --- Fee system (Taxation) --- Tax policy --- Tax reform --- Taxation, Incidence of --- Taxes --- Personal Finance -Taxation --- Public Finance --- Corporate Taxation --- Fiscal Policy --- Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Public finance & taxation --- Property & real estate --- Corporate & business tax --- Revenue administration --- Personal income tax --- Property tax --- Corporate income tax --- Value-added tax --- Income tax --- Corporations --- Spendings tax --- Australia
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Some countries support smaller firms through tax incentives in an effort to stimulate job creation and startups, or alleviate specific distortions, such as financial constraints or high regulatory or tax compliance costs. In addition to fiscal costs, tax incentives that discriminate by firm size without specifically targeting R&D investment can create disincentives for firms to invest and grow, negatively affecting firm productivity and growth. This paper analyzes the relationship between size-related corporate income tax incentives and firm productivity and growth, controlling for other policy and firm-level factors, including product market regulation, financial constraints and innovation. Using firm level data from four European economies over 2001–13, we find evidence that size-related tax incentives that do not specifically target R&D investment can weigh on firm productivity and growth. These results suggest that when designing size-based tax incentives, it is important to address their potential disincentive effects, including by making them temporary and targeting young and innovative firms, and R&D investment explicitly.
Taxation --- Corporate Taxation --- Production and Operations Management --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Firm Performance: Size, Diversification, and Scope --- Economywide Country Studies: Europe --- 'Panel Data Models --- Spatio-temporal Models' --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Production --- Cost --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Capacity --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Public finance & taxation --- Macroeconomics --- Corporate & business tax --- Tax incentives --- Total factor productivity --- Productivity --- Corporate income tax --- Marginal effective tax rate --- Taxes --- Tax policy --- Industrial productivity --- Corporations --- Tax administration and procedure --- United Kingdom --- Panel Data Models --- Spatio-temporal Models
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An assessment of public infrastructure development in the Western Balkans. The paper quantifies the large gaps across various sectors/dimensions, evaluates current infrastructure plans, and discusses funding options available to countries in the region. The paper also identifies important bottlenecks for increased infrastructure investment. Finally, the paper quantifies potential growth benefits from addressing infrastructure gaps, concluding that boosting the quantity and quality of infrastructure is vital for raising economic growth and accelerating income convergence with the EU. The paper concludes with country-specific policy recommendations.
Capacity --- Capital investments --- Capital spending --- Capital --- Debt Management --- Debt --- Debts, Public --- Expenditure --- Infrastructure --- Intangible Capital --- Investment --- Macroeconomics --- National accounts --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Public debt --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) --- Public investment spending --- Public investments --- Public-private sector cooperation --- Saving and investment --- Sovereign Debt --- Albania
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