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This paper studies the evolution of the exchange rates of sub-Saharan African currencies in the context of the global financial crisis. In particular, it analyzes the reasons behind the differences in the magnitude and volatility of the exchange rates among countries. To this end, it takes a sample of seven countries, four members of the East African Community (EAC) (Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda), and three others, which experienced large exchange rate losses at the onset of the crisis: Ghana, Nigeria, and Zambia. First, it analyzes the movements of the exchange rates with respect to the U.S. dollar and two other major currencies. Second, it tries to link the magnitude of their movements to key factors, relating to the external environment and the countries’ internal policies.
Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Investments: General --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- International Financial Markets --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Monetary economics --- Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Exchange rates --- Currencies --- Currency markets --- Depreciation --- Real effective exchange rates --- Money --- Financial markets --- National accounts --- Foreign exchange market --- Saving and investment --- Nigeria
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Monetary policy in Yemen is largely rudimentary and ad hoc in nature. The Central Bank of Yemen's (CBY) approach has been based on discretionary targeting of broad money without any clear target to anchor inflation expectations. This paper argues in favor of a new formal monetary policy framework for Yemen emphasizing a proactive and rule-based approach with a greater direct focus on price stability in the context of a flexible management of the exchange rate. Although, as in many developing countries, institutional capacity is a concern, adopting a more formal framework could impel the kind of changes that are required to strengthen the ability of the CBY in achieving low and stable rates of inflation over the medium term.
Anti-inflationary policies -- Yemen (Republic). --- Monetary policy -- Yemen (Republic). --- Monetary policy. --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- Money --- Monetary policy --- Anti-inflationary policies --- Antiinflationary policies --- Inflation (Finance) --- Monetary management --- Government policy --- Economic policy --- Price regulation --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy --- Macroeconomics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Monetary economics --- Monetary policy frameworks --- Exchange rates --- Exchange rate flexibility --- Exchange rate pass-through --- Prices --- Yemen, Republic of
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This paper investigates the likely implications of declining oil production on Yemen's equilibrium exchange rate, and discusses policy options to ensure a smooth transition to a nonoil economy. The empirical results suggest that, as oil production and foreign exchange earnings fall, the Yemeni rial will have to adjust downward in real effective terms to keep pace with the equilibrium exchange rate. In light of strong pass-through from exchange rate depreciation to domestic inflation, this could entail a substantial depreciation in nominal terms. Given the nature of the adjustment, a floating exchange rate regime appears to be the best option, if supported by appropriate macroeconomic policies. However, given public fixation on a exchange rate stability, a softly managed float would be a better option for Yemen whereby the central bank may have to lead the market toward the equilibrium exchange rate.
Exports -- Yemen (Republic). --- Foreign exchange rates -- Yemen (Republic). --- Petroleum industry and trade -- Yemen (Republic). --- Finance --- Business & Economics --- International Finance --- Foreign exchange rates --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Exports --- Exchange rates --- Fixed exchange rates --- Flexible exchange rates --- Floating exchange rates --- Fluctuating exchange rates --- Foreign exchange --- Rates of exchange --- Rates --- International trade --- Energy industries --- Oil industries --- Foreign Exchange --- Industries: Energy --- Monetary Policy --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Currency --- Petroleum, oil & gas industries --- Real exchange rates --- Real effective exchange rates --- Oil production --- Exchange rate arrangements --- Production --- Yemen, Republic of
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This Selected Issues paper discusses the options for financing the government fiscal deficit in Saudi Arabia. The Saudi government is working to develop a comprehensive strategy to meet its budget financing needs. Although external borrowing could alleviate pressure on the domestic market, it will also create new risks. Reliance on foreign investors may help further enhance transparency. Foreign investors’ demand for diversification could also allow the Saudi government to enjoy attractive yields. Broadening the investor base and ensuring that the government’s debt issuance supports the development of the private debt market could help alleviate some of the negative economic and financial effects of higher government debt.
Industrial productivity --- Economic development --- Labor market --- Productivity, Industrial --- TFP (Total factor productivity) --- Total factor productivity --- Industrial efficiency --- Production (Economic theory) --- Employees --- Market, Labor --- Supply and demand for labor --- Markets --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Supply and demand --- Banks and Banking --- Financial Risk Management --- Investments: Bonds --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Investments: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Comparison of Public and Private Enterprises and Nonprofit Institutions --- Privatization --- Contracting Out --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Public finance & taxation --- Investment & securities --- Labour --- income economics --- Government debt management --- Sovereign bonds --- Oil prices --- Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Economic sectors --- Financial institutions --- Debt management --- Asset and liability management --- Debts, Public --- Bonds --- Public-private sector cooperation --- Saudi Arabia --- Income economics
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