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Rating politics : sovereign credit ratings and democratic choice in prosperous developed countries
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ISBN: 0198878184 0198878192 0191988561 Year: 2023 Publisher: Oxford : Oxford University Press,

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Abstract

This work explores how countries' political and policy choices affect the credit ratings that they receive. The authors use statistical analysis of ratings, interviews with sovereign rating analysts, and a close reading of official communications of rating agencies to show that ratings penalise centre-left governments and policies.


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In the Red: The Politics of Public Debt Accumulation in Developed Countries
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9780472123469 0472123467 9780472900923 0472900927 9780472130641 0472130641 Year: 2018 Publisher: University of Michigan Press

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Why do rich countries flirt with fiscal disaster? Between the 1970s and the 2000s, during times of peace and prosperity, affluent countries-like Belgium, Greece, Italy, and Japan-accumulated so much debt that they became vulnerable and exposed themselves to the risk of default. In the past three decades, an extensive scholarly consensus emerged that these problems were created by fiscal indiscipline, the lack of sufficient concern for budgetary constraints from policy makers as they try to please voters. This approach formed the foundation for the fiscal surveillance system that attempted to bring borrowing in European countries under control via a set of fiscal rules. In the Red demonstrates that the problem of sustained, large-scale debt accumulation is an adjustment issue rather than a governance failure. Irrespective of whether the original impetus for borrowing arose from exogenous changes or irresponsible decision making, policy makers invariably initiate spending cuts and/or tax increases when debt grows at an alarming rate for several years in a row. Zsófia Barta argues that explaining why some countries accumulate substantial amounts of debt for decades hinges on understanding the conditions required to allow policy makers to successfully put into place painful adjustment measures.

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