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The paradox of predictivism
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ISBN: 9780521879620 9780511487330 9781107405165 0521879620 1107405165 9780511395062 051139506X 0511392435 9780511392436 0511394411 9780511394416 0511487339 1107183898 1281370797 9786611370794 0511391102 0511393725 9781107183896 9781281370792 661137079X 9780511391101 9780511393723 Year: 2008 Publisher: Cambridge New York Cambridge University Press

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Abstract

An enduring question in the philosophy of science is the question of whether a scientific theory deserves more credit for its successful predictions than it does for accommodating data that was already known when the theory was developed. In The Paradox of Predictivism, Eric Barnes argues that the successful prediction of evidence testifies to the general credibility of the predictor in a way that evidence does not when the evidence is used in the process of endorsing the theory. He illustrates his argument with an important episode from nineteenth-century chemistry, Mendeleev's Periodic Law and its successful predictions of the existence of various elements. The consequences of this account of predictivism for the realist/anti-realist debate are considerable, and strengthen the status of the 'no miracle' argument for scientific realism. Barnes's important and original contribution to the debate will interest a wide range of readers in philosophy of science.

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