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While the world is focused on addressing the near-term ramifications of the COVID-19 shock, we turn attention to another important aspect of the pandemic: its fallout on medium-term potential output through scarring. Taking Australia and New Zealand as examples, we show that the pandemic will likely have a large and persistent impact on potential output, broadly in line with the experience of advanced economies from past recessions. The impact is driven by employment, capital stock, and productivity losses in the wake of an unprecedented sectoral reallocation, hightened uncertainty, and reduced migration. Maintaining fiscal and monetary policy support until the recovery is firmly entrenched and putting in place a strong structural policy agenda to counter the pandemic’s adverse effects on medium-term potential output will be important to support standards of living and strengthen economic resilience in case of renewed shocks.
Business and Economics --- Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- International Economics --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General --- Measurement of Economic Growth --- Aggregate Productivity --- Cross-Country Output Convergence --- Economywide Country Studies: Oceania --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Financial crises --- Economic sectors --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Pandemics --- COVID-19 (Disease) --- Business and Economics. --- Macroeconomics. --- Economics: General. --- International Economics. --- Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General. --- Measurement of Economic Growth. --- Aggregate Productivity. --- Cross-Country Output Convergence. --- Economywide Country Studies: Oceania. --- Economic & financial crises & disasters. --- Economics of specific sectors. --- Financial crises. --- Economic sectors. --- Currency crises. --- Informal sector. --- Economics. --- Economic aspects.
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While the world is focused on addressing the near-term ramifications of the COVID-19 shock, we turn attention to another important aspect of the pandemic: its fallout on medium-term potential output through scarring. Taking Australia and New Zealand as examples, we show that the pandemic will likely have a large and persistent impact on potential output, broadly in line with the experience of advanced economies from past recessions. The impact is driven by employment, capital stock, and productivity losses in the wake of an unprecedented sectoral reallocation, hightened uncertainty, and reduced migration. Maintaining fiscal and monetary policy support until the recovery is firmly entrenched and putting in place a strong structural policy agenda to counter the pandemic’s adverse effects on medium-term potential output will be important to support standards of living and strengthen economic resilience in case of renewed shocks.
Pandemics --- COVID-19 (Disease) --- Economic aspects. --- Business and Economics. --- Macroeconomics. --- Economics: General. --- International Economics. --- Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General. --- Measurement of Economic Growth. --- Aggregate Productivity. --- Cross-Country Output Convergence. --- Economywide Country Studies: Oceania. --- Economic & financial crises & disasters. --- Economics of specific sectors. --- Financial crises. --- Economic sectors. --- Currency crises. --- Informal sector. --- Economics.
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Dollarization and Financial Development.
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This paper examines how emerging bond markets react to macroeconomic announcements. Global bond spreads respond to rating actions and changes in global interest rates rather than domestic data and policy announcements. All announcements affect market volatility. Data and policy announcements reduce uncertainty and stabilize the trading environment, while rating actions cause greater volatility. Results are broadly robust to country-specific and panel analyses, assuming conditional variance and controlling for the surprise content of news. In subsamples, announcements are found to matter less for countries with more transparent policies and higher credit ratings. In a crisis, rating actions become less important, and investors focus more on simple and timely indicators, like CPI.
Capital assets pricing model. --- Economic indicators. --- Economic policy. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Fiscal Policy --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Finance --- International economics --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Fiscal stance --- Trade balance --- Industrial production --- Short term interest rates --- Financial services industry --- Fiscal policy --- Balance of trade --- Industries --- Interest rates --- United States
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This is the latest in a series of economic reports by staff economists in the IMF’s Middle Eastern Department. This book discusses the latest economic data coming out of the West Bank and Gaza Strip, with a particular emphasis on growing demographic concerns. The work is enhanced by the addition of numerous data tables and graphs, which extensively analyze economic trends in the region.
338 <569.4> --- 307.0 --- 331.30 --- PLO / Occupied Palestinian Territory --- 338.95694 --- Algemene statistische documentatie. Statistische jaarboeken. Grafieken. Statistische gegevensbanken. --- Economische toestand. --- Gaza Strip --- -Gaza Strip --- -West Bank --- -Ḍaffah al-Gharbīyah --- Gadah ha-maʻaravit --- Judaea and Samaria --- Judea and Samaria --- West Bank of the Jordan River --- Yehudah ṿeha-Shomron --- Palestine --- Qiṭāʻ Ghazzah --- Retsuʻat ʻAzah --- Economic conditions --- Economic policy --- West Bank --- Cisjordanie --- Gaza, Bande de --- Economic conditions. --- Conditions économiques --- Politique économique --- Economie politique --- Economic policy. --- Algemene statistische documentatie. Statistische jaarboeken. Grafieken. Statistische gegevensbanken --- Economische toestand --- Ḍaffah al-Gharbīyah --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Demography --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Trade: General --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- International economics --- Monetary economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Macroeconomics --- Banking --- Currencies --- Trade policy --- Exports --- Imports --- Money --- Banks and banking --- Commercial policy --- Population
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