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Sovereign Debt : A Survey of Some Theoretical and Policy Issues
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ISBN: 1462378277 1455284793 Year: 1993 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper surveys the literature on sovereign debt that deals with the issues of a country’s ability-to-pay, its willingness-to-pay, and the policy responses to the debt crisis of the 1980s. The existence of an ability-to-pay problem suggests a need for debt reduction, but plans for debt relief face potential incentive problems, and sovereign debt repurchases are not always a welfare maximizing method of debt restructuring. The paper synthesizes the main conclusions on these issues. With a willingness-to-pay problem, the potential penalties for debt repudiation are important in the endogenous determination of the repayment outcome. Penalties that are intertemporal in nature have different implications for debt repudiation than do intratemporal penalties. In addition, the asymmetric distribution of the costs of default can lead to a recurrent cycle of debt accumulation and default.


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International monetary fund : People's Republic of China : recent economic developments
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Year: 1996 Publisher: Washington (D.C.): IMF

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International monetary fund : People's Republic of China : recent economic developments
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Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington (D.C.): IMF

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International monetary fund : People's Republic of China : selected issues
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Year: 1996 Publisher: Washington (D.C.): IMF

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Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations : The Chinese System in Perspective
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ISBN: 1462329721 1452742154 1283569493 9786613881946 145190035X Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper provides an overview of recent Chinese reforms to introduce a modern system of fiscal federalism that balances the need for central macroeconomic control with the economic advantages of decentralized government. Following a discussion of the rationale for decentralization, the paper describes the main structural and economic developments in China in this area, including their impact on economic stabilization. The key measures in the 1994 fiscal reforms as well as reform initiatives needed in the future are also discussed.


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The Impact of U.S. Economic Growthon the Rest of the World : How Much Does it Matter?
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ISBN: 1462344879 1452767386 1282101382 1451899599 9786613799470 Year: 2001 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the impact of economic growth in the United States on growth in other countries. Using panel data estimation, the paper finds a significant positive impact of U.S. growth on growth in the rest of the world, especially developing countries, during the past few decades. The evidence suggests that the impact of U.S. growth on other countries can be explained by the significance of the United States as a global trading partner. The paper provides estimates of the direct impact of trade with the United States on growth in several individual countries.


Book
How Much Do Trading Partners Matter for Economic Growth?
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ISBN: 1462313744 1451993544 1281092916 1451892160 9786613775962 Year: 2004 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper empirically examines the extent to which a country's economic growth is influenced by its trading partner economies. Panel estimation results based on four decades of data for over 100 countries show that trading partners' growth and relative income levels have a strong effect on domestic growth, even after controlling for the influence of common global and regional trends. One interpretation is that conditional convergence is stronger, the richer are a country's trading partners. A general implication of the results is that industrial countries benefit from trading with developing countries, which grow rapidly, while developing countries benefit from trading with industrial countries, which have relatively high incomes.


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How Does U.S. Monetary Policy Influence Economic Conditions in Emerging Markets?
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ISBN: 1462382177 1452752222 1282026658 1451901909 9786613796400 Year: 2000 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper quantifies the economic impact of changes in U.S. monetary policy on emerging market countries. We explore empirically how country risk, as proxied by sovereign bond spreads, is influenced by U.S. monetary policy, country-specific fundamentals, and conditions in global capital markets. In addition, we simulate the direct effects of a tightening in U.S. monetary policy on economic conditions in developing countries. While country-specific fundamentals are important in explaining fluctuations in country risk, the stance and predictability of U.S. monetary policy are also important for stabilizing capital flows and capital market conditions and fostering economic growth in developing countries.


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Trade Reform and Inflation Stabilization
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ISBN: 146236201X 1455257605 Year: 1994 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines two important issues for a small high-inflation open economy with trade controls where the government implements an exchange-rate based stabilization program: first, the extent to which the degree of openness of the economy influences the probability of success of the program; and second, the conditions under which a trade reform, implemented in conjunction with the stabilization program, will increase the probability that stabilization will be successful. The paper shows that in an economy with high export and import price elasticities, structural reforms to increase openness can be important in determining the success of the program.


Book
Potential Output and total Factor Productivity Growth in Post-Apartheid South Africa
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462379117 1452700745 1282111752 9786613803948 1451904339 Year: 2003 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper provides estimates of potential output growth in post-apartheid South Africa using both time trend techniques and a production function approach which indicates a potential growth rate of around 3 percent. The implied output gap provides statistically significant information for predicting inflation and could thus provide valuable input for formulating macroeconomic policy. Growth accounting and regression analysis suggest that an increase in trend GDP growth after the end of apartheid in 1994 is attributable to higher TFP growth driven by trade liberalization and greater private sector participation.

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