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ISBN: 9781911617303 9781925322378 9781925548372 Year: 2017 Publisher: London : Scribe,
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China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants.The reason is Thucydides's Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained : 'It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable.' Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them.Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries 'great again', the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. The author explains here why Thucydides's Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, the author also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past - and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.
War --- Guerre. --- Forecasting. --- Prévision --- China --- Chine --- United States --- Etats-Unis --- Relations --- Guerre --- Prévision. --- États-Unis --- Causes. --- Foreign relations --- Polemology --- internationale politiek --- oorlogen --- oorlogvoering --- United States of America --- Prévision. --- États-Unis
ISBN: 9780805078527 0805078525 Year: 2005 Publisher: New York: Holt,
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ISBN: 9781845293499 Year: 2006 Publisher: London Constable
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Year: 1971 Publisher: Boston Little, Brown
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ISBN: 1412950929 1412950910 Year: 2006 Publisher: Thousand Oaks, Calif. Sage
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International movements --- Nuclear chemistry --- fysicochemie
ISBN: 0321013492 9780321013491 Year: 1999 Publisher: New York (N.Y.) : Longman,
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International groups --- Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962. --- Crise de Cuba, oct. 1962 --- Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962 --- 330.1 --- #SBIB:002.AANKOOP --- #SBIB:327.5H10 --- #SBIB:328H31 --- #SBIB:35H410 --- Cuban Missile Crisis, Oct. 1962 --- Economische grondbegrippen. Algemene begrippen in de economie --- Strategie: algemeen --- Instellingen en beleid: VSA / USA --- Beleidscyclus: algemene werken --- 330.1 Economische grondbegrippen. Algemene begrippen in de economie --- États-Unis --- Cuba --- Elaboration de la politique etrangere --- Politique etrangere
Book
Year: 1976 Publisher: New York (N.Y.): Basic books,
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Year: 1976 Publisher: New York (N.Y.) : Basic books,
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Book
ISBN: 0887302726 9780887302725 Year: 1988 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass.: Ballinger,
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Nuclear warfare --- Nuclear disarmament --- World politics --- International relations --- World politics - 1985-1995
Book
ISBN: 9782738147028 273814702X Year: 2019 Publisher: Paris : Odile Jacob,
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"La Chine et les Etats-Unis se dirigent vers une guerre dont ils ne veulent pourtant ni l'un ni l'autre. Pour eclairer ce paradoxe, Graham Allison invoque ce qu'il appelle le Piege de Thucydide, qui se met en place quand une puissance emergente vient defier la puissance regnante. C'est Athenes se dressant face a Sparte. Au cours des cinq derniers siecles, cette configuration mortelle s'est presentee seize fois ; a douze reprises, elle s'est soldee par une guerre. Aujourd'hui, alors que Xi Jinping comme Donald Trump pretendent ℗± restaurer la grandeur ℗ de leur pays, la dix-septieme occurrence se profile a l'horizon de maniere sinistre. moins que Pekin n'accepte de moderer ses ambitions ou que Washington ne renonce a sa suprematie dans le Pacifique, un conflit commercial, une cyberattaque ou un simple incident maritime pourraient bien entrainer une rapide escalade vers la guerre... ers la guerre offre la meilleure grille de lecture pour comprendre les relations sino-americaines au XXIe siecle. En s'appuyant sur de nombreux cas historiques, Graham Allison rappelle que les puissances rivales d'hier ont su bien souvent preserver la paix. Reste a esperer que la Chine et les Etats-Unis sauront prendre les difficiles mesures qu'il preconise, seules a meme d'eviter le desastre."
War --- Causes --- Thucydides. --- United States --- China --- Foreign relations --- Relations internationales --- Équilibre des puissances --- Chine --- États-Unis --- Relations extérieures --- Équilibre des puissances --- États-Unis --- War - Causes --- Thucydides. - History of the Peloponnesian War --- United States - Foreign relations - China --- China - Foreign relations - China
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