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Stochastic processes --- Quantitative methods (economics) --- Econometrics --- Econometric models --- Logits --- Regression analysis --- Econométrie --- Modèles économétriques --- Analyse de régression --- Econometric models. --- Logits. --- 330.115 --- Logit transformation --- Biomathematics --- Logarithms --- Transformations (Mathematics) --- Mathematical models --- Econometrie --- 330.115 Econometrie --- Econométrie --- Modèles économétriques --- Analyse de régression --- ECONOMETRIE --- ANALYSE MULTIVARIEE --- MODELE LOGIT --- VARIABLES CATEGORIELLES

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Logistic models are widely used in economics and other disciplines and are easily available as part of many statistical software packages. This text for graduates, practitioners and researchers in economics, medicine and statistics, which was originally published in 2003, explains the theory underlying logit analysis and gives a thorough explanation of the technique of estimation. The author has provided many empirical applications as illustrations and worked examples. A large data set - drawn from Dutch car ownership statistics - is provided online for readers to practise the techniques they have learned. Several varieties of logit model have been developed independently in various branches of biology, medicine and other disciplines. This book takes its inspiration from logit analysis as it is practised in economics, but it also pays due attention to developments in these other fields.

Econometric models. --- Logits. --- Logit transformation --- Logarithms --- Econometric models --- Logits --- 305.94 --- 305.971 --- AA / International- internationaal --- 330.115 --- 519.2 --- Biomathematics --- Transformations (Mathematics) --- Econometrics --- Mathematical models --- 519.2 Probability. Mathematical statistics --- Probability. Mathematical statistics --- 330.115 Econometrie --- Econometrie --- Econometrie van de arbeidsmarkt, de werkgelegenheid en de werkloosheid --- Speciale gevallen in econometrische modelbouw --- Mathematical statistics --- Mathematical Sciences --- Probability

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Mathematical statistics --- Social sciences --- Probabilities --- Logits --- Probits --- Statistical methods --- 519.2 --- #SBIB:303H10 --- #SBIB:303H520 --- #PBIB:2003.3 --- -Probabilities --- Biomathematics --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- Transformations (Mathematics) --- Logit transformation --- Logarithms --- Probability --- Statistical inference --- Combinations --- Mathematics --- Chance --- Least squares --- Risk --- Behavioral sciences --- Human sciences --- Sciences, Social --- Social science --- Social studies --- Civilization --- Probability. Mathematical statistics --- Methoden en technieken: algemene handboeken en reeksen --- Methoden sociale wetenschappen: techniek van de analyse, algemeen --- Logits. --- Probabilities. --- Probits. --- Statistical methods. --- 519.2 Probability. Mathematical statistics --- Social sciences - Statistical methods

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In the Administration building at Linkopi ¨ ng University we have one of Oscar Reutersvard’ ¨ s “Impossible Figures” in three dimensions. I call it “Perspectives of Science”. When viewed from a speci c point in space there is order and structure in the 3-dimensional gure. When viewed from other points there is disorder and no structure. If a speci c scienti c paradigm is used, there is order and structure; otherwise there is disorder and no structure. My perspective in Transportation Science has focused on understanding the mathematical structure and the logic underlying the choice probability models in common use. My book with N. F. Stewart on the Gravity model (Erlander and Stewart 1990), was written in this perspective. The present book stems from the same desire to understand underlying assumptions and structure. It investigateshow far a new way of de ning Cost-Minimizing Behavior can take us.Itturnsoutthatall commonlyusedchoiceprobabilitydistributionsoflogittype– log linear probability functions – follow from cost-minimizing behavior de ned in the new way. In addition some new nested models appear.

Logits. --- Transportation -- Planning -- Mathematical models. --- Transportation. --- Transportation --- Logits --- Management --- Sociology & Social History --- Business & Economics --- Transportation Economics --- Communities - Urban Groups --- Management Theory --- Social Sciences --- Planning --- Mathematical models --- Planning. --- Transportation planning --- Operations research. --- Management science. --- Econometrics. --- Regional economics. --- Spatial economics. --- Economics. --- Regional/Spatial Science. --- Operations Research, Management Science. --- Spatial economics --- Economics --- Regional economics --- Regional planning --- Regionalism --- Space in economics --- Economics, Mathematical --- Statistics --- Quantitative business analysis --- Problem solving --- Operations research --- Statistical decision --- Operational analysis --- Operational research --- Industrial engineering --- Management science --- Research --- System theory

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We compare how logit (fixed effects) and probit early warning systems (EWS) predict insample and out-of-sample currency crises in emerging markets (EMs). We look at episodes of currency crises that took place in 29 EMs between January 1995 and December 2012. Stronger real GDP growth rates and higher net foreign assets significantly reduce the probability of experiencing a currency crisis, while high levels of credit to the private sector increase it. We find that the logit and probit EWS out-of-sample performances are broadly similar, and that the EWS performance can be very sensitive both to the size of the estimation sample, and to the crisis definition employed. For macroeconomic policy purposes, we conclude that a currency crisis definition identifying more rather than less crisis episodes should be used, even if this may lead to the risk of issuing false alarms.

Currency crises --- Logits --- Probits --- Biomathematics --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- Probabilities --- Transformations (Mathematics) --- Logit transformation --- Logarithms --- Financial crises --- Currency question --- Foreign exchange --- Prevention. --- Financial Risk Management --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- International Finance: General --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- International Finance Forecasting and Simulation --- Financing Policy --- Financial Risk and Risk Management --- Capital and Ownership Structure --- Value of Firms --- Goodwill --- Financial Crises --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Currency --- Early warning systems --- Exchange rate indexes --- Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 --- Crisis management --- Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 --- Mexico