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The latest advancement in financial technology has posed unprecedented challenges for incumbent banks. This paper analyzes the implications of these challenges on bank competitveness, and explores the factors that could support digital advancement in banks. The analysis shows that the traditionally leading role of banks in advancing financial technology has diminished in recent years, and suggests that onoing efforts to catch up to the digital frontier could lead to a more concentrated banking industry, as smaller and less tech-savvy banks struggle to survive. Cross-country evidence has suggested that banks in high-income economies appear to have been the digital leaders, likely benefiting from a sound digital infrastructure, a strong legal and business environment, and healthy competition. Nonetheless, some digital leaders may fall behind in the coming years in adopting newer technologies due to entrenched consumer behavior favoring older technologies, less active fintech and bigtech companies, and weak bank balance sheets.
Finance: General --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Industries: Financial Services --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Diffusion Processes --- Innovation --- Research and Development --- Technological Change --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Finance --- Information technology industries --- Technology --- general issues --- Financial services --- Digitalization --- Emerging technologies --- Financial sector development --- Financial markets --- Financial services industry --- Information technology --- China, People's Republic of
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This paper investigates the role of digitialization in improving economic resilience. Using balance sheet data from 24,000 firms in 75 countries, and a difference-in-differences approach, we find that firms in industries that are more digitalized experience lower revenue losses following recessions. Early data since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic suggest an even larger effect during the resulting recessions. These results are robust across a wide range of digitalization measures—such as ICT input and employment shares, robot usage, online sales, intangible assets and digital skills listed on online profiles—and several alternative specifications.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Diseases: Contagious --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Diffusion Processes --- Health Behavior --- Innovation --- Research and Development --- Technological Change --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Information technology industries --- Economic growth --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Technology --- general issues --- Digitalization --- Economic recession --- COVID-19 --- Health --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Information technology --- Recessions --- Communicable diseases
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We exploit a survey data set that contains information on how 11,000 workers across advanced and emerging market economies perceive the main forces shaping the future of work. In general, workers feel more positive than negative about automation, especially in emerging markets. We find that negative perceptions about automation are prevalent among workers who are older, poorer, more exposed to job volatility, and from countries with higher levels of robot penetration. Perceptions over automation are positively viewed by workers with higher levels of job satisfaction, higher educational attainment, and from countries with stronger labor protection. Workers with positive perceptions of automation also tend to respond that re-education and retraining will be needed to adapt to rapidly evolving skill demands. These workers expect governments to have a role in shaping the future of work through protection of labor and new forms of social benefits. The demand for protection and benefits is more significant among women and workers that have suffered job volatility.
United States --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Automation --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Job, Occupational, and Intergenerational Mobility --- Promotion --- Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: Public Policy --- Innovation --- Research and Development --- Technological Change --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Education: Government Policy --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Diffusion Processes --- Labor Economics: General --- Education: General --- Automatic control engineering --- Labour --- income economics --- Education --- Information technology industries --- Emerging technologies --- Labor markets --- Technology --- Labor economics --- Labor market --- Income economics
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This paper investigates the role of digitialization in improving economic resilience. Using balance sheet data from 24,000 firms in 75 countries, and a difference-in-differences approach, we find that firms in industries that are more digitalized experience lower revenue losses following recessions. Early data since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic suggest an even larger effect during the resulting recessions. These results are robust across a wide range of digitalization measures—such as ICT input and employment shares, robot usage, online sales, intangible assets and digital skills listed on online profiles—and several alternative specifications.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Diseases: Contagious --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Diffusion Processes --- Health Behavior --- Innovation --- Research and Development --- Technological Change --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Information technology industries --- Economic growth --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Technology --- general issues --- Digitalization --- Economic recession --- COVID-19 --- Health --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Information technology --- Recessions --- Communicable diseases --- Covid-19 --- General issues
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The latest advancement in financial technology has posed unprecedented challenges for incumbent banks. This paper analyzes the implications of these challenges on bank competitveness, and explores the factors that could support digital advancement in banks. The analysis shows that the traditionally leading role of banks in advancing financial technology has diminished in recent years, and suggests that onoing efforts to catch up to the digital frontier could lead to a more concentrated banking industry, as smaller and less tech-savvy banks struggle to survive. Cross-country evidence has suggested that banks in high-income economies appear to have been the digital leaders, likely benefiting from a sound digital infrastructure, a strong legal and business environment, and healthy competition. Nonetheless, some digital leaders may fall behind in the coming years in adopting newer technologies due to entrenched consumer behavior favoring older technologies, less active fintech and bigtech companies, and weak bank balance sheets.
China, People's Republic of --- Finance: General --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Industries: Financial Services --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Diffusion Processes --- Innovation --- Research and Development --- Technological Change --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Finance --- Information technology industries --- Technology --- general issues --- Financial services --- Digitalization --- Emerging technologies --- Financial sector development --- Financial markets --- Financial services industry --- Information technology --- General issues
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Digitalization encompasses a wide range of new applications of information technology in business models and products that are transforming the economy and social interactions. Digitalization is both an enabler and a disruptor of businesses. The lack of a generally agreed definition of the “digital economy” or “digital sector” and the lack of industry and product classification for Internet platforms and associated services are hurdles to measuring the digital economy. This paper distinguishes between the “digital sector” and the increasingly digitalized modern economy, often called the “digital economy,” and focuses on the measurement of the digital sector. The digital sector covers the core activities of digitalization, ICT goods and services, online platforms, and platform-enabled activities such as the sharing economy.
Electronic commerce --- Finance --- Mathematical models. --- Statistics. --- Business innovation --- Choice of Technology --- Cooperation --- Crowdfunding --- Deflation --- Diffusion Processes --- Digital economy --- Digital or internet economics --- Digitalization --- Economic sectors --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Government and the Monetary System --- Industrialization --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Inflation --- Information technology industries --- Information technology --- Macroeconomics --- Manufacturing and Service Industries --- Monetary Systems --- National accounts --- National income --- Payment Systems --- Price indexes --- Price Level --- Prices --- Regimes --- Sharing economy --- Standards --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Technology --- United States
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Digitalization in Asia is pervasive, unique, and growing. It stands out by its sheer scale, with internet users far exceeding numbers in other regions. This facilitates e-commerce in markets that are large by international standards, supported by innovative payment systems and featuring major corporate players, including a number of large, home-grown, highly digitalized businesses (tech giants) that rival US multinational enterprises (MNEs) in size. Opportunity for future growth exists, as a significant population share remains unconnected.
Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Corporate & business tax --- Corporate Taxation --- Corporations --- Diffusion Processes --- Income tax --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Information technology industries --- Information technology --- International Economics --- International institutions --- Law and legislation --- Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies --- Political economy --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Public Policy --- Revenue administration --- Revenue --- Spendings tax --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Taxes --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Technological Change: Government Policy --- Technology --- India
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The need for Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries to diversify their economies is more urgent than ever. However, despite its established economic benefits, several challenges have precluded diversification in SSA. Against this backdrop, interesting initiatives to further adopt digital technologies, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, suggest that digitalization is a promising avenue to overcome barriers to diversification. Fast-paced advances in the diffusion of digital technologies and knowledge have the potential to transform SSA economies through several channels. By connecting people and facilitating the rapid diffusion of information, digitalization also promises to reshape the industrial structure of activities in new and unprecedented ways. Therefore, digitalization has the potential to promote diversification and growth in SSA by acting both as an enabler and driver of economic activities, helping support resilience. Yet, while the empirical literature on SSA suggests that digitalization can provide new opportunities for growth, employment, productivity, and inclusion, the impact on diversification has not been studied. This paper aims to fill this important gap in the literature. It also aims to strengthen IMF engagement with SSA policy makers by providing a conceptual policy framework, encompassing both horizontal and sectoral policies, on how to leverage digitalization to support diversification and boost resilience in a post-COVID world.
Diffusion Processes --- Digital economy --- Digital or internet economics --- Digitalization --- Economic Development: General --- Economic growth --- Economic sectors --- Electronic commerce --- General issues --- Government and the Monetary System --- Human Capital --- Human capital --- Income economics --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Information technology industries --- Information technology --- Innovation --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Labor Productivity --- Labor --- Labour --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary Systems --- Occupational Choice --- Payment Systems --- Regimes --- Research and Development --- Skills --- Standards --- Technological Change --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Technological Change: Government Policy --- Technology
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This paper studies the effect of individual uncertainty on collective decision-making to implement innovation. We show how individual uncertainty creates a bias for the status quo even under irreversible voting decisions, in contrast with Fernandez and Rodrik (1991). Blocking innovation is rooted in the aversion to the potential loss of political clout in future voting decisions. Thus, risk neutral individuals exhibit what we call political risk aversion. Yet individual uncertainty is not all bad news as it may open the door to institutional reform. We endogenize institutional reform and show a non-monotonic relationship between institutional efficiency and the size of innovation.
Business & Economics --- Economic Theory --- Uncertainty. --- Rational expectations (Economic theory) --- Expectations, Rational (Economic theory) --- Economic forecasting --- Time and economic reactions --- Uncertainty --- Reasoning --- Labor --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Production and Operations Management --- Inventions --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Diffusion Processes --- Innovation --- Research and Development --- Technological Change --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Geographic Labor Mobility --- Immigrant Workers --- Information technology industries --- Technology --- general issues --- Macroeconomics --- Inventions & inventors --- Labour --- income economics --- Emerging technologies --- Productivity --- Technological innovation --- Labor mobility --- Industrial productivity --- Technological innovations --- China, People's Republic of --- General issues --- Income economics
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This Selected Issues paper assesses Cyprus’s export competitiveness and understands factors that could explain export developments, particularly in the services sector. Although Cyprus has been able to leverage its strategic location to diversity its markets for goods exports, as a small island economy, opportunities for diversifying its products mix is more limited. Services exports have performed better in the post-crisis period buoyed by the recovery in Europe and the impact of technological advances on global Information and Communication Technologies-enabled trade. Policies to support greater market diversification, enhance competition and efficiency and strengthen technological adoption would help exports growth. Studies have established the relationship between price and cost competitiveness with trade performance. Cyprus has performed reasonably well with strong service exports over the past few years, aided by improvements in cost competitiveness and a recovery in the European export markets. Policymakers should exploit opportunities brought by the digital transformation while addressing the accompanied risks.
Cyprus--Economic conditions. --- Cyprus --- History. --- Banking --- Banks and Banking --- Banks and banking --- Banks --- Competition --- Computer applications in industry & technology --- Depository Institutions --- Diffusion Processes --- Digitalization --- Export performance --- Exports and Imports --- Exports --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial services industry --- Fintech --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- General issues --- Government and the Monetary System --- Imports --- Industries: Financial Services --- Industries: Information Technololgy --- Information technology industries --- Information technology --- Innovation --- Intellectual Property Rights: General --- International economics --- International trade --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Monetary Systems --- Mortgages --- Payment Systems --- Regimes --- Research and Development --- Service exports --- Standards --- Technological Change --- Technological Change: Choices and Consequences --- Technological innovations --- Technology --- Trade: General