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Housing Finance across Countries : New Data and Analysis
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Year: 2014 Publisher: Washington, D.C., The World Bank,

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This paper presents new data on the depth and penetration of mortgage markets across countries. There is a large variation across both dimensions of mortgage market development, across countries, but also-in terms of depth-within countries. Mortgage markets seem to develop only at relatively high levels of gross domestic product per capita. Policies associated with financial system development are also associated with mortgage market development, including price stability and the efficiency of contractual and information frameworks. The development of the insurance sector and the stock market, sources of long-term funding, is strongly associated with mortgage market development, while government subsidies and support are not. A benchmarking exercise compares the actual values of mortgage market development to values predicted by structural country factors and shows a large variation across countries and over time in the gap between predicted and actual values, related to specific policies but also mortgage boom and bust cycles.


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Argentina : Developing Deep and Sustainable Housing Finance Markets.
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Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The housing deficit in Argentina is estimated to affect 6 million out of the 24 million households nationally. Macro-economic turmoil has contributed to this imbalance in two ways. First, the continuous inflation and currency depreciation made real estate a refuge investment protecting the capital value of investors. Second, rapid inflation acts a strong deterrent to the provision of long term finance and in particular mortgages. The government overhauled the public housing assistance policy by launching a 2016-2019 integrated housing and habitat plan (plan integral de vivienda y habitat). This plan aims to stimulate the production, or to provide one million housing solutions through two programs: a neighborhood improvement program targeting informal settlements, and a credit-linked subsidy program, solucion casa propria, through which up-front subsidies are granted to first time home buyers who contract mortgages, thus leveraging the impact of public intervention with bank credit. The broad prohibition of indexation has for a long time stunted the provision of long term, finance. To successfully grow the mortgage market, banks need funding and tools to manage interest rate and liquidity risks - that is, in the absence of significant derivative markets, funding from the capital market. The eventual development of a mortgage bond market based on housing loan portfolios, will help to increase the supply of stable long term funding instruments.


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Rapid Housing Sector Assessment : Sint Maarten.
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Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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In September 2017, Hurricane Irma devastated housing on the island of Sint Maarten. Between January and March of 2019, a World Bank team carried out this Rapid Housing Sector Diagnostic. The Diagnostic is based on information gathered during a one-week mission to Sint Maarten, desktop research, and analysis of drone- and street-view imagery gathered by the World Bank's Global Program for Resilient Housing. In the field, the team met with representatives of the government departments responsible for housing, as well as private sector players (developers, builders, engineers, banks, union representatives). The team also visited several social housing developments and informal settlements. Because this is the first assessment undertaken in Sint Maarten since the hurricane, housing data remains scarce. The Diagnostic's findings are therefore more qualitative than quantitative. They do, however, present a broad picture of the current state of the island's housing sector, which should be viewed as the start of a dialogue on housing with the Sint Maarten government, and as a foundation for the Bank to develop a longer-term engagement in the sector.


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Reverse Mortgages, Financial Inclusion, and Economic Development : Potential Benefit and Risks
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Year: 2020 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This paper examines the state of reverse mortgage markets in selected countries around the world and considers the potential benefits and risks of these products from a financial inclusion and economic benefit standpoint. Despite potentially increasing demand from aging societies - combined with limited pension income - a series of market failures constrain supply and demand. The paper discusses a series of market failures on the supply side, such as adverse selection, moral hazard, and the costly regulation established to address these problems, leading to only a small number of providers, even in developed markets. Demand-side constraints are equally relevant, in particular high non-interest costs, abuse concerns, and the inability of reverse mortgages to cover key risks facing the elderly, particularly health and elder care. In developing countries, constraints are likely to be even higher than in advanced economies, due to high transaction costs and lack of consumer knowledge and protection. The enabling conditions for such markets to develop are outlined, along with examples of regulatory oversight. The paper concludes that these still seem to be largely products of last resort rather than well-considered purchases as part of good retirement planning.


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Housing Finance Development in Uzbekistan : Technical Note.
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Year: 2007 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The Government of Uzbekistan has adopted an important series of initiatives to create a market-based housing finance system, yet recognizes that there remains much work to be done. This note provides guidance on the themes that were discussed with authorities and industry participants during mission to Uzbekistan on November 6-16, 2006 and February 22 to March 2, 2007. The note is based on missions conducted in 2006 and 2007 by Britt Gwinner, FPDSF, and Michael Borish, a review of government documents, and a review of studies conducted by other multilateral institutions. It benefits from cooperative research and analytical work done by the local staff of IFC Central Asia Primary Mortgage Market Development Project in identifying the legal and regulatory gaps in the county's housing finance system, as well as their additional background research under the TOR for developing this note. The World Bank would like to thank the officials of the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Economy, Ipoteka Bank, and others for their generous cooperation.


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Kenya Economic Update, April 2017, No. 15 : Housing - Unavailable and Unaffordable.
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Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Economic activity in Kenya remained robust in 2016. For the third consecutive year economic activity in Kenya picked-up, reaching an estimated 5-year high of 5.9 percent in 2016, once again placing Kenya among the fastest growing economies in Sub-Saharan Africa. Kenya's growth momentum in 2016 was supported by a stable macroeconomic environment, low oil prices, favorable harvest in the first half of 2016, rebound in tourism, strong remittance inflows, and an ambitious government infrastructure drive to relieve supply side constraints. Near term GDP growth is expected to dip on account of headwinds, however over the medium term GDP growth should pick-up. Given headwinds from the ongoing drought, weak credit growth, and the pick-up in oil prices, GDP growth is expected to decelerate to 5.5 percent in 2017, a 0.5 percentage point mark down from earlierforecasts. However, over the medium term, we expect these headwinds to ease (rains are expected to return to normal in 2017), and together with the projected steady strengthening of the global economy, rebound in tourism, resolution of some of the underlying causes of slow credit growth, and the easing of some supply-side constraints related to the completion of some major infrastructure projects, GDP growth is expected to accelerate to 5.8 percent and 6.1 percent in 2018 and 2019 respectively, consistent with the underlying growth potential of the Kenyan economy.


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Jordan Housing Sector Review
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Year: 2018 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This report aims to support the Government of Jordan (GoJ) in improving housing sector performance. In 2016, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan requested the World Bank's technical support to develop a housing sector review to update the Housing Strategy adopted in 1989. Given the enormous challenges currently facing the housing sector, the preparation of this housing sector review and its related recommendations is both timely and important to position the sector to respond effectively to a much-changed situation. The objective of the Jordan Housing Sector Review is to inform the development of a better functioning and more coordinated housing system in Jordan, which caters to the needs of the different segments of the population. This report tackles these and other challenges and questions by taking a comprehensive look at the housing market and conditions in Jordan. It looks at the country context, identifying the role of housing in the economy today and the sector's contribution to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and employment. It also takes a close look at previous housing strategies and housing programs, analyzing the current institutional framework and housing ecosystem. Also, analytical work has been undertaken to review the market response to the crisis in terms of housing production, as well as impacts on vacancies, tenure, the housing deficit and affordability of ownership and rental markets. The report looks into the current demand by size and location, and future demand by projecting household formation over the next two decades including consideration of possible refugee flows. A housing supply value chain along with a commercial finance for housing supply and demand analysis is part and parcel of this report. The report includes a set of recommendations crafted to each of the findings presented along the report, aiming to support the government to make inform decisions and to develop the aspired new housing strategy. Conscious of the current fiscal constraints of the GoJ, the recommendations have been prioritized to those that do not increase government expenditures or reduce government revenues in the short term. This report has been led by the Minister of Public Works and Housing (MPWH) in collaboration with the Housing and Urban Development Corporation (HUDC) and the World Bank. Talal Abu Ghazaleh (TAG-Consulting) consulting firm was hired by the GoJ to contribute with technical papers on the different topics covered and presented in this report.


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Developing a Housing Microfinance Product : The First Microfinance Bank's Experience in Afghanistan.
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Year: 2013 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The objective of this case study is to document an example of the successful design and implementation of housing micronance (HMF) products by analyzing the approach taken by the First Micronance Bank of Afghanistan (FMFB-A) from 2009 to 2013. This report aims to encourage other lenders to follow suit and offer housing-related loans to low-income earners. It is part of IFC's MENA Micronance Knowledge Management project, which aims to raise awareness among micronanceinstitutions (MFIs) about the importance of risk management, product development, and transformation. FMFB-A was established in 2003 with the mission to reduce poverty and promote nancial inclusion by providing its clients with access to nancial services. Shareholders of FMFB-A are the Aga Khan Agency for Micronance (AKAM), Aga Khan Foundation USA, the German Development Bank (KfW), and the International Finance Corporation (IFC). FMFB-A has a nation-widepresence in Afghanistan and serves over 53,000 clients with an outstanding portfolio of 64.5 million dollars. Housing nance accounts for about 17 percent of its total portfolio. FMFB-Ais currently the only MFI in Afghanistan that offers a housing micronance product. FMFB-A implemented a rigorous, albeit exible, approach to the roll-out of its HMF products in Afghanistan. The idea to develop an HMF product at FMFB-A started in 2007 as a response to client demand. Its aim has been to increase access to housing micronance for Afghanistan's low-income households in urban and rural areas. It also sought to improve the quality of housing for this segment by offering construction technical assistance (CTA) services.


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Barriers Constraining the Low and Middle Income Housing Finance Market in Bangladesh
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Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The study aims to assess the market for low and middle income housing finance in Bangladesh and identify the demand trajectory of this segment over the next 4 years. In addition, the report identifies factors that constrain the housing finance from serving low and middle income households.


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What Did We Learn? : The Shelter Response and Housing Recovery in the First Two Years after the 2010 Haiti Earthquake.
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Year: 2016 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The response to the January 2010 Haiti earthquake has been in the spotlight ever since the disaster, and a significant number of evaluations and analyses have been disseminated in the years since. This report is intended to help housing and shelter practitioners improve future post-disaster shelter responses and housing recovery programs and the integration between them. The report covers the shelter and housing responses in Haiti, and looks especially at how early decisions about sheltering affected the housing response. The analysis also covers other interrelated topics that heavily affected work on shelter and housing: disaster risk management (DRM), the urban context, and recovery financing.

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