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Policy sciences --- Social policy --- Psychological aspects

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Pendant vingt ans, le professeur P. Tetlock et son équipe ont analysé près de 28.000 prévisions sur les tendances politiques et économiques. Il constate que certaines personnes ordinaires, qu'il nomme superprévisionnistes, ont une réelle prévoyance et sont meilleurs que des analystes des services secrets. Il retrace leur aventure et montre comment s'en inspirer pour prédire l'avenir. ©Electre 2020

Forecasting --- Perception --- Prévision --- prospective --- prévision --- prévision économique

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Drawing on a multitude of data sets and building on analyses carried out over more than a decade, this book offers a major new theoretical explanation of how ordinary citizens figure out what they favour and oppose politically. Reacting against the conventional wisdom, which stresses how little attention the general public pays to political issues and the lack of consistency in their opinions, the studies presented in this book redirect attention to the processes of reasoning that can be discerned when people are confronted with choices about political issues. These studies demonstrate that ordinary people are in fact capable of reasoning dependably about political issues by the use of judgmental heuristics, even if they have only a limited knowledge of politics and of specific issues.

Attitudes politiques --- Collectief gedrag in de politiek --- Comportement politique --- Conscience politique --- Identité politique --- Mass political behavior --- Massa -- Politiek gedrag --- Massapsychologie en politiek --- Political behavior --- Political psychology --- Political science -- Psychological aspects --- Politics [Practical ] -- Psychological aspects --- Politiek -- Psychologische aspecten --- Politiek bewustzijn --- Politiek en massapsychologie --- Politiek en psychoanalyse --- Politiek gedrag --- Politieke attitudes --- Politieke identiteit --- Politieke psychologie --- Politieke wetenschap -- Psychologische aspecten --- Politique -- Aspects psychologiques --- Politique -- Comportement collectif --- Politique et psychanalyse --- Psychanalyse et politique --- Psychoanalyse en politiek --- Psychologie [Politieke ] --- Psychologie politique --- Psychology [Political ] --- Psychopolitique --- Science politique -- Aspects psychologiques --- 32.01 --- Public opinion --- -#SBIB:324H20 --- Opinion, Public --- Perception, Public --- Popular opinion --- Public perception --- Public perceptions --- Judgment --- Social psychology --- Attitude (Psychology) --- Focus groups --- Reputation --- Political science --- Politics, Practical --- Psychology, Political --- Psychology --- Politicologie --- Politologie: theorieën (democratie, comparatieve studieën….) --- Psychological aspects --- Political psychology. --- 32.01 Politicologie --- #SBIB:324H20 --- Political sociology --- Opinion publique --- United States --- Public opinion - United States. --- Social Sciences --- Political Science

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E-books

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Political sociology --- Politics