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Risk management in action: robust monetary policy rules under structured uncertainty
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Year: 2008 Publisher: Frankfurt am Main ECB

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Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-based rules in a two-bloc model.
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Year: 2004 Publisher: Frankfurt Am Main European Central Bank.

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Winners and losers in a north-south model of growth innovation and product cycles.
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Year: 1999 Publisher: London Centre For Economic Policy Research. Discussion Paper Nr. 2291 - International Macroeconomics And International Trade

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European monetary union or hard-EMS?
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Year: 1990 Publisher: London Centre for Economic Policy Research - CEPR

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Phases of imitation and innovation in a North-South endogenous growth model.
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Year: 1996 Publisher: London Centre for economic policy research

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Inflation forecast-based-rules and indeterminacy. A puzzle and a resolution.
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Year: 2006 Publisher: Frankfurt Am Main European Central Bank. Working Paper Series Nr. 643. June 2006

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Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Debt Crisis and Management
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ISBN: 1475590229 9781475590227 1475590180 9781475590180 1475590199 Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The initial government debt-to-GDP ratio and the government’s commitment play a pivotal role in determining the welfare-optimal speed of fiscal consolidation in the management of a debt crisis. Under commitment, for low or moderate initial government debt-to-GPD ratios, the optimal consolidation is very slow. A faster pace is optimal when the economy starts from a high level of public debt implying high sovereign risk premia, unless these are suppressed via a bailout by official creditors. Under discretion, the cost of not being able to commit is reflected into a quick consolidation of government debt. Simple monetary-fiscal rules with passive fiscal policy, designed for an environment with “normal shocks”, perform reasonably well in mimicking the Ramsey-optimal response to one-off government debt shocks. When the government can issue also long-term bonds–under commitment–the optimal debt consolidation pace is slower than in the case of short-term bonds only, and entails an increase in the ratio between long and short-term bonds.

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