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International trade. --- Economic policy.

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The global financial crisis highlighted the impact on macroeconomic outcomes of recurrent events like business and financial cycles, highs and lows in volatility, and crashes and recessions. At the most basic level, such recurrent events can be summarized using binary indicators showing if the event will occur or not. These indicators are constructed either directly from data or indirectly through models. Because they are constructed, they have different properties than those arising in microeconometrics, and how one is to use them depends a lot on the method of construction.xml_char_ref(d;) This book presents the econometric methods necessary for the successful modeling of recurrent events, providing valuable insights for policymakers, empirical researchers, and theorists. It explains why it is inherently difficult to forecast the onset of a recession in a way that provides useful guidance for active stabilization policy, with the consequence that policymakers should place more emphasis on making the economy robust to recessions. The book offers a range of econometric tools and techniques that researchers can use to measure recurrent events, summarize their properties, and evaluate how effectively economic and statistical models capture them. These methods also offer insights for developing models that are consistent with observed financial and real cycles

Business cycles --- Macroeconomics --- Econometrics --- Econometric models --- Mathematical models --- 305.2 --- Statistieken van de conjunctuur. --- Statistieken van de conjunctuur --- Business cycles - Econometric models --- Macroeconomics - Mathematical models --- Econometric models. --- Econometrics. --- Mathematical models. --- Markov switching models. --- amplitudes. --- binary states. --- bivariate series. --- business cycles. --- contraction. --- cycles financial series. --- cycles. --- dating cycles. --- dating. --- durations. --- economic activity. --- economic models. --- economic recessions. --- economy. --- event indicators. --- expansion. --- financial cycles. --- financial shocks. --- fluctuation. --- global financial crisis. --- linear autoregression. --- macroeconomy. --- microeconometrics. --- model-based rules. --- multiple series. --- oscillation. --- peaks. --- policymakers. --- prediction. --- recession. --- recurrent events. --- recurrent states. --- regression. --- statistics. --- synchronization. --- time series. --- time. --- troughs. --- univariate series. --- volatility.

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History of the United Kingdom and Ireland --- History of France --- History of civilization --- anno 1500-1599 --- anno 1600-1699 --- Paris --- London --- 393 <420> --- 393 <44> --- 393 --- Cemeteries --- -Cemeteries --- -Funeral rites and ceremonies --- -Sociology, Urban --- -Urban sociology --- Cities and towns --- Funerals --- Mortuary ceremonies --- Obsequies --- Manners and customs --- Rites and ceremonies --- Burial --- Cremation --- Dead --- Mourning customs --- Burial grounds --- Burying-grounds --- Churchyards --- Graves --- Graveyards --- Memorial gardens (Cemeteries) --- Memorial parks (Cemeteries) --- Memory gardens (Cemeteries) --- Necropoleis --- Necropoles --- Necropoli --- Necropolises --- Death care industry --- Dood. Dodengebruiken. Dodenritueel. Lijkverbranding. Begrafenis. Crematie. Rouw. Opbaren. Lijkstoet. Sterven. Dodenmaskers--Engeland --- Dood. Dodengebruiken. Dodenritueel. Lijkverbranding. Begrafenis. Crematie. Rouw. Opbaren. Lijkstoet. Sterven. Dodenmaskers--Frankrijk --- Dood. Dodengebruiken. Dodenritueel. Lijkverbranding. Begrafenis. Crematie. Rouw. Opbaren. Lijkstoet. Sterven. Dodenmaskers --- History --- Funeral rites and ceremonies --- Sociology, Urban --- History. --- -Dood. Dodengebruiken. Dodenritueel. Lijkverbranding. Begrafenis. Crematie. Rouw. Opbaren. Lijkstoet. Sterven. Dodenmaskers--Engeland --- 393 Dood. Dodengebruiken. Dodenritueel. Lijkverbranding. Begrafenis. Crematie. Rouw. Opbaren. Lijkstoet. Sterven. Dodenmaskers --- 393 <44> Dood. Dodengebruiken. Dodenritueel. Lijkverbranding. Begrafenis. Crematie. Rouw. Opbaren. Lijkstoet. Sterven. Dodenmaskers--Frankrijk --- 393 <420> Dood. Dodengebruiken. Dodenritueel. Lijkverbranding. Begrafenis. Crematie. Rouw. Opbaren. Lijkstoet. Sterven. Dodenmaskers--Engeland --- -393 Dood. Dodengebruiken. Dodenritueel. Lijkverbranding. Begrafenis. Crematie. Rouw. Opbaren. Lijkstoet. Sterven. Dodenmaskers --- Urban sociology --- Cryomation --- 393 Death. Treatment of corpses. Funerals. Death rites --- Death. Treatment of corpses. Funerals. Death rites

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Income --- Income distribution --- Transfer payments --- -Government transfer payments --- Payments, Transfer --- Expenditures, Public --- National income --- Mathematical models. --- Mathematical models --- Accounting --- -Mathematical models. --- Government transfer payments --- Income distribution. --- Labor market. --- Lifetime income

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820 <73> --- 973 --- Amerikaanse literatuur --- Geschiedenis van de Verenigde Staten van Amerika (USA) --- 973 Geschiedenis van de Verenigde Staten van Amerika (USA) --- 820 <73> Amerikaanse literatuur --- Emerson, Ralph Waldo --- Criticism and interpretation --- Poe, Edgar Allan --- Hawthorne, Nathaniel --- Parkman, Francis --- Thoreau, Henry David --- Longfellow, Henry Wadsworth --- Melville, Herman --- Whitman, Walt --- Channing, William Ellery --- Bancroft, George --- Brownson, Orestes Augustus --- Lincoln, Abraham --- American literature --- 19th century --- History and criticism --- Littérature américaine. 1830-1865. --- Amerikaanse letterkunde. 1830-1865.