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A sobering and fascinating study on war in the modern era, this book carefully explores strategies that militarily and politically disadvantaged nations might take in order to successfully attack a geopolitical superpower like the United States. American military doctrine is typically led by technology; a new class of weapon or vehicle is developed, which allows or encourages an adjustment in strategy. The authors argue that this dynamic is a crucial weakness in the American military, and that this blind spot with regard to alternative forms of warfare could be effectively exploited by enemies. This book concerns the many ways in which this might occur, and, in turn, suggests what the United States might do to defend itself. The traditional mentality that offensive action is limited to military action is no longer adequate given the range of contemporary threats and the rising costs - both in dollars and lives lost - of traditional warfare. Instead, the authors suggest the significance of alternatives to direct military confrontation, including international policy, economic warfare, attacks on digital infrastructure and networks, and terrorism. Even a relatively insignificant state can incapacitate a far more powerful enemy by applying pressure to their economic and political systems.

Polemology --- WAR--FORECASTING --- MILITARY ART AND SCIENCE--FORECASTING

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"Développement économique vertigineux, montée en puissance impressionnante, modernisation militaire sans précédent, passions nationalistes souvent incandescentes, confrontation de plus en plus intense avec les États-Unis, tous ces ingrédients connus semblent conduire immanquablement la Chine à la guerre.Les causes immédiates d'un conflit armé ne manquent pas : les prétentions de Pékin en mer de Chine du Sud, le conflit territorial sino-japonais autour des Senkaku (Diaoyu) et surtout la volonté farouche de Xi Jinping de réunifier Taiwan à la République populaire constituent les principaux barils de poudre qui peuvent à tout moment exploser. De fait, les prédictions d'un affrontement militaire dans le détroit de Formose d'où la Chine sortirait vainqueur se multiplient. Pour l'heure, ce que l'on observe avant tout est une utilisation de plus en plus fréquente par le gouvernement chinois de ce qu'on appelle les «zones grises» entre la paix et la guerre. Cette stratégie s'est étendue, en 2020, à la longue frontière sino-indienne. Ce nouveau modus operandi permet aussi à l'Armée populaire de libération (APL) et aux autres agences de sécurité chinoises d'améliorer leur capacité de projection de forces et leur préparation au combat. Mais les enjeux d'une guerre ouverte, et pas uniquement avec les États-Unis, restent énormes, incitant l'APL à d'abord envisager des «opérations extérieures» plus limitées et moins dangereuses. Pour ces raisons, bien que nul ne puisse contrôler les passions humaines, et sans pour autant exclure l'irruption de crises militaires, la Chine et les États-Unis s'orientent plus vers une guerre froide d'un nouveau type que vers une guerre chaude qui pourrait rapidement se nucléariser."

War --- Forecasting --- China --- Foreign relations --- Politics and government --- CHINA--FOREIGN RELATIONS --- War - Forecasting --- China - Foreign relations - 1976 --- -China - Politics and government - 2002 --- -War - Forecasting --- -War

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The information revolution--which is as much an organizational as a technological revolution--is transforming the nature of conflict across the spectrum: from open warfare, to terrorism, crime, and even radical social activism. The era of massed field armies is passing, because the new information and communications systems are increasing the lethality of quite small units that can call in deadly, precise missile fire almost anywhere, anytime. In social conflicts, the Internet and other media are greatly empowering individuals and small groups to influence the behavior of states. Whether in mi

War --- Information society. --- Forecasting. --- Sociology --- Information superhighway --- Information society --- 842 Media --- Forecasting --- War - Forecasting.

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"This handbook provides a comprehensive, problem-driven and dynamic overview of the future of warfare. The volatilities and uncertainties of the global security environment raise timely and important questions about the future of humanity's oldest occupation: war. This volume addresses these questions through a collection of cutting-edge contributions by leading scholars in the field. Its overall focus is prognostic rather than futuristic, highlighting discernible trends, key developments and themes without downplaying the lessons from the past. By making the past meet the present in order to envision the future, the handbook offers a diversified outlook on the future of warfare which will be indispensable for researchers, students and military practitioners alike. The volume is divided into six thematic sections. Section I draws out general trends in the phenomenon of war and sketches the most significant developments, from the past to the present and into the future. Section II looks at the areas and domains which actively shape the future of warfare. Section III engages with the main theories and conceptions of warfare, capturing those attributes of contemporary conflicts which will most likely persist and determine the dynamics and directions of their transformations. The fourth section addresses differentiation and complexity in the domain of warfare, pointing to those factors which will exert a strong impact on the structure and properties of that domain. Section V focuses on technology as the principal trigger of changes and alterations in the essence of warfare. The final section draws on the general trends identified in Section I and sheds light on how those trends have manifested in specific local contexts. This section zooms in on particular geographies which are seen and anticipated as hotbeds where future warfare will most likely assume its shape and reveal its true colours. This book will be of great interest to students of strategic studies, defence studies, war and technology, and International Relations"--

WAR--FORECASTING --- MILITARY ART AND SCIENCE--FORECASTING --- MILITARY ART AND SCIENCE--TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATIONS

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This book provides an interdisciplinary analysis of the future of US warfare, including its military practices and the domestic and global challenges it faces. The need to undertake a comprehensive analysis about the future of warfare for the US is more pressing today than ever before. New technologies and adversaries, both old and new, have the potential to revolutionize how wars are fought and it is imperative that policy makers, military planners, and scholars engage with the latest analyses regarding these new threats and weapon systems. The primary aim of this book is to provide a clear and comprehensive depiction of the types of conflict that the United States is likely to become involved with in the future, as well as the methods of warfare that it may employ within these struggles. While a number of scholarly books have previously considered some of the potential features of US warfare in the future, many of these writings are either outdated, or have limited their focus to just one or two of the main types of warfare that may occur and omitted consideration of the others. This book intends to remedy this deficiency in the literature. The volume consists of thematic chapters which address the key issues relevant to the future of US warfare, including cyber warfare, asymmetric conflicts, drone warfare, and nuclear strategy. Through the provision of a series of analyses by leading international academics, the volume provides an important interdisciplinary examination of the different areas of warfare that the United States is expected to use or encounter in the future.

MILITARY ART AND SCIENCE--USA --- USA--MILITARY POLICY --- WAR--FORECASTING --- Polemology --- United States --- United States of America