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Atomic spectroscopy. --- Radiative transitions. --- Spectroscopie atomique --- Radiative transitions

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THERMODYNAMICS --- CRITICAL PHENOMENA --- PHASE TRANSITIONS

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Atomic physics --- Molecular physics --- Transitions non radiatives. --- Radiationless transitions. --- Théorie moléculaire. --- Molecular theory. --- Transitions non radiatives --- Théorie moléculaire

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This paper proposes a non-parametric adaptation of a recently developed parametric technique to produce point estimates of intra-generational economic mobility in the absence of panel data sets that follow individuals over time. The method predicts past individual income or consumption using time-invariant observable characteristics, which allows the estimation of mobility into and out of poverty, as well as household-level income or consumption growth, from cross-sectional data. The paper validates this method by sampling repeated cross-sections out of actual panel data sets from three countries in the Latin America region and comparing the technique with mobility from panels. Overall, the method performs well in the three settings; with few exceptions, all estimates fall within the 95 percent confidence intervals of the panel mobility. The quality of the estimates does not depend in general on the sophistication level of the underlying welfare model's specifications. The results are encouraging even for those specifications that include few time-invariant variables as regressors.

Poverty Transitions --- Poverty, Welfare Dynamics --- Synthetic Panels

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Materials sciences --- Composites. --- 538.91 --- Structures, including transitions --- 538.91 Structures, including transitions