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Probability theory --- waarschijnlijkheidstheorie

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This textbook, which is based on the second edition of a book that has been previously published in German language, provides a comprehension-oriented introduction to asymptotic stochastics. It is aimed at the beginning of a master's degree course in mathematics and covers the material that can be taught in a four-hour lecture with two-hour exercises. Individual chapters are also suitable for seminars at the end of a bachelor's degree course. In addition to more basic topics such as the method of moments in connection with the convergence in distribution or the multivariate central limit theorem and the delta method, the book covers limit theorems for U-statistics, the Wiener process and Donsker's theorem, as well as the Brownian bridge, with applications to statistics. It concludes with a central limit theorem for triangular arrays of Hilbert space-valued random elements with applications to weighted L² statistics. The book is deliberately designed for self-study. It contains 138 self-questions, which are answered at the end of each chapter, as well as 194 exercises with solutions. The Author Norbert Henze is a retired professor of stochastics at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT). He was awarded the Ars legendi Faculty Prize 2014 for excellent university teaching in mathematics. This book is a translation of an original German edition. The translation was done with the help of artificial intelligence (machine translation by the service DeepL.com). A subsequent human revision was done primarily in terms of content, so that the book will read stylistically differently from a conventional translation.

Probabilities. --- Statistics. --- Probability Theory.

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Finance --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- Mathematical models.

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This concise textbook, fashioned along the syllabus for master’s and Ph.D. programmes, covers basic results on discrete-time martingales and applications. It includes additional interesting and useful topics, providing the ability to move beyond. Adequate details are provided with exercises within the text and at the end of chapters. Basic results include Doob’s optional sampling theorem, Wald identities, Doob’s maximal inequality, upcrossing lemma, time-reversed martingales, a variety of convergence results and a limited discussion of the Burkholder inequalities. Applications include the 0-1 laws of Kolmogorov and Hewitt–Savage, the strong laws for U-statistics and exchangeable sequences, De Finetti’s theorem for exchangeable sequences and Kakutani’s theorem for product martingales. A simple central limit theorem for martingales is proven and applied to a basic urn model, the trace of a random matrix and Markov chains. Additional topics include forward martingale representation for U-statistics, conditional Borel–Cantelli lemma, Azuma–Hoeffding inequality, conditional three series theorem, strong law for martingales and the Kesten–Stigum theorem for a simple branching process. The prerequisite for this course is a first course in measure theoretic probability. The book recollects its essential concepts and results, mostly without proof, but full details have been provided for the Radon–Nikodym theorem and the concept of conditional expectation.

Stochastic processes. --- Probabilities. --- Stochastic Processes. --- Probability Theory.

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Benford's Law is a probability distribution for the likelihood of the leading digit in a set of numbers. This book seeks to improve and systematize the use of Benford's Law in the social sciences to assess the validity of self-reported data. The authors first introduce a new measure of conformity to the Benford distribution that is created using permutation statistical methods and employs the concept of statistical agreement. In a switch from a typical Benford application, this book moves away from using Benford's Law to test whether the data conform to the Benford distribution, to using it to draw conclusions about the validity of the data. The concept of 'Benford validity' is developed, which indicates whether a dataset is valid based on comparisons with the Benford distribution and, in relation to this, diagnostic procedure that assesses the impact of not having Benford validity on data analysis is devised.

Social sciences --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- Quantitative research --- Statistical methods. --- Evaluation.