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Continuous technological advancements allow for the rapid development of drones, sensors that can be mounted on them, and software to process the collected data. More and more, this technology is also used in ecology to gather high-quality data over large areas, where this used to be very time and labour intensive. One of the many types of data that can be gathered this way is three-dimensional (3D) data (e.g. the height of the terrain and vegetation or the circumference of trees). This can provide insights in various applications such as nature conservation, modelling of erosion or flood risks, or research in climate change. Currently, two methods are mainly used to collect this type of data: Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) and Structure from Motion photogrammetry (SfM). Both methods return a point cloud as an output after data processing. These consist of a very large number of points, which each have their own position in space. Together, they are a virtual representation of the objects or terrain of interest. LiDAR sensors send out a large number of laser pulses themselves in short intervals, which can be reflected on the object of interest (e.g. trees or the soil), and can then be redetected. Based on the direction of the pulses and the time required to return to the sensor, the position of all reflected points can be determined. For the SfM method, multiple overlapping images are collected, under various angles. Specialized computer programs can recognise specific points which occur on multiple overlapping images, and can create a point cloud based on geometrical principles. This thesis has compared both methods over 1 ha forest to determine how well results from SfM can equal those from LiDAR in this setting. In general, the LiDAR method is considered most accurate, especially because the laser pulses can better penetrate through the vegetation down to the soil. The images gathered for SfM can however not ‘see’ that well through the canopy, and thus less information about the lower vegetation layers and the terrain can be derived. Nevertheless, LiDAR sensors are nowadays much more expensive than the cameras for SfM. The flight altitude, camera angle and image overlap of SfM were varied in the comparison. Furthermore, it was investigated to what extent the LiDAR point cloud could be used to determine the diameters of trees. The results showed that also in this study, LiDAR could best determine the terrain and lower vegetation. On the other hand, SfM point clouds had more points and detail at the top of the canopy or over unvegetated terrain. Besides, they also represented the terrain well, there where the terrain was best detected. Which method performs best, thus strongly depends on the application (for example, LiDAR for terrain coverage, or SfM for high detail at the top of the canopy or in case of little vegetation). For SfM, a lower flight altitude, a higher image overlap and a camera angle that included more of the sides of the object caused a larger number of points. A low altitude and more overlap improved the point elevations, whereas the camera angle especially improved the tree height. A rather limited number of tree diameters was well determined from the LiDAR cloud. One of the most important causes here was the need for a division of the point cloud in individual trees, which often did not happen correctly, with missing or even multiple stems.
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Global biodiversity is declining rapidly, and Europe is no exception. The main causes are climate change and changes in land use, both induced by human activities. The Natura 2000 network is a crucial conservation tool for biodiversity within the European Union. It encompasses protected sites across the continent with exceptional flora, fauna and habitats. This thesis investigates the robustness of current Natura 2000 conservation targets under future environmental projections (SSP5-8.5 scenario), focusing on grassland habitats. We used joint species distribution models (JSDM) fitted by hierarchical species community modeling (Hmsc), to assess changes in the distribution of indicator species for ten grassland habitats. The status of these habitats was then defined in various PAs within the Natura 2000 network. The thesis aimed to assess the effects of climate and land use change, the future distribution of grassland species and the effectiveness of PAs for grassland habitats. Despite its conservation potential, the network may not mitigate current biodiversity loss and habitat degradation. The results point to significant changes in species distribution and habitat status by the end of the century. The study highlights that many sites risk failing to maintain a favorable conservation status if they do not take sufficient account of the impact of future environmental change. This research highlights the need to adopt adaptive management practices and integrate environmental change into conservation planning. It contributes to our understanding of biodiversity conservation in the context of climate change and could inform other conservation strategies for European grassland habitats.
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As ecosystem engineers, earthworms significantly impact soil properties, nutrient cycles, other soil biota (e.g., mites and springtails), and plants. They provide ecosystem services such as enhanced food production, flood mitigation, carbon sequestration and environmental education. Furthermore, earthworms serve as bioindicators, offering insights on soil health and quality. Conservation efforts are needed and require knowledge on their distribution, but traditional sampling methods are labour-intensive and can fail to detect all species present at a site. This makes Species Distribution Models (SDMs) valuable tools for inferring their distribution over large spatial extents. Combining models (ensemble modelling) may improve the quality of predictions, but use presence-absence models that are less preferable for earthworms. Presence-only methods like MaxEnt are thus particularly interesting, but these require the optimisation of several parameters. Combining models with different MaxEnt settings (‘within-algorithm ensemble modelling’) may thus improve predictions. In this study, I modelled earthworm distribution across Europe by creating 200 MaxEnt models per species, varying in background point selection, data thinning of training observations, and model complexity. Models performing well in block-cross validation were included in ensembles to generate suitability maps, later converted to binary presence-absence maps for further analysis. The results of this study show that the within-algorithm ensembles did not significantly outperform single MaxEnt models with default or species-optimised settings, which could be due to insufficiently independent evaluation data and excessive complexity of models with default settings. Furthermore, key factors influencing earthworm distribution were land cover, soil type and soil temperature seasonality. The output further showed that species richness was highest in the Iberian peninsula, around the Balkan Mountains and Carpathians, the north coast of Turkey and the Caucasus and Ural Mountains, although most species showed greater model extrapolation to the east of Europe. More specifically, epigeics were predicted to reach significantly higher latitudes than endogeics, indicating their greater cold resistance and acid tolerance. These maps provide testable hypotheses regarding species ecology. In conclusion, within-algorithm ensemble modelling could improve predictions of species distribution. Nevertheless, more research is needed, which could target more data-rich species groups (e.g., birds) to further test this hypothesis regarding within-algorithm ensembles put forward in this thesis.
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Soil is vital for soil fauna and humans, hosting one quarter of all living species on this planet and supporting ecosystem functions including carbon and nutrient cycling, clean water, food and wood products. Moreover, the vegetation and the soil are interconnected, impacting soil and forest floor properties. Despite increasing interest, life beneath our feet and its determinants remains understudied. Furthermore, amidst the ongoing biodiversity crisis, it is imperative to explore how we can enhance soil biodiversity through thoughtful management decisions, as diverse soil fauna supports key ecosystem services and boosts resilience to disturbances. The thesis delved into the current state of soil communities and their composition and diversity in Flanders' forests by evaluating soil fauna composition, including earthworms and mesofauna, across 35 plots in Flanders, Belgium. Additionally, the research extended to investigating the impacts of forest management decisions, particularly concerning overstory tree species composition, on soil fauna. Moreover, it identified management strategies aimed at enhancing soil biodiversity. Our findings reveal that taxonomic and species richness in the forests of Flanders is comparable to Europe but with lower abundances. Over 90 percent of soil fauna consists of mesofauna including mites and springtails. Biodiversity differs between overstory tree composition, i.e. coniferous monoculture, deciduous monoculture and mixed deciduous. Deciduous stands positively affected earthworm biomass. The acidity of the forest floor is the main determining factor for earthworm biomass and composition. However, forest floor acidity is related to other soil properties like nutrient concentrations or palatability of the litter, which may amplify the effect. The main determinants of mesofauna abundance and diversity are less clear. Mesofauna appears to benefit in environments where coniferous trees contribute to a thicker forest floor layer, providing a stable microclimate in terms of temperature and moisture, throughout the year. Old forests and undisturbed nature reserves have a positive influence on mesofauna communities. However, it is important to note that these effects were assessed based on overall mesofauna abundance and taxonomic order identification. A more detailed identification, e.g. to species level, may respond differently to the analyzed factors. To conclude, this study shows that deciduous forests benefit earthworms while coniferous forests may support mesofauna, indicating there is no management strategy that fits all. However, maintaining a heterogeneous landscape, comprising monocultures and mixed coniferous and deciduous trees remains crucial. The positive impact of old forests and nature reserves on soil fauna communities underscores the importance of preserving these ecosystems.
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Climate change has an important influence on the geographical space in which species can live. As locations are becoming unsuitable, species will have to shift their geographical range, in general towards higher elevations and latitudes, following the moving isotherms. However, many species (especially forest plants) will not be able to track climate change, because they have too low dispersal rates or are living in fragmented habitats. Hence, they are at the risk of extinction. However, most studies do not integrate the microclimate when estimating species’ responses to climate change. In temperate forests, microclimate is buffered, so species in the understorey of forests experience overall cooler maximum temperatures and higher minimum temperatures, hence they have the potential to provide microrefugia for species threatened by climate change. In this way, species do not have to travel long distances to find new suitable habitats. Efforts have been made to model the microclimate in the future to estimate if decoupling, an increasing difference between macroclimate and microclimate temperatures, is the case, but they do not take the changing forest structure into account (both in time and space). This thesis seeks to partly fill this research gap by integrating changes in forest structural variables, such as canopy cover and canopy height, for three future climate scenarios (moderate, hot and hot & dry) in BRT models. These models aim to predict the mean and maximum microclimate temperature of the summer season in the current situation and the mean and the maximum microclimate temperature for Meerdaal forest under future conditions (period 2096 2100). The findings indicate that Meerdaal forest currently exhibits a buffering capacity for both studied temperature variables. The mean temperature offsets, the difference between the microclimate and the macroclimate, continue to be negative in the future scenarios, but the maximum temperature offset is unexpectedly positive (i.e. the microclimate is warmer than the macroclimate) for the hot scenario, whereas temperature cooling occurs under the driest climate scenario (hot & dry). These deviances from the expectations are mostly related to extrapolation issues. By recognizing the importance of microclimate, forest management should protect microclimatic areas using adapted techniques and minimize canopy disturbances. Despite its limitations, this study demonstrates the potential for integrating microclimate variables into future ecological research, highlighting their role in detecting microrefugia and enhancing species distribution models (SDMs).
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