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This licentiate thesis by Elias Erdtman focuses on change point detection concerning variance in sequences of independent normally distributed observations with a constant mean. The study introduces a method to filter out extreme observations and divides sequences into subsequences for analysis. The method translates extreme values into binomial random variables to test against expected extremes, based on prior sequence knowledge. The approach extends to multivariate observations using the Mahalanobis distance, allowing similar analysis in transformed univariate sequences. Additionally, the work explores statistical measures such as eigenvalues, divergence, and Bhattacharyya distance. This research aims to improve statistical methods in detecting changes in variance, primarily targeting an academic audience in the field of mathematics and statistics.
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God and Gaia explores the overlap between traditional religious cosmologies and the scientific Gaia theory of James Lovelock. It argues that a Gaian approach to the ecological crisis involves rebalancing human and more-than-human influences on Earth by reviving the ecological agency of local and indigenous human communities, and of nonhuman beings. Present-day human ecological influences on Earth have been growing at pace since the Scientific and Industrial Revolutions, when modern humans adopted a machine cosmology in which humans are the sole intelligent agency. The resultant imbalance between human and Earthly agencies is degrading the species diversity of ecosystems, causing local climate changes, and threatens to destabilise the Earth as a System. Across eight chapters this ambitious text engages with traditional cosmologies from the Indian Vedas and classical Greece to Medieval Christianity, with case material from Southeast Asia, Southern Africa and Great Britain. It discusses concepts such as deep time and ancestral time, the ethics of genetic engineering of foods and viruses, and holistic ecological management. Calling for an ontological turn that honours the differential agency of other beings and draws on sacred traditions, Northcott argues that it is possible to repair the destabilising impacts of contemporary human activities on the Earth System and its constituent ecosystems. This book will be of considerable interest to students and scholars of the environmental humanities, history, cultural and religious studies.
Human ecology --- Gaia hypothesis --- Religion and science --- Religious aspects
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"Wise Use of Null Hypothesis Tests is a user-friendly handbook meant for practitioners. Rather than overwhelming the reader with endless mathematical operations that are rarely performed by hand, the author emphasizes concepts and reasoning. In Wise Use of Null Hypothesis Tests, the author explains what is accomplished by testing null hypotheses--and what is not. The author explains the misconceptions that concern null hypothesis testing. He explains why confidence intervals show the results of null hypothesis tests. Most importantly, the author explains the Big Secret. Many--some say all--null hypotheses must be false. But authorities tell us we should test false null hypotheses anyway to determine the direction of a difference that we know must be there (a topic unrelated to so-called one-tailed tests). In Wise Use of Null Hypothesis Tests, the author explains how to control how often we get the direction wrong (it is not half of alpha) and commit a Type III (or Type S) error."--
Mathematical statistics. --- Statistical hypothesis testing. --- Hypothesis testing (Statistics) --- Significance testing (Statistics) --- Statistical significance testing --- Testing statistical hypotheses --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- Hypothesis --- Mathematical statistics --- Mathematics --- Statistical inference --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Statistics --- Probabilities --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Statistical methods
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This books presents a documentation and resulting perspectives regarding James Lovelock's multidisciplinary evolution theory. It looks at past and current climate changes and their consequences, including detailed accounts of the global warming. The connection between climate trajectories and extreme weather events, including tropical and arctic fronts, cyclones, fire storms, tropical storms, acidification, tsunami, floods, sea level rise, are referred to in connection with recent developments. The book updates earlier accounts regarding extreme weather events and mass extinctions.
Meteorology. Climatology --- Geology. Earth sciences --- klimatologie --- geografie --- geologie --- aarde (astronomie) --- Climatic changes. --- Evolutionary paleoecology. --- Gaia hypothesis. --- Lovelock, James,
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The authors present a fundamental critique of the phonological enterprise. They examine the nature of phonological acquisition and its relation to an innate acquisition device, consider the distinction between competence and performance, and evaluate competing explanations of diachronic phonology.
Competence and performance (Linguistics). --- Grammar, Comparative and general --- Innateness hypothesis (Linguistics). --- Language acquisition. --- Optimality theory (Linguistics). --- Phonology. --- Innateness hypothesis (Linguistics) --- Competence and performance (Linguistics) --- Optimality theory (Linguistics) --- Phonetics --- Language acquisition --- Optimality (Linguistics) --- Optimization (Linguistics) --- Generative grammar --- Acquisition of language --- Developmental linguistics --- Developmental psycholinguistics --- Language and languages --- Language development in children --- Psycholinguistics, Developmental --- Interpersonal communication in children --- Psycholinguistics --- Language bioprogram hypothesis (Linguistics) --- Phonology --- Performance and competence (Linguistics) --- Creativity (Linguistics) --- Acquisition --- Linguistics --- Philology --- Grammar, Comparative and general Phonology
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Based on an annual conference at Simon Fraser University, this volume collects together papers that discuss the evidence and arguments regarding the inheritability and innateness of grammar, and shows that whole precursors of language exist in other creatures. In the VANCOUVER STUDIES IN COGNITIVE SCIENCE series.
Innateness hypothesis (Linguistics) --- Biolinguistics. --- Language disorders. --- Language acquisition. --- Language and languages --- Origin of languages --- Speech --- Acquisition of language --- Developmental linguistics --- Developmental psycholinguistics --- Language development in children --- Psycholinguistics, Developmental --- Interpersonal communication in children --- Psycholinguistics --- Dysphasia --- Communicative disorders --- Biology --- Linguistics --- Language bioprogram hypothesis (Linguistics) --- Origin. --- Origin --- Acquisition
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This paper investigates house price dynamics at high frequency using city-level observations during the period 1994-2022 in Lithuania. We employ multiple time series-based econometric procedures to examine whether real house prices and house price-to-rent ratios exhibit explosive behavior. According to these recursive right-tailed test results, we reject the null hypothesis of no-bubble and find evidence for long and multiple periods of explosive behavior in the real estate market in all major cities during the sample period. While the size of bubbles varies across cities, especially when we use the house price-to-rent ratio, there is clearly a similar boom-bust pattern. Large house price corrections can in turn have adverse effects on economic performance and financial stability, as experienced during the global financial crisis and other episodes in history.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Real Estate --- Financial Risk Management --- Infrastructure --- Hypothesis Testing --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data --- Forecasting and Other Model Applications --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Fiscal Policy --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Financial Crises --- Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location: General --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Property & real estate --- Housing prices --- Prices --- Asset bubbles --- Financial crises --- Real estate prices --- Asset prices --- National accounts --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Saving and investment --- Lithuania, Republic of
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This paper investigates house price dynamics at high frequency using city-level observations during the period 1994-2022 in Lithuania. We employ multiple time series-based econometric procedures to examine whether real house prices and house price-to-rent ratios exhibit explosive behavior. According to these recursive right-tailed test results, we reject the null hypothesis of no-bubble and find evidence for long and multiple periods of explosive behavior in the real estate market in all major cities during the sample period. While the size of bubbles varies across cities, especially when we use the house price-to-rent ratio, there is clearly a similar boom-bust pattern. Large house price corrections can in turn have adverse effects on economic performance and financial stability, as experienced during the global financial crisis and other episodes in history.
Lithuania, Republic of --- Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Real Estate --- Financial Risk Management --- Infrastructure --- Hypothesis Testing --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data --- Forecasting and Other Model Applications --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- Fiscal Policy --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Financial Crises --- Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location: General --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Property & real estate --- Housing prices --- Prices --- Asset bubbles --- Financial crises --- Real estate prices --- Asset prices --- National accounts --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Saving and investment
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"The Renaissance, scholars have long argued, was a period beset by the loss of philosophical certainty. In Possible Knowledge, Debapriya Sarkar argues for the pivotal role of literature--what early moderns termed poesie--in the dynamic intellectual culture of this era of profound incertitude. Revealing how problems of epistemology are inextricable from questions of literary form, Sarkar offers a defense of poiesis, or literary making, as a vital philosophical endeavor. Working across a range of genres, Sarkar theorizes "possible knowledge" as an intellectual paradigm crafted in and through literary form. Sixteenth- and seventeenth-century writers such as Spenser, Bacon, Shakespeare, Cavendish, and Milton marshalled the capacious concept of the "possible," defined by Philip Sidney as what "may be and should be," to construct new theories of physical and metaphysical reality. These early modern thinkers mobilized the imaginative habits of thought constitutive to major genres of literary writing--including epic, tragedy, romance, lyric, and utopia--in order to produce knowledge divorced from historical truth and empirical fact by envisioning states of being untethered from "nature" or reality. Approaching imaginative modes such as hypothesis, conjecture, prediction, and counterfactuals as instruments of possible knowledge, Sarkar exposes how the speculative allure of the "possible" lurks within scientific experiment, induction, and theories of probability. In showing how early modern literary writing sought to grapple with the challenge of forging knowledge in an uncertain, perhaps even incomprehensible world, Possible Knowledge also highlights its most audacious intellectual ambition: its claim that while natural philosophy, or what we today term science, might explain the physical world, literature could remake reality. Enacting a history of ideas that centers literary studies, Possible Knowledge suggests that what we have termed a history of science might ultimately be a history of the imagination."--Provided by publisher.
LITERARY CRITICISM / Renaissance. --- Bacon. --- Cavendish. --- Defense of Poesie. --- Faerie Queene. --- Macbeth. --- Milton. --- Novum Organum. --- Paradise Lost. --- Shakespeare. --- Sidney. --- Spenser. --- allegory. --- conjecture. --- counterfactual. --- experience. --- experiment. --- history of science. --- hypothesis. --- imagination. --- literary form. --- literature and intellectual history. --- literature and science. --- natural philosophy. --- poetics. --- poetry. --- possible worlds. --- prediction. --- reality. --- scientific method. --- speculative. --- worldbuilding. --- English literature --- Knowledge, Theory of, in literature. --- Literature and science --- Knowledge, Theory of --- Imagination in literature. --- Literary form --- Form, Literary --- Forms, Literary --- Forms of literature --- Genre (Literature) --- Genre, Literary --- Genres, Literary --- Genres of literature --- Literary forms --- Literary genetics --- Literary genres --- Literary types (Genres) --- Literature --- Epistemology --- Theory of knowledge --- Philosophy --- Psychology --- Poetry and science --- Science and literature --- Science and poetry --- Science and the humanities --- History and criticism. --- History. --- Science --- Thematology --- anno 1500-1799
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