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Change Point Detection with Respect to Variance.
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ISBN: 9789180752404 9789180752398 Year: 2023 Publisher: Linköping : Linkopings Universitet,

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This licentiate thesis by Elias Erdtman focuses on change point detection concerning variance in sequences of independent normally distributed observations with a constant mean. The study introduces a method to filter out extreme observations and divides sequences into subsequences for analysis. The method translates extreme values into binomial random variables to test against expected extremes, based on prior sequence knowledge. The approach extends to multivariate observations using the Mahalanobis distance, allowing similar analysis in transformed univariate sequences. Additionally, the work explores statistical measures such as eigenvalues, divergence, and Bhattacharyya distance. This research aims to improve statistical methods in detecting changes in variance, primarily targeting an academic audience in the field of mathematics and statistics.


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God and Gaia : science, religion and ethics on a living planet
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ISBN: 9780367627744 0367627744 9780367627751 0367627752 9781003110750 Year: 2023 Publisher: Abingdon Routledge

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God and Gaia explores the overlap between traditional religious cosmologies and the scientific Gaia theory of James Lovelock. It argues that a Gaian approach to the ecological crisis involves rebalancing human and more-than-human influences on Earth by reviving the ecological agency of local and indigenous human communities, and of nonhuman beings. Present-day human ecological influences on Earth have been growing at pace since the Scientific and Industrial Revolutions, when modern humans adopted a machine cosmology in which humans are the sole intelligent agency. The resultant imbalance between human and Earthly agencies is degrading the species diversity of ecosystems, causing local climate changes, and threatens to destabilise the Earth as a System. Across eight chapters this ambitious text engages with traditional cosmologies from the Indian Vedas and classical Greece to Medieval Christianity, with case material from Southeast Asia, Southern Africa and Great Britain. It discusses concepts such as deep time and ancestral time, the ethics of genetic engineering of foods and viruses, and holistic ecological management. Calling for an ontological turn that honours the differential agency of other beings and draws on sacred traditions, Northcott argues that it is possible to repair the destabilising impacts of contemporary human activities on the Earth System and its constituent ecosystems. This book will be of considerable interest to students and scholars of the environmental humanities, history, cultural and religious studies.


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Wise use of null hypothesis tests : a practitioner's handbook
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ISBN: 9780323952859 9780323952842 0323952852 0323952844 Year: 2023 Publisher: London, United Kingdom : Academic Press is an imprint of Elsevier,

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"Wise Use of Null Hypothesis Tests is a user-friendly handbook meant for practitioners. Rather than overwhelming the reader with endless mathematical operations that are rarely performed by hand, the author emphasizes concepts and reasoning. In Wise Use of Null Hypothesis Tests, the author explains what is accomplished by testing null hypotheses--and what is not. The author explains the misconceptions that concern null hypothesis testing. He explains why confidence intervals show the results of null hypothesis tests. Most importantly, the author explains the Big Secret. Many--some say all--null hypotheses must be false. But authorities tell us we should test false null hypotheses anyway to determine the direction of a difference that we know must be there (a topic unrelated to so-called one-tailed tests). In Wise Use of Null Hypothesis Tests, the author explains how to control how often we get the direction wrong (it is not half of alpha) and commit a Type III (or Type S) error."--


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Statistical power analysis : a simple and general model for traditional and modern hypothesis tests
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ISBN: 9781032283012 9781032283005 9781003296225 Year: 2023 Publisher: Abingdon, Oxon ; New York, NY : Routledge,

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The trials of Gaia : milestones in the evolution of Earth with reference to the Anthropocene
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ISBN: 9783031237096 9783031237089 9783031237102 9783031237119 Year: 2023 Publisher: Cham, Switzerland : Springer Nature Switzerland AG,

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This books presents a documentation and resulting perspectives regarding James Lovelock's multidisciplinary evolution theory. It looks at past and current climate changes and their consequences, including detailed accounts of the global warming. The connection between climate trajectories and extreme weather events, including tropical and arctic fronts, cyclones, fire storms, tropical storms, acidification, tsunami, floods, sea level rise, are referred to in connection with recent developments. The book updates earlier accounts regarding extreme weather events and mass extinctions.

The phonological enterprise
Authors: ---
ISBN: 9780199533978 9780199533961 0199533970 0199533962 9786611825683 1281825689 0191538590 9780191538599 6611825681 9781281825681 1383044635 Year: 2023 Publisher: Oxford : Oxford University Press,

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The authors present a fundamental critique of the phonological enterprise. They examine the nature of phonological acquisition and its relation to an innate acquisition device, consider the distinction between competence and performance, and evaluate competing explanations of diachronic phonology.

The inheritance and innateness of grammars
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ISBN: 1280469994 0195354001 1602562113 9781602562110 9780195354003 9780195115345 0195115341 9786610469994 6610469997 0195115333 9780195115338 0195115341 9781280469992 0195115333 9780195115338 0197721745 Year: 2023 Publisher: New York ; Oxford University Press,

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Based on an annual conference at Simon Fraser University, this volume collects together papers that discuss the evidence and arguments regarding the inheritability and innateness of grammar, and shows that whole precursors of language exist in other creatures. In the VANCOUVER STUDIES IN COGNITIVE SCIENCE series.


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Bubble Detective: City-Level Analysis of House Price Cycles
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Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper investigates house price dynamics at high frequency using city-level observations during the period 1994-2022 in Lithuania. We employ multiple time series-based econometric procedures to examine whether real house prices and house price-to-rent ratios exhibit explosive behavior. According to these recursive right-tailed test results, we reject the null hypothesis of no-bubble and find evidence for long and multiple periods of explosive behavior in the real estate market in all major cities during the sample period. While the size of bubbles varies across cities, especially when we use the house price-to-rent ratio, there is clearly a similar boom-bust pattern. Large house price corrections can in turn have adverse effects on economic performance and financial stability, as experienced during the global financial crisis and other episodes in history.


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Bubble Detective: City-Level Analysis of House Price Cycles
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ISBN: 9798400233784 Year: 2023 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper investigates house price dynamics at high frequency using city-level observations during the period 1994-2022 in Lithuania. We employ multiple time series-based econometric procedures to examine whether real house prices and house price-to-rent ratios exhibit explosive behavior. According to these recursive right-tailed test results, we reject the null hypothesis of no-bubble and find evidence for long and multiple periods of explosive behavior in the real estate market in all major cities during the sample period. While the size of bubbles varies across cities, especially when we use the house price-to-rent ratio, there is clearly a similar boom-bust pattern. Large house price corrections can in turn have adverse effects on economic performance and financial stability, as experienced during the global financial crisis and other episodes in history.


Book
Possible knowledge : the literary forms of early modern science
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ISBN: 9781512823363 1512823368 9781512823356 Year: 2023 Publisher: Philadelphia, Pa University of Pennsylvania Press

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"The Renaissance, scholars have long argued, was a period beset by the loss of philosophical certainty. In Possible Knowledge, Debapriya Sarkar argues for the pivotal role of literature--what early moderns termed poesie--in the dynamic intellectual culture of this era of profound incertitude. Revealing how problems of epistemology are inextricable from questions of literary form, Sarkar offers a defense of poiesis, or literary making, as a vital philosophical endeavor. Working across a range of genres, Sarkar theorizes "possible knowledge" as an intellectual paradigm crafted in and through literary form. Sixteenth- and seventeenth-century writers such as Spenser, Bacon, Shakespeare, Cavendish, and Milton marshalled the capacious concept of the "possible," defined by Philip Sidney as what "may be and should be," to construct new theories of physical and metaphysical reality. These early modern thinkers mobilized the imaginative habits of thought constitutive to major genres of literary writing--including epic, tragedy, romance, lyric, and utopia--in order to produce knowledge divorced from historical truth and empirical fact by envisioning states of being untethered from "nature" or reality. Approaching imaginative modes such as hypothesis, conjecture, prediction, and counterfactuals as instruments of possible knowledge, Sarkar exposes how the speculative allure of the "possible" lurks within scientific experiment, induction, and theories of probability. In showing how early modern literary writing sought to grapple with the challenge of forging knowledge in an uncertain, perhaps even incomprehensible world, Possible Knowledge also highlights its most audacious intellectual ambition: its claim that while natural philosophy, or what we today term science, might explain the physical world, literature could remake reality. Enacting a history of ideas that centers literary studies, Possible Knowledge suggests that what we have termed a history of science might ultimately be a history of the imagination."--Provided by publisher.

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