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This paper analyzes the drivers of India’s growth in the past five decades and considers baseline and upside scenarios of India’s medium-term potential growth. Using a production function approach, the paper assesses the impact of the pandemic on the key factors of production and therefore its impact on medium-term growth. Successful implementation of wide-ranging structural reforms could help support productivity and potential growth over the medium term.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Labor --- Production and Operations Management --- Diseases: Contagious --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Development Planning and Policy: General --- Production --- Cost --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Health Behavior --- Labor Economics: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Labour --- income economics --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Economic growth --- Health --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Industrial productivity --- Communicable diseases --- Labor economics --- Labor market --- Human capital --- India
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The assessment of external positions and exchange rates of member countries is a key mandate of the IMF. The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology has provided the framework for conducting external sector assessments by Fund staff since its introduction in 2012. This paper provides the latest version of the EBA methodology, updated in 2022 with additional refinements to the current account and real exchange rate regression models, as well as updated estimates for other components of the EBA methodology. The paper also includes an assessment of how estimated current account gaps based on EBA are associated with future external adjustment.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- International Policy Coordination and Transmission --- International Financial Markets --- Economic Development: Financial Markets --- Saving and Capital Investment --- Corporate Finance and Governance --- Development Planning and Policy: Trade Policy --- Factor Movement --- Foreign Exchange Policy --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- External balance assessment (EBA) --- External position --- Real effective exchange rates --- Current account --- Balance of payments --- Current account balance --- Real exchange rates --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- International finance --- United States
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