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This paper reviews the two Climate Macroeconomic Assessment Program (CMAP) pilots and proposes a way forward. It builds on the experience of the previous six Climate Change Policy Assessment (CCPA) pilots, and the recent rollout of the World Bank’s Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR). It also accounts for early experience with countries requesting support under the Fund’s Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST). Based on the lessons from pilots and recent developments, staff proposes to streamline the CMAP to focus on the Fund’s comparative advantages in the areas of mitigation, PFM and macro-fiscal impact of climate change policies, provide a streamlined CMAP in exceptional circumstances, and expand more targeted CD in particular in support of RSF countries. This focused and tailored approach would benefit members as it is more agile, allows the Fund to serve more members within the same resource envelope and enhance synergies with other Fund products and the World Bank’s CCDR.
Money and Monetary Policy --- Political Economy --- Environmental Economics --- Environmental Policy --- Monetary Policy --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Environmental Economics: General --- Monetary economics --- Political economy --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Climate change --- Green finance / sustainable finance --- Monetary policy --- Environment --- Climate policy --- Climate finance --- Economics --- Climatic changes --- Environmental policy
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To stabilize the climate, global greenhouse gas emissions must be cut by 25 to 50 percent by 2030 compared to 2019. Such an unprecedented rate of decarbonization necessitates climate mitigation policies across countries, notably carbon pricing, fossil fuel subsidy reform, renewable subsidies, feebates, emission rate regulations, and public investments. To design and implement effective, efficient, and equitable policies, governments need tools to assess economic, environmental, fiscal, and social impacts. To support this effort, the IMF and World Bank are making their joint Climate Policy Assessment Tool (CPAT) available to governments. CPAT is a transparent, flexible, and user-friendly model covering over 200 countries. It allows for the rapid quantification of impacts of climate mitigation policies, including on energy demand, prices, emissions, revenues, welfare, GDP, households and industries, local air pollution and health, and many other metrics. This paper describes the CPAT model, its data sources, key assumptions, and caveats.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Environmental Policy --- Environmental Economics --- Public Finance --- Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply --- Hydrocarbon Resources --- Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Government Policy --- Energy: Government Policy --- Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities --- Redistributive Effects --- Environmental Taxes and Subsidies --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Environmental Economics: General --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Energy industries & utilities --- Environmental economics --- Climate change --- Climate policy --- Environment --- Energy pricing --- Expenditure --- Energy prices --- Fuel prices --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Environmental policy --- Expenditures, Public --- Environmental sciences --- Climatic changes
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This Selected Issues paper discusses governance challenges in the Kyrgyz Republic. This paper aims to assess various aspects of governance in the Kyrgyz Republic and identify some of the key challenges in this area. Governance reforms in the Kyrgyz Republic can leverage linkages to the global economy and structural transformation to deliver higher and more inclusive growth. Combating corruption and strengthening governance, including of state-owned enterprises and public finances, and improving the regulatory environment and the anti-corruption; and Anti-money Laundering and Combating Financial Terrorism (AML/CFT) framework, are critical steps to improve the business climate and promote private sector-led growth. Reforms in these areas have a significant potential to increase efficiency of allocation of public resources and the delivery of public services. The IMF’s analytical work has shown that governance reforms could raise the country’s growth rates by about 1.2 percentage points per year. Strengthening control of corruption and regulatory quality, reforming state-owned enterprises, and enhancing transparency and accountability of the public sector are important priorities to pursue.
Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Environmental Economics --- Public Finance --- Environmental Conservation and Protection --- Environmental Policy --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: General --- Nonprofit Organizations and Public Enterprise: General --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- Climate change --- Public finance & taxation --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Poverty & precarity --- Public ownership --- nationalization --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Environment --- Social assistance spending --- Expenditure --- Greenhouse gas emissions --- Climate policy --- Poverty --- International agencies --- Climatic changes --- Expenditures, Public --- Greenhouse gases --- Environmental policy --- Congo, Republic of
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This paper proposes a market solution to enhance the role of the financial sector in the green transition. Developing a secondary market for “brown exposures” can allow banks to dispose more quickly of stranded assets thereby increasing their capacity to finance green investments. Furthermore, newly created instruments – the brown assets backed securities (B-ABS) - can expand the diversification opportunities for specialized green investors and, thus, attract additional resources for new green investments. The experience of the secondary market for non-performing loans suggests that targeted policy and regulatory measures can simultaneously support the development of the secondary market for brown assets and green finance.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Environmental Economics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Finance: General --- Environmental Policy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Environmental Economics: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Green finance / sustainable finance --- Finance --- Climate change --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Climate finance --- Environment --- Nonperforming loans --- Financial institutions --- Securities markets --- Financial markets --- Climate policy --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Climatic changes --- Loans --- Capital market --- Environmental policy --- Italy
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This paper discusses the technical note on Supervision and Disclosure of Climate-Related Risks for the Sweden Financial Sector Assessment Program. Swedish banks are in general mainly exposed to the effects of climate change through loans that are collateralized by real estate properties and lending to high-emission industries. Despite the challenges, Finansinspektionen (FI) has undertaken a number of positive initiatives aimed at integrating climate-related risks and the wider sustainability issues into its supervisory processes. There are however, still some gaps that need to be gradually addressed by FI to ensure full integration of climate-related risks into supervisory processes. The specific action to further integrate climate into the supervisory process should be prioritized based on the vulnerability of the Swedish banks and progress at international level in addressing the challenges that are not unique to Sweden. FI should also in a proportional manner formalize and expand its collaboration and information sharing arrangements with other Swedish Agencies involved in climate-related work.
Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Environmental Economics --- Environmental Policy --- Environmental Conservation and Protection --- Finance: General --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Environmental Economics: General --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- Climate change --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Finance --- Green finance / sustainable finance --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Environment --- Climate policy --- Greenhouse gas emissions --- International agencies --- Climatic changes --- Environmental policy --- Greenhouse gases --- Financial services industry --- Financial risk management --- Sweden
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This paper presents Jamaica’s Technical Assistance report on climate public investment management assessment (C-PIMA). Jamaica’s dependence on fossil fuels imports for energy generation calls for a transition to renewables even though Jamaica’s contribution to the worldwide greenhouse gases emissions is insignificant. Climate risks and natural disasters pose major threats to Jamaica’s public infrastructure and there is considerable scope to strengthen climate-responsive public investment. The C-PIMA assessment makes eight high-priority recommendations, which could improve climate-related public investment management processes in Jamaica and support green and sustainable economic growth. Progress has been made in the development of a comprehensive climate change policy framework and in planning for disaster risk financing. However, coordination across the central government and with municipal corporations is weak with no institution positioned strategically to lead either adaptation or mitigation related investments. The paper provides an action plan for the implementation of these recommendations over the short and medium term, identifies responsible agencies and areas where additional technical assistance could be useful.
Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Environmental Economics --- Public Finance --- Natural Disasters --- Environmental Policy --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- Environmental Economics: General --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- Climate change --- Public finance & taxation --- Natural disasters --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Green finance / sustainable finance --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Environment --- Climate policy --- Public investment spending --- Expenditure --- International agencies --- Climatic changes --- Public investments --- Environmental policy --- Expenditures, Public --- Jamaica
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This Selected Issues paper on Switzerland focuses on assessing Swiss National Bank (SNB) balance sheet changes in 2022. This paper clarifies the main underlying drivers, discusses potential implications, or lack thereof, on monetary and fiscal policies, and assesses the SNB’s financial performance. Central banks’ financial results are not directly comparable with each other, given their non-profit nature, the differences in their mandates and, importantly, their different accounting policies. In particular, many other central banks would have recorded much larger financial losses in 2022 if mark-to-market accounting were applied. The SNB’s financial loss in 2022 is not expected to have an impact on monetary policy operations. The SNB has appropriately warned about risks to its balance sheet, including during periods of high profitability. In addition, the SNB put in place sound safeguards against such risks, and provided transparent communications on its investment strategy. Nevertheless, large balance sheets are subject to risks, highlighting communication challenges during periods of both large profits and losses. In this context, the SNB should continue to regularly review its investment strategy and maintain adequate safeguards.
Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Environmental Conservation and Protection --- Environmental Policy --- Industries: Financial Services --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- Climate change --- Finance --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Financial reporting, financial statements --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Greenhouse gas emissions --- Environment --- Stock markets --- Financial markets --- Nonbank financial institutions --- Financial institutions --- Climate policy --- International agencies --- Greenhouse gases --- Climatic changes --- Stock exchanges --- Financial services industry --- Switzerland
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Climate change poses an unprecedented challenge to the world economy and the global financial system. This paper sets out to understand and quantify the impact of climate mitigation, with a focus on climate-related news, which represents an important information source that investors use to revise their subjective assessments of climate risks. Using full-text data from Financial Times from January 2005 to March 2022, we develop machine learning-based indicators to measure risks from climate mitigation, and the direction of the risk is identified through manual labels. The documented risk premium indicates that climate mitigation news has been partially priced in the Canadian stock market. More specifically, stock prices react positively to market-wide climate-favorable news but they do not react negatively to climate-unfavorable news. The results are robust to different model specifications and across equity markets.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Environmental Economics --- Environmental Policy --- Industries: Energy --- Finance: General --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: General --- Price Level --- Inflation --- Deflation --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Climate change --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Petroleum, oil & gas industries --- Finance --- Environment --- Climate policy --- Oil sector --- Economic sectors --- Asset prices --- Prices --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Climatic changes --- Environmental policy --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Stock exchanges
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This Selected Issues paper on Switzerland focuses on assessing Swiss National Bank (SNB) balance sheet changes in 2022. This paper clarifies the main underlying drivers, discusses potential implications, or lack thereof, on monetary and fiscal policies, and assesses the SNB’s financial performance. Central banks’ financial results are not directly comparable with each other, given their non-profit nature, the differences in their mandates and, importantly, their different accounting policies. In particular, many other central banks would have recorded much larger financial losses in 2022 if mark-to-market accounting were applied. The SNB’s financial loss in 2022 is not expected to have an impact on monetary policy operations. The SNB has appropriately warned about risks to its balance sheet, including during periods of high profitability. In addition, the SNB put in place sound safeguards against such risks, and provided transparent communications on its investment strategy. Nevertheless, large balance sheets are subject to risks, highlighting communication challenges during periods of both large profits and losses. In this context, the SNB should continue to regularly review its investment strategy and maintain adequate safeguards.
Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Environmental Conservation and Protection --- Environmental Policy --- Industries: Financial Services --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- Climate change --- Finance --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Financial reporting, financial statements --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Greenhouse gas emissions --- Environment --- Stock markets --- Financial markets --- Nonbank financial institutions --- Financial institutions --- Climate policy --- International agencies --- Greenhouse gases --- Climatic changes --- Stock exchanges --- Financial services industry --- Switzerland
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The Netherlands has committed to the EU’s ambitious targets for cutting greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 and emissions neutrality in 2050 but at the same time is also vulnerable to sea-level rise and flood risks. This paper reviews recent mitigation policy initiatives in the Netherlands, including carbon levies for the industry and power sectors, energy and car tax reforms, and air passenger taxes, and recommends some modifications to these initiatives. The paper also provides assessments of hazards and macroeconomic risks from weather shocks and climate change and assesses the adaption plan against key principles on mainstream climate change into macro-fiscal planning.
Money and Monetary Policy --- International Economics --- Environmental Economics --- Natural Disasters --- Environmental Policy --- Environmental Conservation and Protection --- Industries: Energy --- Monetary Policy --- International Agreements and Observance --- International Organizations --- Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply --- Hydrocarbon Resources --- Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Government Policy --- Energy: Government Policy --- Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities --- Redistributive Effects --- Environmental Taxes and Subsidies --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Monetary economics --- International institutions --- Climate change --- Natural disasters --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Petroleum, oil & gas industries --- Monetary policy --- International organization --- Environment --- Climate policy --- Greenhouse gas emissions --- Natural gas sector --- Economic sectors --- International agencies --- Climatic changes --- Environmental policy --- Greenhouse gases --- Gas industry --- Netherlands, The
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