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Policymakers across the world are striving to tackle the century-defining challenge of climate change without undermining potential growth. This paper examines the impact of structural reforms in the energy sector (electricity and gas) on enviromental outcomes and green growth indicators in a panel of 25 advanced economies during the period 1970-2020. We obtain striking results. First, while structural reforms so far failed in reducing greenhouse gas emissions per capita, there is some evidence for greater effectiveness in lowering emissions per unit of GDP. Second, although energy reforms are not associated with higher supply of renewable energy as a share of total energy supply, they appear to stimulate a sustained increase in environmental inventions and patents per capita over the medium term. We also find strong evidence of nonlinear effects, with market-friendly energy reforms leading to better environmental outcomes and green growth in countries with stronger environmental regulations. Looking forward, therefore, structural reforms should be designed not just for market efficiency but also for green growth.
Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Environmental Conservation and Protection --- Environmental Economics --- Environmental Policy --- Distribution: General --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Legal Monopolies and Regulation or Deregulation --- Economics of Regulation --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Environment and Growth --- Climate --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Global Warming --- Environmental Economics: General --- Environmental Economics: Government Policy --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Economic growth --- Climate change --- Environmental economics --- Environmental policy & protocols --- Structural reforms --- Macrostructural analysis --- Sustainable growth --- Greenhouse gas emissions --- Environment --- Environmental policy --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Economic development --- Greenhouse gases --- Environmental sciences
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Policymakers across the world are striving to tackle the century-defining challenge of climate change without undermining potential growth. This paper examines the impact of structural reforms in the energy sector (electricity and gas) on enviromental outcomes and green growth indicators in a panel of 25 advanced economies during the period 1970-2020. We obtain striking results. First, while structural reforms so far failed in reducing greenhouse gas emissions per capita, there is some evidence for greater effectiveness in lowering emissions per unit of GDP. Second, although energy reforms are not associated with higher supply of renewable energy as a share of total energy supply, they appear to stimulate a sustained increase in environmental inventions and patents per capita over the medium term. We also find strong evidence of nonlinear effects, with market-friendly energy reforms leading to better environmental outcomes and green growth in countries with stronger environmental regulations. Looking forward, therefore, structural reforms should be designed not just for market efficiency but also for green growth.
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Policymakers across the world are striving to tackle the century-defining challenge of climate change without undermining potential growth. This paper examines the impact of structural reforms in the energy sector (electricity and gas) on enviromental outcomes and green growth indicators in a panel of 25 advanced economies during the period 1970-2020. We obtain striking results. First, while structural reforms so far failed in reducing greenhouse gas emissions per capita, there is some evidence for greater effectiveness in lowering emissions per unit of GDP. Second, although energy reforms are not associated with higher supply of renewable energy as a share of total energy supply, they appear to stimulate a sustained increase in environmental inventions and patents per capita over the medium term. We also find strong evidence of nonlinear effects, with market-friendly energy reforms leading to better environmental outcomes and green growth in countries with stronger environmental regulations. Looking forward, therefore, structural reforms should be designed not just for market efficiency but also for green growth.
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Natural disasters are inevitable, but humanitarian and economic losses are determined largely by policy preferences and institutional underpinnings that shape the quality of public infrastructure (including emergency responses and healthcare services) and govern business practices and the adherence to building codes. In this paper, we empirically investigate whether corruption increases the loss of human lives caused by natural disasters, using a large panel of 135 countries during the period 1980–2020. The econometric analysis provides convincing evidence that corruption increases the number of disaster-related deaths, after controlling for economic, demographic, healthcare and institutional factors. That is, the higher the level of corruption in a given country, the greater the number of fatalities as a share of population due to natural disasters. Our results show that the devastating impact of corruption on loss of human lives caused by natural disasters is significantly greater in developing countries, which are even more vulnerable to nonlinear effects of corruption.
Administrative Processes in Public Organizations --- Bureaucracy --- Capacity --- Capital --- Climate --- Corporate crime --- Corruption --- Crime --- Criminology --- Currency crises --- Demographic Economics: General --- Demography --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economic sectors --- Economics of specific sectors --- Economics --- Economics: General --- Environment --- Financial crises --- Global Warming --- Informal sector --- Infrastructure --- Intangible Capital --- Investment --- Macroeconomics --- National accounts --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Natural Disasters --- Natural disasters --- Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions --- Political Economy --- Population & demography --- Population and demographics --- Population --- Public Goods --- Saving and investment --- White-collar crime
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What is the impact of climate change on inflation and growth dynamics? This is not a simple question to answer as climate shocks tend to be ubiquitous, but with opposing effects simultaneously on demand and supply. The extent of which climate-related shocks affect inflation and economic growth also depends on long-run scarring in the economy and the country’s fiscal and institutional capacity to support recovery. In this paper, we use the local projection method to empirically investigate how climate shocks, as measured by climate-induced natural disasters, influence inflation and economic growth in a large panel of countries over the period 1970–2020. The results shows that both inflation and real GDP growth respond significantly but also differently in terms of direction and magnitude to different types of disasters caused by climate change. We split the full sample of countries into income groups—advanced economies and developing countries—and find a striking contrast in the impact of climate shocks on inflation and growth according to income level, state of the economy, and fiscal space when the shock hits.
Business Fluctuations --- Climate change --- Climate --- Climatic changes --- Currency crises --- Cycles --- Deflation --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics --- Economics of specific sectors --- Economics --- Economics: General --- Environment --- Environmental Economics --- Fiscal Policy --- Fiscal policy --- Fiscal space --- Global Warming --- Growth and Fluctuations: General, International, or Comparative --- Inflation --- Informal sector --- Macroeconomics --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Natural Disasters --- Natural disasters --- Price Level --- Prices
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This paper provides a novel dataset of time-varying measures on the degree of countercyclicality of fiscal policies for advanced and developing economies between 1980 and 2021. The use of time-varying measures of fiscal stabilization, with special attention to potential endogenity issues, overcomes the major limitation of previous studies and alllows the analysis to account for both country-specific as well as global factors. The paper also examines the key determinants of countercyclicality of fiscal policy with a focus on factors as severe crises, informality, financial development, and governance. Empirical results show that (i) fiscal policy tends to be more counter-cyclical during severe crises than typical recessions, especially for advanced economies; (ii) fiscal counter-cyclicality has increased over time for many economies over the last two decades; (iii) discretionary and automatic countercyclicality are both strong in advanced economies but acyclical (at times procyclical) in low-income countries, (iv) fiscal countercyclicality operates primarily through the expenditure channel, particularly for social benefits, (vi) better financial development, larger government size and stronger institutional quality are associated with larger countercyclical effects of fiscal policy. Our results are robust to various specifications and endogeneity checks.
Automatic stabilizers --- Business Fluctuations --- Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy --- Currency crises --- Cycles --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Economics --- Economics: General --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial markets --- Financial services industry --- Fiscal Policy --- Fiscal policy --- Fiscal stabilization --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Informal sector --- Macroeconomics --- National Deficit Surplus --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Stabilization --- Treasury Policy
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Many emerging market and developing economies face a difficult trade-off between economic support and fiscal sustainability. Market-oriented structural reforms ease this trade-off by promoting economic growth and strengthening public finances. The empirical analysis in this note, based on 62 EMDEs over 1973-2014, shows that reforms are associated with sizeable and long-lasting reductions in the debt-to-GDP ratio mainly through higher fiscal revenues and lower borrowing costs. These effects are larger in countries with greater tax efficiency, lower informality, and higher initial debt. Moreover, a model-based analysis elaborates on how such fiscal gains can be enhanced when revenue windfalls associated with reforms are saved or channeled through higher public investment.
Asset and liability management --- Currency crises --- Debt Management --- Debt reduction --- Debt --- Debts, External --- Debts, Public --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economic sectors --- Economics of Regulation --- Economics of specific sectors --- Economics --- Economics: General --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Exports and Imports --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial crises --- Financial markets --- Financial Risk Management --- Financial services industry --- Fiscal Policy --- Fiscal policy --- Fiscal stance --- Foreign Exchange --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Informal Economy --- Informal sector --- International economics --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Macroeconomics --- Public debt --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Sovereign Debt --- Underground Econom
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