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Inflation (Finance) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment
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Inflation (Finance) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment
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This book investigates the hyperinflation in Zimbabwe in the 2000s. The authors present a full description of the Zimbabwean hyperinflation in its relevant economic, historical and political context. They address parallels with other hyperinflations, discuss the economics of hyperinflation in general and of the Zimbabwean hyperinflation in particular, and provide a money demand estimation using a new dataset. The study concludes with several policy lessons. This book will be of interest to researchers in both social sciences and the humanities, as well as practitioners and policy-makers in development economics, and those in the banking industry.
Inflation (Finance) --- Zimbabwe --- Economic conditions --- Politics and government --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Macroeconomics. --- Economic growth. --- Development economics. --- Africa—Economic conditions. --- Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. --- Economic Growth. --- Development Economics. --- African Economics. --- Economics --- Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse
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Many argue that improvements in monetary policy frameworks in emerging market economies over the past few decades, have made them more resilient to external shocks. This paper exploits the May 2013 taper tantrum in the United States to study the reaction of 18 large emerging markets to an external shock, conditioning on their degree of inflation expectations' anchoring. We find that while the tapering announcement negatively affected growth prospects regardless of the level of anchoring, countries with weakly anchored inflation expectations experienced larger exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices, hence comparatively higher inflation. We conclude that efforts to improve the extent of anchoring of inflation expectations in emerging markets pay off, as they ease the trade-off that central banks face when external shocks weaken growth prospects and trigger currency depreciations.
Inflation (Finance) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- International Monetary Fund --- Internationaal monetair fonds --- International monetary fund --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Monetary Policy --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Exchange rate pass-through --- Exchange rates --- Consumer prices --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Prices --- Financial markets --- Financial services industry --- United States
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Co-movement (synchronicity) in inflation rates among a set of 13 emerging and developing countries in Asia is shown to be strongest for the food component, partly due to common rainfall shocks—a result which the paper terms the ‘monsoon effect.’ Economies with higher trade integration and co-movement in nominal effective exchange rates also experience greater food-inflation co-movement. By contrast, cross-country co-movement in core inflation is weak and the aforementioned determinants have little explanatory power, suggesting a prominent role for idiosyncratic domestic factors in driving core inflation. In the context of the growing literature on the globalization of inflation, these results suggest that common weather patterns are partly responsible for any role played by a so-called ‘global factor’ among inflation rates in emerging and developing economies, in Asia at least.
Inflation (Finance) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Economic Integration --- Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis --- Prices --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Trade integration --- Nominal effective exchange rate --- Food prices --- Economic integration --- International economic integration --- India
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This Selected Issues paper analyzes the sectoral trends and the impact of the real effective exchange rate (REER) changes on sectoral exports using the detailed product data from the United Nations’ Commodity Trade Statistics Database (Comtrade). This paper focuses on Uruguay’s product- and sector-specific global export market shares. It also estimates the sensitivity of these market shares to real effective exchange rate by using the product data from the Comtrade database and building on the work presented in IMF (2017). The paper estimates the elasticities of product market shares with respect to real exchange rates for Uruguay only. Rather than using time dummies to isolate the potential impact of the time trend, the lagged value of the change in shares as an additional independent variable has been added. The paper concludes that Uruguay’s manufacturing exports are sensitive to the changes in REER, and, accordingly, that productivity-enhancing measures to promote competitiveness would be beneficial.
Inflation (Finance) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Investments: Commodities --- Exports and Imports --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Industries: Manufacturing --- Industry Studies: Manufacturing: General --- Trade: General --- International Financial Markets --- Commodity Markets --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Manufacturing industries --- International economics --- Investment & securities --- Exchange rates --- Real effective exchange rates --- Manufacturing --- Exports --- Economic sectors --- International trade --- Foreign exchange market --- Commercial products --- Uruguay
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This book focuses on the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT), second round effects and the inflation process in South Africa. The authors demonstrate that magnitudes of the second round effects of the exchange rate depreciation and oil price shocks depend on inflation regimes. The impact of positive oil price shocks on inflation is weakened by monetary policy credibility. Evidence shows the influence of oil price on unit labour costs and correlation between exchange rate changes and inflation has weakened. In addition, ERPT is reduced by low business and consumer confidence, high trade openness, low inflation and high exchange rate volatility which weaken real economic activity. Both monetary and fiscal policy credibility lowers the sizes of ERPT to inflation and inflation expectations. Fiscal policy via fuel levies, administered prices and public transport inflation channel impacts the responses of monetary policy to inflation shocks. The authors show that second round effects contribute very little to wage inflation following an exchange rate depreciation shock. Both lending rate and household consumption responds asymmetrical to repo rate changes. This book will appeal to policymakers, students, academics and analysts.
Inflation (Finance) --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- International economics. --- Macroeconomics. --- Public finance. --- Finance, Public. --- International finance. --- Africa—Economic conditions. --- International Economics. --- Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. --- Public Economics. --- Public Finance. --- International Finance. --- African Economics. --- International monetary system --- International money --- International economic relations --- Cameralistics --- Public finance --- Currency question --- Economics --- Economic policy, Foreign --- Economic relations, Foreign --- Economics, International --- Foreign economic policy --- Foreign economic relations --- Interdependence of nations --- International economic policy --- International economics --- New international economic order --- Economic policy --- International relations --- Economic sanctions --- Public finances
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Combatting financial stability risks is a highly challenging task which can by no means be concentrated into a 'one-size fits all' approach. It is important to select the appropriate tools and techniques in order to monitor, analyse, and maintain financial stability through proactive policy measures. 'Tools and Techniques for Financial Stability Analysis' explores all key aspects of analytical tools and challenges for sound financial stability assessments. Comprehensive coverage is given to value at risk, stress testing, graphical tools for financial stability, the financial system stress index, as well as ratios and metrics of financial stability assessment. Finally, a concluding chapter is devoted to understand the key challenges involved in maintaining financial stability. This book will prove valuable to central bankers, economists, and policy-makers who are involved in the field of financial stability, as well as researchers studying the field.
Inflation (Finance) --- Financial institutions --- Risk assessment --- Banks and banking. --- Agricultural banks --- Banking --- Banking industry --- Commercial banks --- Depository institutions --- Finance --- Money --- Analysis, Risk --- Assessment, Risk --- Risk analysis --- Risk evaluation --- Evaluation --- Financial intermediaries --- Lending institutions --- Associations, institutions, etc. --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Econometric models. --- Banks and banking --- Monetary policy --- International finance --- International monetary system --- International money --- International economic relations --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Evaluation&delete& --- Econometric models --- E-books --- Business & Economics --- Finance. --- General.
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This Selected Issues paper takes stock of the current level of dollarization, both in historic and international perspective. By looking at recent measures and international best practice, it draws some recommendations for a successful de-dollarization framework. Belarus has a high level of loan and deposit dollarization as a result of repeated external crises and hyperinflation. Dollarization in Belarus is much higher than many other countries, accounting for various drivers of dollarization. Dollarization has been decreasing but it is still higher than a decade ago. The authorities have been taking welcome steps to liberalize the foreign exchange (FX) market, such as, for example, eliminating the FX surrender requirement and easing the registration procedure for FX transactions. An overarching and publicly communicated national strategy to de-dollarize the economy is a missing piece of the puzzle. Such a strategy would be an important signaling and commitment device and would help educate borrowers about the risks (private and social) of FX borrowing. The strategy would contain an operational roadmap that would also ensure the coherence of existing policies, and coordinate policy and operational steps.
Inflation (Finance) --- Demand for money --- Belarus --- Economic conditions. --- Finance --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Liquidity preference --- Money --- Money supply --- Finance: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Monetary economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Dollarization --- Currencies --- De-dollarization --- Capital markets --- Monetary policy --- Financial markets --- Capital market --- Belarus, Republic of
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The economy is growing steadily, benefiting from a benign regional environment, particularly in Russia, the source of most remittances and non-gold export receipts. Low inflation, lower fiscal deficits, and a stable banking sector point to the success of stabilization policies implemented by the government and National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic (NBKR, the central bank) under eight successive Fund-supported programs. However, the economy remains vulnerable to external shocks because of the high level of remittances (29 percent of GDP), the concentration of exports on gold (37 percent of exports of goods), the level and composition of the public debt (56 percent of GDP, 4/5 of which is denominated in foreign currency), and the level of the current account deficit (8.7 percent of GDP). In addition, economic growth has been insufficient to significantly raise living standards and continue to reduce poverty.
Finance --- Fiscal policy --- Inflation (Finance) --- Natural rate of unemployment --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Funding --- Funds --- Economics --- Currency question --- Government policy --- Kyrgyzstan --- Economic conditions. --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Public Finance --- Industries: Financial Services --- Foreign Exchange --- Budgeting --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Budgeting & financial management --- Public debt --- External debt --- Public and publicly-guaranteed external debt --- Loans --- Financial institutions --- Debt sustainability analysis --- Debts, Public --- Debts, External --- Banks and banking --- Money supply --- Budget --- Kyrgyz Republic
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