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This paper assesses whether cross-border M&A decisions exhibit network effects. We estimate exponential random graph models (ERGM) and temporal exponential random graph models (TERGM) to evaluate the determinants of cross-country M&A investments at the sectoral level. The results show that transitivity matters: a country is more likely to invest in a new destination if one of its existing partners has already made some investments there. In line with the literature on export platforms and informational barriers, we find a sizable impact of third country effects on the creation of new investments. This effect is sizable and larger than some of the more traditional M&A determinants, such as trade openness.
Exports and Imports --- Industries: Manufacturing --- Civics and Citizenship --- Neoclassical Models of Trade --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Industry Studies: Manufacturing: General --- Trade: General --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- Shadow Economy --- Institutional Arrangements --- Network Formation and Analysis: Theory --- International economics --- Manufacturing industries --- Civil service & public sector --- Comparative advantage --- Trade balance --- Manufacturing --- Exports --- Civil society --- International trade --- Economic sectors --- Balance of trade --- United States
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This paper assesses whether cross-border M&A decisions exhibit network effects. We estimate exponential random graph models (ERGM) and temporal exponential random graph models (TERGM) to evaluate the determinants of cross-country M&A investments at the sectoral level. The results show that transitivity matters: a country is more likely to invest in a new destination if one of its existing partners has already made some investments there. In line with the literature on export platforms and informational barriers, we find a sizable impact of third country effects on the creation of new investments. This effect is sizable and larger than some of the more traditional M&A determinants, such as trade openness.
United States --- Exports and Imports --- Industries: Manufacturing --- Civics and Citizenship --- Neoclassical Models of Trade --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Industry Studies: Manufacturing: General --- Trade: General --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- Shadow Economy --- Institutional Arrangements --- Network Formation and Analysis: Theory --- International economics --- Manufacturing industries --- Civil service & public sector --- Comparative advantage --- Trade balance --- Manufacturing --- Exports --- Civil society --- International trade --- Economic sectors --- Balance of trade
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This paper is the first attempt to directly explore the long-run nonlinear relationship between the shadow economy and level of development. Using a dataset of 158 countries over the period from 1996 to 2015, our results reveal a robust U-shaped relationship between the shadow economy size and GDP per capita. Our results imply that the shadow economy tends to increase when economic development surpasses a given threshold or at least does not disappear. Our findings suggest that special attention should be given to the country’s level of development when designing policies to tackle issues related to the shadow economy.
Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Taxation --- Economics: General --- Informal Economy --- Underground Econom --- Tax Evasion and Avoidance --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- Shadow Economy --- Institutional Arrangements --- Institutions and Growth --- Education and Economic Development --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Education: General --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Labor Economics: General --- Economics of specific sectors --- Public finance & taxation --- Education --- Labour --- income economics --- Informal economy --- Tax incidence --- Labor --- Economic sectors --- Tax policy --- Prices --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Tax administration and procedure --- Labor economics --- United States --- Income economics
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Presumptive income taxes in the form of a tax on turnover for SMEs are pervasive as a way to reduce the costs of compliance and administration. We analyze a model where entrepreneurs allocate labor to the formal and informal sectors. Formal sector income is subjected either to a corporate income tax or a tax on turnover, depending on whether their turnover exceeds a threshold. We characterize the private sector equilibrium for any given configuration of tax policy parameters (corporate income tax rate, turnover tax rate, and threshold). Given private behavior, social welfare is optimized. We interpret the first-order conditions for welfare maximization to identify the key margins and then simulate a calibrated version of the model.
Taxation. --- Duties --- Fee system (Taxation) --- Tax policy --- Tax reform --- Taxation, Incidence of --- Taxes --- Finance, Public --- Revenue --- Public Finance --- Taxation --- Corporate Taxation --- Optimization Techniques --- Programming Models --- Dynamic Analysis --- Efficiency --- Optimal Taxation --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- Shadow Economy --- Institutional Arrangements --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Tax Evasion and Avoidance --- Public finance & taxation --- Sales tax, tariffs & customs duties --- Corporate & business tax --- Sales tax --- Corporate income tax --- Presumptive tax --- Compliance costs --- Revenue administration --- Spendings tax --- Corporations --- Income tax --- Tax administration and procedure --- France
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This paper examines the impact of e-invoicing on firm tax compliance and performance using administrative tax data and quasi-experimental variation in the rollout of VAT electronic invoicing in Peru. We find that e-invoicing increases reported firm sales, purchases and value-added by over 5 percent in the first year after adoption. The impact is concentrated among smaller firms and sectors with higher rates of non-compliance, suggesting that e-invoicing enhances compliance by lowering compliance costs and strengthening deterrence. The reform’s positive effects on tax collection are hindered by shortcomings in the VAT refund mechanism in Peru, suggesting that digital tools such as e-invoicing should be complemented by other reforms to improve revenue mobilization.
Investments: Stocks --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Taxation --- Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Tax Evasion and Avoidance --- Firm Performance: Size, Diversification, and Scope --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- Shadow Economy --- Institutional Arrangements --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Public finance & taxation --- Monetary economics --- Investment & securities --- Value-added tax --- Credit --- Tax administration core functions --- Tax return filing compliance --- Stocks --- Taxes --- Money --- Revenue administration --- Financial institutions --- Spendings tax --- Tax administration and procedure --- Peru
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This Technical Assistance (TA) report focuses on four key work areas which may lead to improvement of Government Finance Statistics (GFS) for fiscal analysis, support policy making decisions in Zambia, and improve African Department surveillance. The mission found out that the Coordinating Committee, recommended in the previous TA mission, was not yet established. The mission reviewed progress on the legal and institutional arrangements supporting the compilation of GFS as a follow up from recommendations of the previous GFS TA mission and found that the legislation reforms were on track, especially regarding the Public Finance Act. The report also found that Central Statistical Office (CSO) is working on the revision of the Statistics Act to follow the new strategy for National Development of Statistics. For sustainability and consistency purposes, the mission recommended that the CSO staff produce a GFS manual for compilation and dissemination of GFS data.
Monetary policy --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Accounting --- Labor --- Statistics --- Civics and Citizenship --- Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology --- Computer Programs: Other --- Education: General --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- Shadow Economy --- Institutional Arrangements --- Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits --- Private Pensions --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Education --- Civil service & public sector --- Labour --- income economics --- Financial reporting, financial statements --- Government finance statistics --- Civil society organizations --- Non-wage benefits --- Financial statements --- Economic and financial statistics --- Economic sectors --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Finance --- Civil society --- Employee fringe benefits --- Finance, Public --- Zambia --- Income economics
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In sub-Saharan Africa women work relatively more in the informal sector than men. Many factors could explain this difference, including women’s lower education levels, legal barriers, social norms and demographic characteristics. Cross-country comparisons indicate strong associations between gender gaps and higher female informality. This paper uses microdata from Senegal to assess the probability of a worker being informal, and our main findings are: (i) in urban areas, being a woman increases this probability by 8.5 percent; (ii) education is usually more relevant for women; (iii) having kids reduces men’s probability of being informal but increases women’s.
Informal sector (Economics) --- Hidden economy --- Parallel economy --- Second economy --- Shadow economy --- Subterranean economy --- Underground economy --- Artisans --- Economics --- Small business --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Women''s Studies' --- Gender Studies --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Informal Economy --- Underground Econom --- Economics of Gender --- Non-labor Discrimination --- Economic History: Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income and Wealth: Africa --- Oceania --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- Shadow Economy --- Institutional Arrangements --- Education: General --- Labor Economics: General --- Gender studies --- women & girls --- Education --- Social discrimination & equal treatment --- Labour --- income economics --- Women --- Gender inequality --- Informal employment --- Gender --- Sex discrimination --- Economic theory --- Labor economics --- Senegal --- Income economics --- Women & girls --- Women's Studies
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A technical assistance (TA) mission was undertaken by the Real Sector Statistics Advisor in the Caribbean Regional Technical Assistance Centre (CARTAC) to St. Lucia during September 17–28, 2018, to provide advice to the Central Statistics Office (CSO) on compiling supply and use tables (SUT) for 2016. The 2006 base year for the GDP estimates is outdated and does not reflect the current structure of the economy. In addition, there is scope to improve the input data and methodology used in producing the GDP estimates and to implement the relevant System of National Accounts 2008 (2008 SNA) recommendations.
Economics --- Economic sociology --- Socio-economics --- Socioeconomics --- Sociology of economics --- Sociology --- Sociological aspects. --- Social aspects --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Civics and Citizenship --- Civil service & public sector --- Civil society organizations --- Civil society --- Computer Programs: General --- Computer Programs: Other --- Data capture & analysis --- Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology --- Data collection --- Databases --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Economic and financial statistics --- Economic sectors --- Economic statistics --- Finance --- Financial statistics --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Institutional Arrangements --- Macroeconomics --- National accounts --- National income --- Public finance & taxation --- Shadow Economy --- Spendings tax --- Statistics --- Taxation --- Taxes --- Value-added tax --- St. Lucia
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Using business registry data from China, we show that internal capital markets in business groups can propagate corporate shareholders’ credit supply shocks to their subsidiaries. An average of 16.7% local bank credit growth where corporate shareholders are located would increase subsidiaries investment by 1% of their tangible fixed asset value, which accounts for 71% (7%) of the median (average) investment rate among these firms. We argue that equity exchanges is one channel through which corporate shareholders transmit bank credit supply shocks to the subsidiaries and provide empirical evidence to support the channel.
Capital market. --- Capital markets --- Market, Capital --- Finance --- Financial institutions --- Loans --- Money market --- Securities --- Crowding out (Economics) --- Efficient market theory --- Finance: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Economic Theory --- Financial Risk Management --- Formal and Informal Sectors --- Shadow Economy --- Institutional Arrangements --- Organization of Production --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis --- Prices --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- International Financial Markets --- Monetary economics --- Economic theory & philosophy --- Investment & securities --- Credit --- Supply shocks --- Bank credit --- Stocks --- Money --- Economic theory --- Asset valuation --- Asset and liability management --- Supply and demand --- Capital market --- Asset-liability management --- China, People's Republic of
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