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2019 (3)

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Dissertation
Comparaison de l'évolution d'un patrimoine en cas de location ou d'achat d'un bien immobilier en Wallonie.
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2019 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to compare the evolution of a patrimony in the event of the rental or purchase of a real estate property in Wallonia on the assumption that the difference in cash flows between the two scenarios will be invested in financial investments.

The cash flows relating to the two situations will be explained in the first part. Among these flows, we can find, among others, rents, mortgage loan repayment, registration fees / VAT, tax deductions, ...

The evolution of property prices will then be approached, first with a look back at the last few decades in order to understand the various factors that influence property prices. Then with a look to the future to try to predict the future evolution of the real estate market.

Various financial products will be covered, such as real estate investment funds or Exchange Traded Funds, which aim to replicate stock market indices. The potential returns and risks associated with these funds will then be discussed.

Finally, a practical case study will be carried out on the basis of the theoretical data previously collected. The purpose of this case study is to simulate the evolution of assets for a household that is wondering whether to buy or rent a home. Different situations will be evaluated :

- rental versus cash purchase;
- rental versus purchase with an 80% loan-to-value ratio;
- rental versus purchase with a 100% loan-to-value ratio.


Dissertation
Politiques macroprudentielles, un nouveau paradigme.
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2019 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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La crise financière des subprimes a causé des dommages sans précédent à l’économie mondiale depuis La Grande Dépression dans les années 30. Débutée aux États-Unis, la crise s’est propagée en Europe et a obligé de multiples états à venir au secours des banques pour protéger l’économie
Suite à la crise, nombreuses analystes économiques ont souligné les lacunes de la régulation financière. Les régulateurs financiers ont failli dans la surveillance du risque systémique et dans le maintien de la stabilité financière globale.
L'approche globale du risque systémique est née et une nouvelle forme de politique économique a ainsi vu le jour : la politique macroprudentielle. Elle vise à surveiller les différents risques systémiques et préserver la stabilité financière. Elle utilise des instruments parfois permanents, parfois temporaires, qu’elle calibre en fonction de la menace.
Les accords bancaires de Bâle III visent à permettre aux autorités bancaires d’anticiper le risque systémique en fixant des exigences de fonds propres supplémentaires aux institutions bancaires. A côté de ces accords, les autorités nationales et internationales ont également mis en place un nouveau cadre de prévention du risque systémique. En Europe, un nouveau système de surveillance et de régulation existe désormais et il est en plein développement. En Belgique, la Banque Nationale de Belgique, compétente en la matière belge, applique la politique macroprudentielle fixée par le gouvernement.
Ce document explique ce qu'est la politique macroprudentielle. Quels sont ses objectifs, dans quel cadre s’inscrit-elle en Europe et aux États-Unis ? Quels instruments peut-elle utiliser ?


Dissertation
La Fintech comme nouvel outil technologique au service du développement durable.
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Year: 2019 Publisher: Liège Université de Liège (ULiège)

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At the beginning of the 21st century, the members of the United Nations Organisation established a range of objectives to achieve for sustainable development. Among those goals, the first one was dedicated to the poverty eradication. Around the same period, began the digital revolution and new technologies such as FinTech started to become very popular. It was so famous that some people asked themselves if innovation could perhaps be the key to reduce poverty around the world. Could we use FinTech as a new tool for sustainable development ? The topic being relatively large, we focused on determining if FinTech could go further than microfinance to help changing the world?
Microfinance is a sub-department of the financial sector that aims to offer services to unbanked individuals. It includes savings, microcredit loans and insurances with the purpose of reducing poverty. For our analysis, we put the focus on microcredit. On that matter, literature shows several key points that contribute to bypassing financial exclusion: geographical and cultural proximity, progressive loans, culture of perception, suitable processes, warrants and appropriate products. But even if those tools help fighting against poverty, some issues remain unsolved: there is still a lot of unbanked people, informal loans remain a reality and transaction costs are still very high.
Then, we analyzed some examples of FinTech applications offering loan services such as MoKash, Musoni and M-Shwari. Those companies have shown that technology can help reaching populations in underdeveloped countries. Thanks to a basic mobile phone, it is now possible for the farmer living in a remote rural area to borrow money to create new business opportunities. Mobile operators allow that technology to thrive by offering simple, convenient, easy to access services to people that lack means to reach traditional bank services.
Can FinTech fit in microcredit’s shoes ? Are products like MoKash, Musoni and M-Shwari able to contribute in solving poverty ? There are indeed some benefits to the usage of FinTech technologies. They seem to reach more isolated individuals, at reduced transaction costs, and offer a large range of products that are easier to understand. They also suit to the client cash- flow and are a lot faster than microfinance institutions, capable of signing new loans in only a few seconds. But technology also shows some weaknesses about regulation, financial stability and protection of the users’ data. Those flaws must be solved by innovation in order to insure sustainable development.

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