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Economywide and Sectoral Impacts on Workers of Brazil's Internet Rollout
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Abstract

This paper is a study of the effect of Brazil's staggered Internet rollout between 2000 and 2014 on municipality employment and wages. The study uses a new, annual data set on Internet availability from the Brazil school census, with the assumption that the share of schools that have Internet access in each municipality reflects the general accessibility of Internet connections. These data are combined with Brazil's rich, matched employer-employee survey, which contains annual occupation and wage earnings information for all formally-employed workers in Brazil across all sectors, including primary, secondary, and tertiary industry groups. Contemporaneous and lagged effects are considered. The analysis finds that increased Internet access has no statistically significant net effect on aggregate employment, and has a negative effect on average wages, with a reduction in measures of wage dispersion. Brazil's Internet rollout results in employment shifts from sectors with more limited expansion opportunities (wholesale and retail trade, public administration, and largely publicly-owned utilities, which jointly comprise almost half of the formal workforce in 2010) to sectors with more output expansion opportunities. The employment effects are positive and most pronounced in the manufacturing, transport and storage, finance and insurance, and hospitality industry groups. In the manufacturing sector, Internet access induces positive employment and wage effects in medium- and high-skill occupations.


Book
Can Business Input Improve the Effectiveness of Worker Training? Evidence from Brazil's Pronatec-MDIC
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2017 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This study evaluates the employment effects of a publicly-run national technical vocational education training program in Brazil that explicitly takes input from firms in determining the location, scale, and skill content of courses offered. Using exogenous course capacity restrictions, the study finds that those completing the course following receipt of a course offer have an 8.6 percent increase in employment over the year following course completion. These effects come from previously unemployed trainees who find employment at non-requesting firms. The demand-driven program's effects are larger and statistically distinguishable from those of a broader and institutionally-similar publicly-administered skills training program run at the same time that did not take input from firms. The study finds that the demand-driven program better aligned skill training with future aggregate occupational employment growth-suggesting the input from firms captured meaningful information about growth in skill demand. Courses offered in occupations that grew more over the year following requests exhibited larger employment effects, explaining the effectiveness of the demand-driven model.

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