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Economic stabilization --- Investment of public funds --- Financial crises --- Management. --- Management. --- United States. --- Troubled Asset Relief Program (U.S.) --- Management. --- Evaluation.
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This paper explores the impact of political and institutional variables on public investment. Working with a sample of 80 presidential and parliamentary democracies between 1975 and 2012, we find that the rate of growth of public investment is higher at the beginning of electoral cycles and decelerates thereafter. The peak in public investment growth occurs between 21 and 25 months before elections. Cabinet ideology and government fragmentation influence the size of investment booms. More parties in government are associated with smaller increases in public investment while left-wing cabinets are associated with higher sustained increases in investment. Stronger institutions help attenuate the impact of elections on investment, but available information is insufficient to draw definitive conclusions.
Public investments. --- Government investments --- Investments, Public --- Expenditures, Public --- Investments --- Capital budget --- Economic development projects --- Investment of public funds --- Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Other --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Fiscal Policy --- Public finance & taxation --- Public investment spending --- Current spending --- Expenditure --- Public debt --- Fiscal rules --- Fiscal policy --- Public investments --- Debts, Public --- United States
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This paper discusses the status of Ukraine’s Eurobond held by the Russian Federation. The bond was acquired by Russia’s National Wealth Fund (NWF) pursuant to a decision by the Russian Government to provide assistance to Ukraine. In public statements at the time the bond was issued, Russia’s Finance Minister, Mr. Siluanov, explained that assistance was being provided via the NWF because the funds had not been appropriated in the federal budget, ruling out a direct intergovernmental credit. The IMF staff is of the view that the Eurobond is an official claim for the purposes of the IMF’s policy on arrears to official bilateral creditors.
Bonds --- Sovereign wealth funds --- Funds, Sovereign wealth --- SWFs (Sovereign wealth funds) --- Investment of public funds --- Bond issues --- Debentures --- Negotiable instruments --- Securities --- Debts, Public --- Stocks --- International Monetary Fund --- Internationaal monetair fonds --- International monetary fund --- E-books --- Budgeting --- Exports and Imports --- Investments: Bonds --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- International economics --- Monetary economics --- Investment & securities --- Budgeting & financial management --- Arrears --- Credit ratings --- Credit --- Export credits --- Financial institutions --- External debt --- Money --- International trade --- Debts, External --- Export credit --- Ukraine
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Intergovernmental fiscal relations. --- Investment of public funds. --- Government spending policy. --- Expenditures, Public. --- Budget process. --- Finance, Public. --- Cameralistics --- Public finance --- Public finances --- Currency question --- Finance, Public --- Appropriations and expenditures --- Government appropriations --- Government expenditures --- Government spending --- Public expenditures --- Public spending --- Spending, Government --- Public administration --- Government spending policy --- Expenditures, Public --- Public spending policy --- Spending policy, Government --- Economic policy --- Full employment policies --- Unfunded mandates --- Public funds, Investment of --- Investments --- Legal investments --- Public investments --- Federal-state fiscal relations --- Fiscal relations, Intergovernmental --- State-local fiscal relations --- Federal government --- Local finance --- Government policy --- Law and legislation --- Intergovernmental fiscal relations --- E-books
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Infrastructure bottlenecks have been identified as a key obstacle to growth affecting productivity and market efficiency, and hindering domestic integration and export performance. This paper assesses the state of Brazil’s infrastructure, in light of past investment trends and various quality and quantity indicators. Brazil’s infrastructure stock and its quality rank low in relation to that of comparator countries, chosen amongst main export competitors. We provide evidence that infrastructure affects domestic integration by analyzing price convergence of tradable goods across major cities. The government’s concession program will narrow part of the infrastructure gap, however, governance reforms will be crucial to improving investment efficiency.
Infrastructure (Economics) --- Transportation --- Public investments --- Government investments --- Investments, Public --- Expenditures, Public --- Investments --- Capital budget --- Economic development projects --- Investment of public funds --- Finance --- Exports and Imports --- Infrastructure --- Investments: General --- Public Finance --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Economic History: Transport, Trade, Energy, Technology, and Other Services: Latin America --- Caribbean --- Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities: General --- Trade: General --- Macroeconomics --- Public finance & taxation --- International economics --- Private investment --- Public investment spending --- Exports --- National accounts --- Expenditure --- International trade --- Saving and investment --- Brazil
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We reconsider the macroeconomic implications of public investment efficiency, defined as the ratio between the actual increment to public capital and the amount spent. We show that, in a simple and standard model, increases in public investment spending in inefficient countries do not have a lower impact on growth than in efficient countries, a result confirmed in a simple cross-country regression. This apparently counter-intuitive result, which contrasts with Pritchett (2000) and recent policy analyses, follows directly from the standard assumption that the marginal product of public capital declines with the capital/output ratio. The implication is that efficiency and scarcity of public capital are likely to be inversely related across countries. It follows that both efficiency and the rate of return need to be considered together in assessing the impact of increases in investment, and blanket recommendations against increased public investment spending in inefficient countries need to be reconsidered. Changes in efficiency, in contrast, have direct and potentially powerful impacts on growth: “investing in investing” through structural reforms that increase efficiency, for example, can have very high rates of return.
Public investments. --- Economic development. --- Capital budget. --- Capital budgeting --- Budget --- Capital investments --- Public investments --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Government investments --- Investments, Public --- Expenditures, Public --- Investments --- Capital budget --- Economic development projects --- Investment of public funds --- Finance --- Investments: General --- Investments: Stocks --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Production and Operations Management --- Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General --- Institutions and Growth --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Production --- Cost --- Capital and Total Factor Productivity --- Capacity --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Public finance & taxation --- Investment & securities --- Public investment spending --- Stocks --- Total factor productivity --- Private investment --- Production growth --- Industrial productivity --- Saving and investment --- Economic theory
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY A transition government has been put in place to lead the country to elections in October 2015 and wishes to continue the existing ECF arrangement. The authorities feel the program provides continuity for the transition, and helps safeguard macroeconomic stability, while supporting reforms to address long-standing structural problems. Program performance has been satisfactory, with all performance criteria and most quantitative targets and structural benchmarks met. Staff’s assessment is that the transition authorities have the technical capacity and political will to implement the agreed measures. Growth has been revised downwards following multiple shocks. Reductions in commodity prices for the country’s two leading exports, the impact of Ebola in the region on tourism and services, and political uncertainty leading up to resignation of Compaoré’s government in late October 2014 all contributed to a marked slowdown in growth. Real growth is estimated to have been 4 percent in 2014 and is projected at 5 percent for 2015. Lower fiscal revenues forced large spending reduction/import compression. To eliminate large external and fiscal imbalances implied by the shocks and recent depreciation of the CFAF against the US dollar, through the CFAF peg to the euro, the transition government has reduced spending sharply. Even with spending adjustment, revenue measures, and additional budget support commitments from donors, large reserves drawdown will be required meet balance of payment needs. Together with approval of the delayed 2nd review and the 3rd review, the authorities request 40 percent of quota augmentation of access to help meet immediate balance of payments needs. Forward-looking program commitments encompass wide-ranging measures that have both immediate and longer term impacts. Revenue measures aim to reduce fraud and increase revenue intake, along with passage of the long-awaited revised mining code. Spending measures aim to safeguard priority social spending and contain the public wage bill. Extensive reforms are underway to improve budget transparency and cash management, after cash rationing in 2014 gave rise to domestic arrears. Finally, the authorities will implement recommendations of recent audits of state-owned energy companies, including performance contracts to regularize financial obligations and reduce costs, providing scope for better cost recovery, including through more flexible price-setting, in the future.
Public investments --- Competition --- Economic development --- Development, Economic --- Economic growth --- Growth, Economic --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Statics and dynamics (Social sciences) --- Development economics --- Resource curse --- Competition (Economics) --- Competitiveness (Economics) --- Economic competition --- Commerce --- Conglomerate corporations --- Covenants not to compete --- Industrial concentration --- Monopolies --- Open price system --- Supply and demand --- Trusts, Industrial --- Government investments --- Investments, Public --- Expenditures, Public --- Investments --- Capital budget --- Economic development projects --- Investment of public funds --- Economic aspects --- Finance --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Economic Development --- Natural Resource Extraction --- Money and Monetary Policy --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Fiscal Policy --- Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction: General --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- International economics --- Public finance & taxation --- Extractive industries --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Monetary economics --- External debt --- Public debt --- Expenditure --- Debt sustainability analysis --- Fiscal policy --- Arrears --- Debts, External --- Debts, Public --- Mineral industries --- Revenue --- Burkina Faso
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This paper contributes to the debate on the relationship between public-capital accumulation and private investment in India along the following dimensions. First, acknowledging major structural changes that the Indian economy has undergone in the past three decades, we study whether public investment in recent years has become more or less complementary to private investment in comparison to the period before 1980. Second, we construct a novel data-set of quarterly aggregate public and private investment in India over the period 1996Q2-2015Q1 using investment-project data from the CapEx-CMIE database. Third, embedding a theory-driven long-run relationship on the model, we estimate a range of Structural Vector Error Correction Models (SVECMs) to re-examine the public and private investment relationship in India. Identification is achieved by decomposing shocks into those with transitory and permanent effects. Our results suggest that while public-capital accumulation crowds out private investment in India over 1950-2012, the opposite is true when we restrict the sample post 1980 or conduct a quarterly analysis since 1996Q2. This change can most likely be attributed to the policy reforms which started during early 1980s and gained momentum after the 1991 crises.
Saving and investment --- Public investments --- Government investments --- Investments, Public --- Expenditures, Public --- Investments --- Capital budget --- Economic development projects --- Investment of public funds --- Accumulation, Capital --- Capital accumulation --- Capital formation --- Investment and saving --- Saving and thrift --- Capital --- Supply-side economics --- Wealth --- Econometric models. --- Finance --- Infrastructure --- Investments: General --- Public Finance --- Production and Operations Management --- Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models --- Multiple Variables: General --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- State Space Models --- Investment --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Public finance & taxation --- Macroeconomics --- Public investment spending --- Private investment --- Government debt management --- Productivity --- Expenditure --- National accounts --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Production --- Debts, Public --- Industrial productivity --- India
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The global boom in hydrocarbon, metal and mineral prices since the year 2000 created huge economic rents - rents which, once invested, were widely expected to promote productivity growth in other parts of the booming economies, creating a lasting legacy of the boom years. This paper asks whether this has happened. To properly address this question the empirical strategy must look behind the veil of the booming sector because that, by definition, will boom in a boom. So the paper considers new data on GDP per person outside of the resource sector. Despite having vast sums to invest, GDP growth per-capita outside of the booming sectors appears on average to have been no faster during the boom years than before. The paper finds no country in which (non-resource) growth per-person has been statisticallysignificantly higher during the boom years. In some Gulf states, oil rents have financed a migration-facilitated economic expansion with small or negative productivity gains. Overall, there is little evidence the booms have left behind the anticipated productivity transformation in the domestic economies. It appears that current policies are, overall, prooving insufficient to spur lasting development outside resource intensive sectors.
Economic development --- Public investments --- Government investments --- Investments, Public --- Expenditures, Public --- Investments --- Capital budget --- Economic development projects --- Investment of public funds --- Econometric models. --- Finance --- Investments: Energy --- Labor --- Public Finance --- Natural Resources --- Economic Development: Agriculture --- Energy --- Environment --- Other Primary Products --- Measurement of Economic Growth --- Aggregate Productivity --- Cross-Country Output Convergence --- Resource Booms --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics --- Environmental and Ecological Economics: General --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Energy: General --- Environmental management --- Public finance & taxation --- Labour --- income economics --- Investment & securities --- Natural resources --- Public investment spending --- Human capital --- Public expenditure review --- Oil --- Expenditure --- Commodities --- Petroleum industry and trade --- United Arab Emirates
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