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This paper presents estimates of the effects that terms of trade volatility has on growth of real gross domestic product per capita. Based on five-year non-overlapping panel data comprising 175 countries during 1980-2010, the paper finds that: (i) in model specifications that do not include country fixed effects, terms of trade volatility has a significant negative average effect on economic growth; (ii) once country fixed effects are included in the model, the average effect of terms of trade volatility on economic growth is not significantly different from zero; (iii) robust to the inclusion of country fixed effects, terms of trade volatility has significantly adverse effects on economic growth in countries with pro-cyclical fiscal policy; and (iv) in model specifications that do not include country fixed effects, financial development is a significant mediating factor with regard to the effect that terms of trade volatility has on economic growth, however, the significance of this effect vanishes once country fixed effects are included in the model. The paper also explores these relationships for the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States region. A key conclusion from the research is that countercyclical fiscal policy and deeper financial markets will have particularly high payoffs in reducing the adverse growth effects of terms of trade volatility in the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States region.
Economic conditions and volatility --- Economic theory & research --- Emerging markets --- Financial development --- Fiscal policy --- Growth --- Inequality --- Macroeconomics and economic growth --- Poverty reduction --- Private sector development --- Pro-poor growth --- Procyclicality --- Terms of trade --- Volatility
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This paper presents estimates of the effects that terms of trade volatility has on growth of real gross domestic product per capita. Based on five-year non-overlapping panel data comprising 175 countries during 1980-2010, the paper finds that: (i) in model specifications that do not include country fixed effects, terms of trade volatility has a significant negative average effect on economic growth; (ii) once country fixed effects are included in the model, the average effect of terms of trade volatility on economic growth is not significantly different from zero; (iii) robust to the inclusion of country fixed effects, terms of trade volatility has significantly adverse effects on economic growth in countries with pro-cyclical fiscal policy; and (iv) in model specifications that do not include country fixed effects, financial development is a significant mediating factor with regard to the effect that terms of trade volatility has on economic growth, however, the significance of this effect vanishes once country fixed effects are included in the model. The paper also explores these relationships for the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States region. A key conclusion from the research is that countercyclical fiscal policy and deeper financial markets will have particularly high payoffs in reducing the adverse growth effects of terms of trade volatility in the Organization of Eastern Caribbean States region.
Economic conditions and volatility --- Economic theory & research --- Emerging markets --- Financial development --- Fiscal policy --- Growth --- Inequality --- Macroeconomics and economic growth --- Poverty reduction --- Private sector development --- Pro-poor growth --- Procyclicality --- Terms of trade --- Volatility
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As part of a national experiment, in 2008 Chengdu prefecture implemented ambitious property rights reforms, including complete registration of all land together with measures to ease transferability and eliminate labor market restrictions. This study uses a discontinuity design with spatial fixed effects to compare 529 villages just inside and outside the prefecture's border. The results suggest that the reforms increased tenure security, aligned land use closer to economic incentives, mainly through market transfers, and led to an increase in enterprise start-ups. These impacts, most of which are more pronounced for villages with lower travel time to Chengdu city, point toward high potential gains from factor market reform.
Communities & human settlements --- Financial development --- Land & real estate development --- Land use change --- Municipal housing and land --- National urban development policies & strategies --- Private sector development --- Urban development --- Urban housing --- Urban housing and land settlements
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As part of a national experiment in 2008, Chengdu prefecture implemented ambitious property rights reforms, including complete registration of all land together with measures to ease transferability and eliminate migration restrictions. A triple difference approach using the Statistics Bureau's regular household panel suggests that the reforms increased consumption and income, especially for less wealthy and less educated households, with estimated benefits well above the cost of implementation. Local labor supply increased, with the young shifting toward agriculture and the old toward off-farm employment. Agricultural yields, intensity of input use, and diversity of output also increased. Improving property rights in peri-urban China appears to have increased investment and diversification.
Access to finance --- Economic theory & research --- Finance and financial sector development --- Financial development --- Labor policies --- Land use change --- Macroeconomics and economic growth --- Public sector development --- Public sector management and reform --- Rural development --- Rural development knowledge and information systems --- Social protections and labor --- Urban development
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The housing finance market in Mali remains small and under developed. Few banks currently offer a full mortgage product with Banque Malienne de Solidarite, Mali Housing Bank (BHM), Bank of Africa, and EcoBank being the main lenders although at minimal levels. The total annual housing need in Mali based on the household formation rate amounts to 82,500, split between 51,100 urban units and 31,400 rural units. Overall some social housing is constructed and support is provided by the state for low income housing through the Office Malienne de l'Habitat (OMH), but the numbers remain small. The Malien authorities have been working to strengthen financial sector stability which includes measures to stabilize the BHM and put it in a position where it begins to fulfill its mandate of providing credit for the housing sector. A strategy was approved by the council of Minister for a strategic disengagement by the state from the share capital of BHM. Initially the agreed plan was for BHM to be privatized. Overall progress in delivery of affordable housing will require a concerted effort among all stakeholders both in public and private sector. This should be supported through establishment of stakeholder coordination group to oversee change across the housing value chain.
Access to Finance --- Affordability --- Affordable Housing --- Agricultural Finance --- Capital --- Collateral --- Commercial Banks --- Consumer Education --- Consumer Protection --- Cooperatives --- Corruption --- Equity --- Family --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial and Private Sector Development --- Financial Development --- Financial Institutions --- Financial Services --- Home Ownership --- Housing Finance --- Income Tax --- Interest Rates --- International Financial Standards and Systems --- Loans --- Microfinance Institutions --- Monetary Policy --- Moral Hazard --- Mortgages --- Privatization --- Profitability --- Property Rights --- Remittances --- Risk Management --- Savings --- Technical Assistance --- Urban Areas --- Women
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This paper studies the role of morality in the decision to repay debts. Using a field experiment with a large Islamic bank in Indonesia, the paper finds that moral appeals strongly increase credit card repayments. In this setting, all of the banks late-paying credit card customers receive a basic reminder to repay their debt one day after they miss the payment due date. In addition, two days before the end of a ten-day grace period, clients in a treatment group also receive a text message that cites an Islamic religious text and states that "non-repayment of debts by someone who is able to repay is an injustice." This message increases the share of customers meeting their minimum payments by nearly 20 percent. By contrast, sending either a simple reminder or an Islamic quote that is unrelated to debt repayment has no effect on the share of customers making the minimum payment. Clients also respond more strongly to this moral appeal than to substantial financial incentives: receiving the religious message increases repayments by more than offering a cash rebate equivalent to 50 percent of the minimum repayment. Finally, the paper finds that removing religious aspects from the quote does not change its effectiveness, suggesting that the moral appeal of the message does not necessarily rely on its religious connotation.
Access to credit --- Adverse selection --- Arrears --- Assets --- Bank indonesia --- Banking --- Bankruptcy and resolution of financial distress --- Banks and banking reform --- Borrowers --- Checking account --- Collect debts --- Collections --- Communications --- Consumer choice --- Consumer choices --- Credit card --- Credit card debt --- Credit control --- Credit market --- Current debt --- Customer service --- Customers --- Debt --- Debt forgiveness --- Debt markets --- Debt relief --- Debt repayment --- Debtor --- Debts --- Default --- Deposit --- E-Business --- Emerging markets --- Equity --- Equity fund --- Estate private sector development --- Ethical behavior --- Ethical global equity --- Ethical global equity fund --- Exchange --- Fair trade --- Finance and financial sector development --- Financial development --- Financial products --- Forgiveness --- Gambling --- Global equity --- Goods --- Grace period --- Grants --- Human capital --- Human rights --- Income --- Indebted --- Indebted poor countries --- Insurance --- Interest --- Interest rate --- Interest rates --- Interested party --- International bank --- Investment --- Investment management --- Investor --- Islamic bank --- Islamic law --- Late payment --- Law --- Liquidity --- Liquidity constraint --- Loan --- Loan repayment --- Moral hazard --- Moral suasion --- Mortgage --- New credit --- Outsourcing --- Outstanding debt --- Partner bank --- Payment --- Payments --- Peer pressure --- Penalties --- Penalty --- Political economy --- Portfolio --- Price --- Pricing --- Property --- Public debt --- Real estate --- Repayment --- Repayment behavior --- Repayment of debt --- Repayment of debts --- Repayment rate --- Repayment rates --- Responsible investment --- Restructuring --- Revenue --- Risk --- Saving --- Savings --- Savings account --- Savings accounts --- Services --- Share --- Shares --- Socially responsible investment --- Sovereign debt --- Stocks --- Student debt --- Student loans --- Trade --- Usury laws
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This paper studies the role of morality in the decision to repay debts. Using a field experiment with a large Islamic bank in Indonesia, the paper finds that moral appeals strongly increase credit card repayments. In this setting, all of the banks late-paying credit card customers receive a basic reminder to repay their debt one day after they miss the payment due date. In addition, two days before the end of a ten-day grace period, clients in a treatment group also receive a text message that cites an Islamic religious text and states that "non-repayment of debts by someone who is able to repay is an injustice." This message increases the share of customers meeting their minimum payments by nearly 20 percent. By contrast, sending either a simple reminder or an Islamic quote that is unrelated to debt repayment has no effect on the share of customers making the minimum payment. Clients also respond more strongly to this moral appeal than to substantial financial incentives: receiving the religious message increases repayments by more than offering a cash rebate equivalent to 50 percent of the minimum repayment. Finally, the paper finds that removing religious aspects from the quote does not change its effectiveness, suggesting that the moral appeal of the message does not necessarily rely on its religious connotation.
Access to credit --- Adverse selection --- Arrears --- Assets --- Bank indonesia --- Banking --- Bankruptcy and resolution of financial distress --- Banks and banking reform --- Borrowers --- Checking account --- Collect debts --- Collections --- Communications --- Consumer choice --- Consumer choices --- Credit card --- Credit card debt --- Credit control --- Credit market --- Current debt --- Customer service --- Customers --- Debt --- Debt forgiveness --- Debt markets --- Debt relief --- Debt repayment --- Debtor --- Debts --- Default --- Deposit --- E-Business --- Emerging markets --- Equity --- Equity fund --- Estate private sector development --- Ethical behavior --- Ethical global equity --- Ethical global equity fund --- Exchange --- Fair trade --- Finance and financial sector development --- Financial development --- Financial products --- Forgiveness --- Gambling --- Global equity --- Goods --- Grace period --- Grants --- Human capital --- Human rights --- Income --- Indebted --- Indebted poor countries --- Insurance --- Interest --- Interest rate --- Interest rates --- Interested party --- International bank --- Investment --- Investment management --- Investor --- Islamic bank --- Islamic law --- Late payment --- Law --- Liquidity --- Liquidity constraint --- Loan --- Loan repayment --- Moral hazard --- Moral suasion --- Mortgage --- New credit --- Outsourcing --- Outstanding debt --- Partner bank --- Payment --- Payments --- Peer pressure --- Penalties --- Penalty --- Political economy --- Portfolio --- Price --- Pricing --- Property --- Public debt --- Real estate --- Repayment --- Repayment behavior --- Repayment of debt --- Repayment of debts --- Repayment rate --- Repayment rates --- Responsible investment --- Restructuring --- Revenue --- Risk --- Saving --- Savings --- Savings account --- Savings accounts --- Services --- Share --- Shares --- Socially responsible investment --- Sovereign debt --- Stocks --- Student debt --- Student loans --- Trade --- Usury laws
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Growing research and policy interest focuses on the misallocation of output and factors of production in developing economies. This paper considers the possible misallocation of financial loans. Using plant-level data on the organized and unorganized sectors, the paper describes the temporal, geographic, and industry distributions of financial loans. The focus of the analysis is the hypothesis that land misallocation might be an important determinant of financial misallocation (for example, because of the role of land as collateral against loans). Using district-industry variations, the analysis finds evidence to support this hypothesis, although it does not find a total reduction in the intensity of financial loans or those being given to new entrants. The analysis also considers differences by gender of business owners and workers in firms. Although potential early gaps for businesses with substantial female employment have disappeared in the organized sector, a sizeable and persistent gap remains in the unorganized sector.
Access to banking --- Access to credit --- Access to external finance --- Access to finance --- Access to financial services --- Access to formal credit --- Access to formal finance --- Access to loans --- Asymmetric information --- Bank branches --- Bank credit --- Bank financing --- Bank loan --- Bank loans --- Banking --- Banking services --- Banks --- Banks and banking reform --- Biases --- Borrower --- Borrowers --- Borrowing --- Business owners --- Business plans --- Capital --- Co-operative banks --- Collateral --- Collateral requirements --- Collateral support --- Commercial banks --- Cost of capital --- Credit --- Credit bureaus --- Credit information --- Credit market --- Credit markets --- Credit policy --- Credit registries --- Credit risk --- Credit support --- Credit-worthiness --- Creditworthiness --- Debt collectors --- Debt markets --- Directed credit --- Disparities in access --- Econometrics --- Economic activity --- Economic growth --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Employment --- Enterprise --- Enterprise development --- Entrepreneur --- Entrepreneurs --- Entrepreneurship --- Equity --- Exclusion --- External finance --- External financing --- Finance and financial sector development --- Financial access --- Financial deepening --- Financial depth --- Financial development --- Financial institutions --- Financial integration --- Financial markets --- Financial sector --- Financial sector development --- Financial services --- Financial strength --- Financing --- Fixed assets --- Formal credit --- Formal finance --- Gender --- Gender inequality --- Government policy --- Governments --- Guarantee --- Households --- Housing --- Human capital --- Inequality --- Information sharing --- Infrastructure --- Intangible assets --- Interest expense --- Interest payment --- Interest rate --- Investment --- Issue of access --- Job creation --- Labor --- Labor market --- Labor markets --- Lack of collateral --- Land markets --- Lenders --- Lending --- Liberalization --- Loan --- Loan access --- Loan demand --- Loans --- Macroeconomics --- Marginal revenue --- Market value --- Markets --- Micro enterprises --- Micro-credit --- Micro-enterprises --- Micro-entrepreneurs --- Micro-finance --- Micro-finance institutions --- Microfinance --- Monetary policy --- Money lenders --- Net value --- Outreach --- Outstanding loan --- Outstanding loans --- Overdraft --- Personal assets --- Private enterprise --- Private enterprises --- Profitability --- Property --- Real estate --- Repossession --- Reserve bank of india --- Resource allocation --- Revenue --- Risk --- Risk perception --- Rural bank --- Rural bank branches --- Services --- Sizes of loan --- Small business --- Small business owners --- Small businesses --- Strategies --- Tangible assets --- Taxes --- Trade credit --- Trade credits --- Transport --- Union --- Urban areas --- Value --- Villages --- Water & industry --- Water resources --- Water supply --- Working capital
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Growing research and policy interest focuses on the misallocation of output and factors of production in developing economies. This paper considers the possible misallocation of financial loans. Using plant-level data on the organized and unorganized sectors, the paper describes the temporal, geographic, and industry distributions of financial loans. The focus of the analysis is the hypothesis that land misallocation might be an important determinant of financial misallocation (for example, because of the role of land as collateral against loans). Using district-industry variations, the analysis finds evidence to support this hypothesis, although it does not find a total reduction in the intensity of financial loans or those being given to new entrants. The analysis also considers differences by gender of business owners and workers in firms. Although potential early gaps for businesses with substantial female employment have disappeared in the organized sector, a sizeable and persistent gap remains in the unorganized sector.
Access to banking --- Access to credit --- Access to external finance --- Access to finance --- Access to financial services --- Access to formal credit --- Access to formal finance --- Access to loans --- Asymmetric information --- Bank branches --- Bank credit --- Bank financing --- Bank loan --- Bank loans --- Banking --- Banking services --- Banks --- Banks and banking reform --- Biases --- Borrower --- Borrowers --- Borrowing --- Business owners --- Business plans --- Capital --- Co-operative banks --- Collateral --- Collateral requirements --- Collateral support --- Commercial banks --- Cost of capital --- Credit --- Credit bureaus --- Credit information --- Credit market --- Credit markets --- Credit policy --- Credit registries --- Credit risk --- Credit support --- Credit-worthiness --- Creditworthiness --- Debt collectors --- Debt markets --- Directed credit --- Disparities in access --- Econometrics --- Economic activity --- Economic growth --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Employment --- Enterprise --- Enterprise development --- Entrepreneur --- Entrepreneurs --- Entrepreneurship --- Equity --- Exclusion --- External finance --- External financing --- Finance and financial sector development --- Financial access --- Financial deepening --- Financial depth --- Financial development --- Financial institutions --- Financial integration --- Financial markets --- Financial sector --- Financial sector development --- Financial services --- Financial strength --- Financing --- Fixed assets --- Formal credit --- Formal finance --- Gender --- Gender inequality --- Government policy --- Governments --- Guarantee --- Households --- Housing --- Human capital --- Inequality --- Information sharing --- Infrastructure --- Intangible assets --- Interest expense --- Interest payment --- Interest rate --- Investment --- Issue of access --- Job creation --- Labor --- Labor market --- Labor markets --- Lack of collateral --- Land markets --- Lenders --- Lending --- Liberalization --- Loan --- Loan access --- Loan demand --- Loans --- Macroeconomics --- Marginal revenue --- Market value --- Markets --- Micro enterprises --- Micro-credit --- Micro-enterprises --- Micro-entrepreneurs --- Micro-finance --- Micro-finance institutions --- Microfinance --- Monetary policy --- Money lenders --- Net value --- Outreach --- Outstanding loan --- Outstanding loans --- Overdraft --- Personal assets --- Private enterprise --- Private enterprises --- Profitability --- Property --- Real estate --- Repossession --- Reserve bank of india --- Resource allocation --- Revenue --- Risk --- Risk perception --- Rural bank --- Rural bank branches --- Services --- Sizes of loan --- Small business --- Small business owners --- Small businesses --- Strategies --- Tangible assets --- Taxes --- Trade credit --- Trade credits --- Transport --- Union --- Urban areas --- Value --- Villages --- Water & industry --- Water resources --- Water supply --- Working capital
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