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L’évolution des taux d’intérêt est souvent au centre de l’actualité économique et politique, nationale et mondiale. À la suite de la crise financière de 2008, les taux d’intérêt fixés par les banques centrales ont atteint des niveaux proches de zéro. Mais les taux d’intérêt auxquels empruntent les entreprises, les ménages et les États varient selon l’horizon de l’emprunt (à un mois ou à dix ans, par exemple) et selon le risque perçu par les prêteurs. Ce livre, rédigé par trois spécialistes reconnues, explique comment se forment les taux d’intérêt et quel rôle ils jouent dans l’économie, en s’appuyant sur des mécanismes simples et sur les évolutions marquantes observées dans les économies avancées
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Each new chapter of the Second Edition covers an aspect of the fixed income market that has become relevant to investors but is not covered at an advanced level in existing textbooks. This is material that is pertinent to the investment decisions but is not freely available to those not originating the products. Professor Choudhry’s method is to place ideas into contexts in order to keep them from becoming too theoretical. While the level of mathematical sophistication is both high and specialized, he includes a brief introduction to the key mathematical concepts. This is a book on the financial markets, not mathematics, and he provides few derivations and fewer proofs. He draws on both his personal experience as well as his own research to bring together subjects of practical importance to bond market investors and analysts. Presents practitioner-level theories and applications, never available in textbooks Focuses on financial markets, not mathematics Covers relative value investing, returns analysis, and risk estimation
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The paper develops a small New-Keynesian FPAS model for Vietnam. The model closely matches actual data from 2000-2014. We derive an optimal monetary policy rule that minimizes variability of output, inflation, and the exchange rate. Compared to the baseline model, the optimal rule places a larger weight on output stabilization as the intermediate target to achieve inflation stability, while allowing greater exchange rate flexibility. We analyze the dynamics of key macro variables under various shocks including external and domestic demand shocks and a lift-off of U.S. interest rates. We find that the optimal monetary policy rule delivers greater macroeconomic stability for Vietnam under the shock scenarios.
Banks and Banking --- Foreign Exchange --- Inflation --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Production and Operations Management --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation --- Monetary Policy --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Macroeconomics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Monetary economics --- Finance --- Output gap --- Exchange rates --- Inflation targeting --- Real interest rates --- Prices --- Production --- Monetary policy --- Financial services --- Economic theory --- Interest rates --- Vietnam
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This volume in the Mastering Mathematical Finance series strikes just the right balance between mathematical rigour and practical application. Existing books on the challenging subject of stochastic interest rate models are often too advanced for Master's students or fail to include practical examples. Stochastic Interest Rates covers practical topics such as calibration, numerical implementation and model limitations in detail. The authors provide numerous exercises and carefully chosen examples to help students acquire the necessary skills to deal with interest rate modelling in a real-world setting. In addition, the book's webpage at www.cambridge.org/9781107002579 provides solutions to all of the exercises as well as the computer code (and associated spreadsheets) for all numerical work, which allows students to verify the results.
Interest rates --- Stochastic analysis. --- Analysis, Stochastic --- Mathematical analysis --- Stochastic processes --- Mathematical models.
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Debts, Public. --- Finance, Public. --- Debts, Public --- Interest rates. --- Monetary policy. --- Management.
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We use a semi structural model to estimate neutral rates in the United States. Our Bayesian estimation incorporates prior information on the output gap and potential output (based on a production function approach) and accounts for unconventional monetary policies at the ZLB by using estimates of “shadow” policy rates. We find that our approach provides more plausible results than standard maximum likelihood estimates for the unobserved variables in the model. Results show a significant trend decline in the neutral real rate over time, driven only in part by a decline in potential growth whereas other factors (including excess global savings) matter. Neutral rates likely turned negative during the Global Financial Crisis and are expected to increase only gradually looking forward.
Interest rates -- United States. --- Interest rates. --- Monetary policy -- United States. --- Monetary policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Monetary Policy --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Financial Crises --- Banking --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Central bank policy rate --- Output gap --- Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 --- Potential output --- Production growth --- Financial services --- Production --- Financial crises --- Economic theory --- Interest rates --- Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 --- United States
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Originally published in 1994 and the recipient of the Stonier Library Award, this volume evaluates an alternative approach - the sequential filter- to managing the uncertainty inherent in the future course of the interest rate cycle. The specific hypothesis is that the sequential filter can produce valuable signals of cyclical peaks and troughs in interest rates. The analysis focusses on US interest rates from April 1953 to December 1988.
Interest rates. --- Business cycles. --- Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Cycles --- Money market rates --- Rate of interest --- Rates, Interest --- Interest
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The Annual Report is prepared by the Executive Directors of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and the International Development Association (IDA)--collectively known as the World Bank--in accordance with the by-laws of the two institutions. The President of the IBRD and IDA and the Chairman of the Board of Executive Directors submits the Report, together with the accompanying administrative budgets and audited financial statements, to the Board of Governors.
Banking Sector --- Capital Markets --- Emerging Markets --- Equity Investments --- Health Services --- Inflation --- Interest Rates --- Microfinance --- Natural Resources --- Transition Economies
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