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This Selected Issues paper estimates the optimal allocation of government current spending, precautionary saving, and investment for Kuwait under uncertainty. The results show that in the face of high oil income volatility and the expected decline in oil prices, projected current spending exceeds the optimal amount over the medium term (2013–2018). However, there is room to increase investment spending, which should contribute to the growth of the tradable sector, as the projected investment rate is lower than the optimal investment rate of 20 percent of government income.

Kuwait --- Koweit --- Kuwayt --- Kuvayt --- Kuveĭt --- Dowlat al Kuwait --- Dawlat al-Kuwayt --- State of Kuwait --- Economic conditions. --- Economic policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Investments: Energy --- Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Finance: General --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Energy: General --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Banking --- Labour --- income economics --- Investment & securities --- Financial services law & regulation --- Finance --- Income --- Oil prices --- Consumption --- Precautionary savings --- National accounts --- Capital adequacy requirements --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Commercial banks --- Financial institutions --- Banks and banking --- Economics --- Saving and investment --- Asset requirements