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Policy Options to Durably Resolve Euro Area Imbalances
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Year: 2013 Publisher: Paris : OECD Publishing,

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A simple econometric framework is presented linking current account balances of euro area countries to intra and extra euro area competitiveness, cyclical positions, fiscal positions and the oil price. The framework is then used to cyclically-adjust observed current account balances and illustrate the scale of the additional adjustments to competitiveness and/or fiscal balances required in the euro area periphery to bring structural current account balances to levels compatible with sustainable net external debt levels. In Spain and Portugal, cost competitiveness relative to the rest of the euro area would need to improve by about 30%, and by more than twice that in Greece. In peripheral countries, a combination of structural reforms to boost productivity and enhance the flexibility of labour markets, ambitious fiscal consolidation and reductions in labour taxes could substantially facilitate the rebalancing process and reduce the extent to which the burden of adjustment is reliant on further prolonged demand weakness. Surplus and/or strong competitiveness countries could help by likewise making labour and product markets more flexible, accepting above-normal inflation for an extended period and boosting demand, perhaps through reduced fiscal austerity.

Keywords

Governance --- Economics --- Euro Area


Article
Policy Options to Durably Resolve Euro Area Imbalances
Authors: ---
Year: 2013 Publisher: Paris : OECD Publishing,

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Abstract

A simple econometric framework is presented linking current account balances of euro area countries to intra and extra euro area competitiveness, cyclical positions, fiscal positions and the oil price. The framework is then used to cyclically-adjust observed current account balances and illustrate the scale of the additional adjustments to competitiveness and/or fiscal balances required in the euro area periphery to bring structural current account balances to levels compatible with sustainable net external debt levels. In Spain and Portugal, cost competitiveness relative to the rest of the euro area would need to improve by about 30%, and by more than twice that in Greece. In peripheral countries, a combination of structural reforms to boost productivity and enhance the flexibility of labour markets, ambitious fiscal consolidation and reductions in labour taxes could substantially facilitate the rebalancing process and reduce the extent to which the burden of adjustment is reliant on further prolonged demand weakness. Surplus and/or strong competitiveness countries could help by likewise making labour and product markets more flexible, accepting above-normal inflation for an extended period and boosting demand, perhaps through reduced fiscal austerity.

Keywords

Governance --- Economics --- Euro Area


Book
L'euro : origines, vertus et vices, crises et avenir
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ISBN: 2247126421 Year: 2013 Publisher: Paris : Dalloz,

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The euro crisis and European political economy : France, Germany and Central Europe

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Ces Français, fossoyeurs de l'euro
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ISBN: 9782259220088 2259220088 Year: 2013 Publisher: Paris : Plon,

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Un New Deal pour l'Europe
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ISBN: 2738177115 Year: 2013 Publisher: Odile Jacob

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The Euro crisis and European political economy : France, Germany and Central Europe
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Year: 2013 Publisher: Tokyo : Aoyama Gakuin University,

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The single currency and European citizenship : unveiling the other side of the coin.
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ISBN: 9781623566845 Year: 2013 Publisher: London Bloomsbury

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The single currency and European citizenship : unveiling the other side of the coin
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ISBN: 9781623560959 1623560950 1623562996 1501300822 Year: 2013 Publisher: New York : Bloomsbury Academic,

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"Established in 2002, the Euro is now the currency of 17 countries used by over 335 million people daily. Although the single currency is much discussed in terms of macroeconomics and global finances, policymakers rarely address its impact on European citizenship in social, cultural, political, and everyday life economics terms. This hidden side of the single currency is the focus of the essays, which use various approaches, from economic history and political sociology to citizenship and legitimacy, to reveal the connections between the Euro and European citizenship. This timely contribution by renowned experts provides a greater understanding of the Euro at a time when it is not clear whether it should be celebrated or commemorated, and looks into aspects of the single currency that are the base of the social trust that supports it and that is at stake in the present crisis. It will be an essential tool to anyone studying the political, social, and economic development of the E.U."--Bloomsbury Publishing.


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Ein Europa, das es nicht gibt : die fatale Sprengkraft des Euro
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ISBN: 9783944305189 Year: 2013 Publisher: Berlin Europa Verlag

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