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This technical note summarizes findings and recommendations on measures for the strengthening of the capital markets in Mongolia. The authorities have taken bold steps in the last two years to modernize the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) and put in place modern legal, regulatory and market infrastructure for the capital market. Improving the institutional, regulatory and supervisory framework is a key priority, and the enactment of a new securities market law should lay a sound foundation for the regulation and supervision of the securities markets. However, its current draft has several gaps that should be addressed. Nonetheless, development of the domestic securities market in Mongolia should take into account the inherent problems for small markets, because a central feature of the securities market is economies of scale. Currently, the local capital market is not representative of the full universe of Mongolian enterprises that are operating in the country at present. As a result, it may be difficult to attract foreign investors interest if the country's most attractive firms are not listed domestically. One of the most important elements for a strong domestic capital market is a diversified institutional investor base, and the regulatory agencies involved should pursue a concerted strategy toward developing the investor base. Mongolia needs to provide an enabling environment to attract a diverse range of institutional investors participation, including investors from abroad.
Accounting --- Asset-Backed Securities --- Auctions --- Banking Sector --- Capital Flows --- Capital Markets --- Capital Markets and Capital Flows --- Capital Requirements --- Commercial Banks --- Corporate Governance --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Debt Markets --- Domestic Debt --- Due Diligence --- Equity Markets --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Literacy --- Fiscal Policy --- Fund Management --- Gross Domestic Product --- Human Capital --- Inflation --- Information Technology --- Insurance --- Monetary Policy --- Mutual Funds --- Risk Management --- Securities --- Stock Exchanges --- Transparency --- Yield Curve
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The effectiveness of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in open economies could be impaired if interest rates are driven primarily by global factors, especially during periods of large capital inflows. The main objective of this paper is to assess whether this is true for emerging Asia’s economies. Using a dynamic factor model and a structural vector auto-regression model, we show that long-term interest rates in Asia are indeed predominantly driven by global factors. However, monetary policy transmission mechanism remains effective in the region, as it operates predominantly through short-term interest rates. Nevertheless, the monetary transmission mechanism, though effective, is somewhat weaker in Asia during the periods of surges in capital inflows.
Finance --- Business & Economics --- Money --- Monetary policy --- Capital movements --- Capital flight --- Capital flows --- Capital inflow --- Capital outflow --- Flight of capital --- Flow of capital --- Movements of capital --- Balance of payments --- Foreign exchange --- International finance --- Transmission mechanism (Monetary policy) --- E-books --- Monetary transmission mechanism --- Banks and Banking --- Exports and Imports --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Monetary Policy --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Banking --- International economics --- Long term interest rates --- Yield curve --- Central bank policy rate --- Short term interest rates --- Capital inflows --- Financial services --- Interest rates --- United States
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We estimate sovereign bond spreads of 28 emerging economies over the period January 1998-December 2011 and test the ability of the model in generating accurate in-sample predictions for emerging economies bond spreads. The impact and significance of country-specific and global explanatory variables on bond spreads varies across regions, as well as economic periods. During crisis times, good macroeconomic fundamentals are helpful in containing bond spreads, but less than in non-crisis times, possibly reflecting the impact of extra-economic forces on bond spreads when a financial crisis occurs. For some emerging economies, in-sample predictions of the monthly changes in bond spreads obtained with rolling regression routines are significantly more accurate than forecasts obtained with a random walk. Rolling regression-based bond spread predictions appear to convey more information than those obtained with a linear prediction method. By contrast, bond spreads forecasts obtained with a linear prediction method are less accurate than those obtained with random guessing.
Finance --- Business & Economics --- Investment & Speculation --- State bonds --- Government securities --- Econometric models. --- Government agency securities --- Government bonds --- Public securities --- Treasuries (Securities) --- Treasury bonds --- Bonds --- Debts, Public --- Securities --- Econometric models --- E-books --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Investments: Bonds --- International Finance Forecasting and Simulation --- Financial Forecasting and Simulation --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Investment & securities --- Yield curve --- Sovereign bonds --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Bond yields --- Securities markets --- Financial services --- Financial institutions --- Financial markets --- Interest rates --- Financial services industry --- Capital market --- United States
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The paper developes a VAR macrofinance model of the Czech economy. It shows that yield misalignments from the yields implied by the macrofinance model partially determine subsequent yield changes over three to nine months. These yield misalignments tend to persist for a number of months. This persistence of the misalignments was explained by (a) the fact that the macro-economy influences asset markets only at lower frequencies, (b) the liquidity effect particularly during the times of capital inflows to Czech Republic, and (c) the fact that not all misalignments were greater than their historical one standard deviation.
Macroeconomics --- Economics --- Finance --- Econometric models. --- Czech Republic --- Česká republika --- ČR --- Tschechische Republik --- Česko --- Czechia --- チェコ --- Cheko --- チェコ共和国 --- Cheko Kyōwakoku --- Tschechien --- Tschechenland --- Tschechei --- République tchèque --- República Checa --- Chequia --- Txèquia --- Txeca --- República Txeca --- Češka --- Czech Socialist Republic (Czechoslovakia) --- Czechoslovakia --- Economic conditions --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Inflation --- Investments: Bonds --- Industries: General --- Financial Econometrics --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Investment & securities --- Yield curve --- Sovereign bonds --- Industrial production --- Stock markets --- Financial services --- Financial institutions --- Production --- Prices --- Financial markets --- Interest rates --- Bonds --- Industries --- Stock exchanges
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An update on Saudi Arabia’s Financial System Stability Assessment (FSAP) is presented. Saudi Arabia has confronted the global financial crisis from a position of strength, and took decisive steps to manage the impact of the crisis. As a result, the financial system has weathered the crisis relatively well. The authorities have made progress implementing the recommendations of the 2004 FSAP. Many improvements have been made to bank and securities supervision. The banking sector as a whole is well capitalized and appears to be able to withstand severe temporary shocks.
International finance. --- International monetary system --- International money --- Finance --- International economic relations --- Saudi Arabia --- Economic conditions. --- Economic policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Portfolio Choice --- Investment Decisions --- Banking --- Commercial banks --- Oil prices --- Yield curve --- Financial sector stability --- Financial institutions --- Loans --- Liquidity --- Asset and liability management --- Financial services --- Banks and banking --- Interest rates --- Financial services industry --- Economics
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This 2012 Article IV Consultation—Selected Issues Paper on Euro Area Policies argues that the creation of a common eurozone financial stability architecture is an immediate priority to restore the viability of the Economic and Monetary Union. The paper presents a narrative of the various stages of the banking and sovereign crisis since the Summer of 2011. It also characterizes the downward spirals at play in periphery euro area countries and describes the process of financial de-integration within the euro area.
Monetary policy --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Europe --- Economic policy. --- Banks and Banking --- Investments: Bonds --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Public Finance --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Fiscal Policy --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Investment & securities --- Banking --- Monetary economics --- Finance --- Public finance & taxation --- Bonds --- Bond yields --- Sovereign bonds --- Credit default swap --- Financial institutions --- Public debt --- Yield curve --- Financial services --- Banks and banking --- Fiscal policy --- Credit --- Crisis management --- Debts, Public --- Interest rates --- Spain
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With this Cameroon economic update, the World Bank is pursuing a program of short, crisp and frequent country economic reports. These economic updates provide an analysis of the trends and constraints in Cameroon's economic development. Each issue, produced bi-annually, provides an update of recent economic developments as well as a special focus on a topical issue. The economic updates aim to share knowledge and stimulate debate among those interested in improving the economic management of Cameroon and unleashing its enormous potential. The notes thereby offer another voice on economic issues in Cameroon, and an additional platform for engagement, learning and change.
Access to Education --- Access to Finance --- Agriculture --- Arbitration --- Banking Sector --- Commodity Prices --- Consumers --- Debt Management --- Debt Markets --- Economic Development --- Economic Growth --- Economics --- Family Farms --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Crisis --- Financial Institutions --- Financial Sector --- Gdp --- Gender --- Gross Domestic Product --- Inflation --- Information Technology --- Investment Climate --- Job Creation --- Labor Market --- Labor Policies --- Legal Framework --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Natural Resources --- Poverty Reduction --- Productivity --- Public Debt --- Public Investment --- Public Spending --- Remittances --- Risk Aversion --- Savings --- Scholarships --- Social Protections and Labor --- Sovereign Debt --- Telecommunications --- Unemployment --- World Development Indicators --- Yield Curve
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The Philippine quarterly update provides an update on key economic and social developments, and policies over the past three months. Despite heightened global economic uncertainty, the Philippine economy grew by 6.4 percent in the first quarter of 2012, a solid recovery from the relatively low 3.9 percent outturn for 2011. Higher growth was driven by a recovery in net exports and government spending, and robust private consumption. However, the ongoing European debt crisis and the slowdown in China pose significant downside risks to growth. The main channels of contagion to the Philippines are direct exports and remittance linkages to Europe, and indirect impact through regional production networks centered on China. The challenge for policymakers is to cushion the economy from potential external shocks, while ensuring that the Philippines invest in inclusive growth. Political commitment and strong macroeconomic fundamentals provide a window of opportunity for investing in inclusive growth by accelerating the implementation of reforms that improve the business environment for firms of all sizes, and boosting public investment in key infrastructure. Faster human capital accumulation will enhance productivity and drive growth in the medium term by enabling the country to shift gears towards higher value-added activities and more innovation.
Access to Finance --- Accounting --- Analysis of Economic Growth --- Banking Sector --- Corruption --- Debt Markets --- Developing Countries --- Domestic Debt --- Economic Management --- Economic theory & Research --- Emerging Markets --- Equity Markets --- Expenditures --- External Shocks --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial Crisis --- Financial Institutions --- Financial Services --- Financial Stability --- Fiscal Policy --- Foreign Banks --- Fraud --- Global Economy --- Gross Domestic Product --- Human Capital --- Inflation --- Insurance --- Investment Climate --- Job Creation --- Life Insurance --- Macroeconomic Management --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth --- Minimum Wage --- Monetary Policy --- Natural Disasters --- Private Investment --- Private Sector Development --- Profitability --- Public Debt --- Public Spending --- Recession --- Remittances --- Risk Aversion --- Risk Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Tax Policy --- Transparency --- Unemployment --- Urban Areas --- Yield Curve
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Owing primarily to extensive investment in new mining projects, Mongolia's economy is on a path of very rapid long-term growth. While financial intermediation in Mongolia has been growing fast, access to finance remains a critical constraint for enterprises, and especially for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs). Improving access to financial services will require strengthening the legal and regulatory framework and financial infrastructure, including the secured transactions framework, creditor rights and insolvency regime, credit information sharing system, platform for technology-based banking products, regulation and supervision of nonbank financial institutions, and consumer protection in financial services. To realize fully its economic potential, Mongolia needs to build a diversified, efficient and stable financial system, capable of intermediating both on a large scale and in specific market segments. Due to its focus on the development agenda, and specifically on access to finance for the SME sector, capital markets development, and housing finance market development, this report does not address financial sector stability issues. Financial intermediation in Mongolia has grown significantly in recent years; credit and deposit penetration are on par with the average in the East Asia and the Pacific (EAP) region. Access to finance is particularly constrained for SMEs, which are also more sensitive to an unstable macroeconomic environment, characterized by high inflation and exchange rate fluctuations.
Access to Finance --- Accounting --- Auctions --- Banking Sector --- Bankruptcy --- Capital Flows --- Capital Markets --- Capital Markets and Capital Flows --- Commercial Banks --- Commodity Prices --- Consumer Protection --- Corporate Governance --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Due Diligence --- Equity Markets --- Finance and Financial Sector Development --- Financial and Private Sector Development --- Financial Institutions --- Financial Literacy --- Financial Regulation & Supervision --- Fiscal Policy --- Foreign Banks --- Gross Domestic Product --- Housing Finance --- Inflation --- Information Technology --- Insurance --- Interest Rates --- Legal Framework --- Microenterprises --- Property Rights --- Public Debt --- Remittances --- Risk Management --- Securities --- Securities Markets Policy & Regulation --- Standards and Financial Reporting --- Transparency --- Valuations --- Yield Curve
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This study finds that equity returns in the banking sector in the wake of the Great Recession and the European sovereign debt crisis have been driven mainly by weak growth prospects and heightened sovereign risk and to a lesser extent, by deteriorating funding conditions and investor sentiment. While the equity return performance in the banking sector has been dismal in general, better capitalized and less leveraged banks have outperformed their peers, a finding that supports policymakers’ efforts to strengthen bank capitalization.
Finance --- Business & Economics --- Investment & Speculation --- Capital market. --- Investments. --- Investing --- Investment management --- Portfolio --- Capital markets --- Market, Capital --- Disinvestment --- Loans --- Saving and investment --- Speculation --- Financial institutions --- Money market --- Securities --- Crowding out (Economics) --- Efficient market theory --- Country risk --- Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 --- Econometric models --- Europe --- Economic conditions. --- E-books --- Global Economic Crisis, 2008-2009 --- Subprime Mortgage Crisis, 2008-2009 --- Financial crises --- Country risk, Political --- Political risk (Foreign investments) --- Risk --- Banks and Banking --- Financial Risk Management --- Investments: Stocks --- Financial Crises --- Information and Market Efficiency --- Event Studies --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Banking --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Investment & securities --- Financial services law & regulation --- Stocks --- Capital adequacy requirements --- Yield curve --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Financial services --- Commercial banks --- Banks and banking --- Asset requirements --- Interest rates --- United States
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