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Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process : A Simple Framework and New Facts
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1616354453 1475533861 1299264727 1475516754 9781475516753 Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

We propose a new approach to test the full-information rational expectations hypothesis which can identify whether rejections of the arise from information rigidities. This approach quantifies the economic significance of departures from the and the underlying degree of information rigidity. Applying this approach to U.S. and international data of professional forecasters and other agents yields pervasive evidence consistent with the presence of information rigidities. These results therefore provide a set of stylized facts which can be used to calibrate imperfect information models. Finally, we document evidence of state-dependence in the expectations formation process.

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