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2012 (31)

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Periodical
Annual management report of the Overseas Private Investment Corporation for fiscal year ... submitted pursuant to the Chief Financial Officers Act of 1990 and in accordance with OMB's circular A-136.
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : Overseas Private Investment Corporation,

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Poverty Trends in Uganda : Who Gained and Who Was Left Behind?.
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Uganda had one of the best poverty reduction performances in the world since 1992, a result of a subtle structural transformation of household livelihood portfolios, rooted in strong growth of private wage and salary employment and non-farm household enterprises, and increased agricultural productivity among agricultural households. But depth and character of growth was not the same across Uganda. This triggered rising inequality throughout the country (within and between rural and urban and all regions) resulted in many households in the North and the East being left behind while the center pulled away. The evolution of spatial inequality is tightly linked to spatial differences in public and private investments, particularly in education - a legacy of inadequate public investments and conflict in the lagging regions. Addressing this inequality in growth is Uganda's shared growth challenge.


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Yemen Economic Monitoring Note, Fall 2012
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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After almost a year of political, economic, and security upheaval, Yemen has now embarked on a new political path based on an agreement brokered by the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and overseen by the United Nations, or UN and the international community. The agreement was signed on November 23, 2011, after former President Saleh, the ruling party (GPC), and the opposition parties agreed to a political transition, dialogue, and political reforms. A transitional government of national unity was formed and confirmed by the Parliament in early December 2011. The transition President Hadi was elected on February, 21 2012, for the period spanning to the planned next general elections in the first half of 2014. In an environment of political tensions, the President made progress in reforming the security institutional set-up, in reducing the influence of Al-Qaeda forces, and in preparing for a national dialogue.


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India Economic Update, March 2012
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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In 2011, India's economic growth has slowed to below 7 percent and the stock markets mirrored the weakening economic conditions, but recovered somewhat in early 2012. Industrial sector output growth briefly slipped into negative territory. On the demand side, fixed investment and consumption growth slowed. India's exports were growing very strongly through 2011 despite the worsening economic conditions in Europe, which continued to be India's most important export market. The balance of payments continued to be in surplus during April-September 2011, but the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reserves declined by a small amount since then. The rupee nevertheless depreciated by 20 percent between August and December, before recovering somewhat in early 2012. Macroeconomic policies presented a mixed picture: the central government is likely to miss the ambitious target for fiscal consolidation it had set in the FY2011-12 budget by about one percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Slippages are due to lower-than-expected revenues and increasing outlays on subsidies, which had been given low budgetary allocations in anticipation of strong policy changes, which failed to materialize. In India, the slowdown in GDP growth witnessed over the last two quarters is likely to extend into the coming fiscal year because of the weakness in investment. In FY2011-12 and FY2012-13, GDP growth is forecast to reach around 7-7.5 percent, a significant slowdown from the 9-10 percent growth in the run-up to the global financial crisis. The slowdown is at least partly caused by structural problems (power projects facing delays due to the lack of coal and gas feedstock, mining and the telecom sectors hit by corruption scandals, unavailability of land and infrastructure).


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Facilitating Short and Longer-Term Supply Response to Higher and More Volatile Food Prices
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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International food prices spiked for the second time in four years in early 2011, igniting concerns about a repeat of the 2008 food price crisis and its consequences for the poor. International food price uncertainty has also increased along with average levels. Although price volatility is an intrinsic characteristic of agricultural markets, it has increased markedly over the last five years, compared to the previous two and a half decades, even when controlling for inflation. More adverse weather conditions in the main producing regions, rising land and water constraints, and stronger linkages with more volatile oil prices, including through biofuels, tend to place upward pressure on food price volatility. These factors are likely to persist in the short-to medium-term suggesting that volatility may be higher in the future than that observed in the 1980s, 1990s, and early 2000s. Episodes of high prices and extreme volatility create uncertainty that is a major threat to food security in developing countries. Farmers deciding what to plant, and countries deciding when to import, face significant uncertainty with respect to the distribution of future food prices. While producers who are net sellers have welcomed recent periods of high prices, uncertainty as to post-harvest prices is a disincentive to a strong supply response, especially in poorer developing countries. Finally, there is a need to improve the access of farmers to appropriate price risk management tools (financial services, including saving mobilization) to reduce the negative impact of price volatility on production decision and help ensure supply response to higher prices. Improving access to infrastructure, maintaining low inflation (precautionary savings), and financial sector development (reflective of risk management capacity) can help to reduce the negative effective effects of price volatility on production decisions.


Book
Agglomeration and Manufacturing Activities in Indonesia
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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The importance of the agglomeration process in facilitating growth and productivity increases in Indonesia's manufacturing sector cannot be ignored. The agglomeration process is associated with improved productivity as firms enjoy external benefits from either urbanization or from the sharing of inputs available in certain locations. Evidence suggests that Java remains the main corridor for manufacturing activities, with large cities attracting manufacturers that are looking for externalities from urbanization. However, there are signs that some firms are shifting to new locations in other cities and forming new agglomerations in areas that these firms find more favorable. With regional autonomy, issues relating to local governance, infrastructure, and uncertainties in local regulations are increasingly important and can undermine the process of agglomeration. Some programs promoting certain locations as special economic zones (SEZs) are experiencing difficulties in attracting manufacturing investors. Understanding these challenges should help policymakers to strengthen the underlying factors that facilitate manufacturing agglomeration.


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Tajikistan Economic Update, October 2012 : From Recovery to a Sustainable Growth.
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Tajikistan has successfully emerged from the global economic crisis. Economic activity was strong, driven by growth in industrial production and services. Inward remittances remain a key factor in stimulating domestic consumption. Although inflation returned to single digits, it continues to be susceptible to higher global prices of key imports. The country remains vulnerable to a range of external shocks, and economic outcomes depend critically on regional trade, transport, and investment policies. Concerns remain with respect to weaknesses in the financial sector. Structural reforms continue, and transparency has increased. The outlook is generally positive, but chronic risks remain.


Book
Afghanistan Economic Update, October 2012
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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Afghanistan is in a state of transition which involves the handover of security responsibilities from international forces to the Afghan government. However, at present, Afghanistan's economy is growing strongly as a result of an exceptionally good harvest this year. Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth will most likely close the calendar year at 10 percent, a significant increase from last year's 5.8 percent. The services and construction sectors continue to grow strongly, driven mostly by continued high military spending and external aid. The good harvest has also brought Afghanistan to near food self-sufficiency and slowed inflation to 4.6 percent in July 2012 (y-o-y). Progress in the mining sector is clouded by uncertainty about a new mineral law. While investor interest in the sector is encouraging, gaps in the legal and regulatory framework of the sector do not provide sufficient confidence to investors to start operations or make firm commitments. A new low is in preparation but has also been heavily debated. Afghanistan's economic growth prospects for 2012 give cause for optimism. Although real GDP growth slowed, to around 7 percent in 2011 (from 8 percent the year before), due mainly to unfavorable weather and a poor harvest, the agriculture sector rebounded strongly in 2012 and is expected to boost economic growth to over 10 percent. Agriculture is an important but volatile component of economic growth.


Book
Zimbabwe Public Administration Review : Initial Reflections on Public Sector Reform to Support the Economic and Social Recovery of Zimbabwe.
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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In early 2010, Zimbabwe's Minister of Public Service requested Bank support for a public administration review to provide analytical support and technical assistance to identify the key issues to restore the quality of public administration in Zimbabwe. This policy note presents an initial framing of recent public administration reform experiences and lessons learned in Zimbabwe and set the agenda for future client engagement with a view to present reform options. It has the following objectives: first, it intends to situate and analyze the current progress made and challenges facing the Zimbabwe public service in its wider and rapidly changing - economic and political context. Second, it aims at presenting the Bank's engagement in this area over the last three years and to synthesize what has been learned. Third, it identifies reform options given the current context and gives possible future entry-points. It mainly aims at providing an initial basis for client-engagement to reach a broad consensus on reform and the potential areas of Bank support. This note is structured into five chapters as follows: chapter one presents the introduction to this paper and the country context in Zimbabwe. Chapter two frames the role of the public administration in economic and social recovery and presents progress made and challenges in public administration reform. Chapter three discusses recent Bank support in key public sector management areas. Chapter four presents lessons learned by the Bank team throughout its recent engagement. Chapter five evaluates the reform space, options, priorities, and entry points.


Book
The Transformational Use of Information and Communication Technologies in Africa
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Year: 2012 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank,

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This new flagship report for the eTransform Africa Project, produced by the World Bank and the African Development Bank, with the support of the African Union, identifies best practice in the use of Information and communication technologies (ICTs) in key sectors of the African economy. Under the theme transformation-ready, the growing contribution of ICTs to agriculture, climate change adaptation, education, financial services, government services, and health is explored. In addition, the report highlights the role of ICTs in enhancing African regional trade and integration as well as the need to build a competitive ICT industry to boost innovation, job creation, and the export potential of African companies.

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