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book (16)


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2011 (16)

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Book
Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector : big hindrance, little help
Authors: --- --- ---
Year: 2011 Publisher: Cambridge, MA : National Bureau of Economic Research,

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Abstract

"We examine how financial expansion and contraction cycles affect the broader economy through their impact on 8 real economic sectors in a panel of 28 countries over 1960-2005, paying particular attention to large, or sharp, contractions and magnifying and mitigating factors. Overall, the construction sector is the most responsive to financial sector growth, with a number of others such as government, public utilities, and transportation also exhibiting significant sensitivity to lagged financial sector growth. Sharp fluctuations in the financial sector have asymmetric effects, with the majority of real sectors adversely affected by contractions but not helped by expansions. The adverse effects of financial contractions are transmitted almost exclusively by the financial openness channel with foreign reserves mitigating these effects with a sizeable (10 to 15 times greater) impact during sharp financial contractions. Both effects are magnified during particularly large financial contractions (with coefficients on interaction terms 2 to 3 times greater than when all contractions are considered). Consequent upon a financial contraction, the most severe real sector contractions occur in countries with high financial openness, relative predominance of construction, manufacturing, and wholesale and retail sectors, and low international reserves. Finally, we find that abrupt financial contractions are more likely to follow periods of accelerated growth, indicative of "up by the stairs, down by the elevator dynamics.""--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.


Book
Financial aspects in energy : a European perspective
Author:
ISBN: 3642446191 3642197086 3642197094 Year: 2011 Publisher: Heidelberg ; New York : Springer,

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Energy production and supply, as well as sourcing and consumption, are becoming evermore important in a volatile world. In this book, attention is paid to prevalent energy issues from a finance perspective. The topics discussed cover markets, prices, regulations and firms. An international group of authors from both academia and energy practice provides in twelve chapters a state of the art of the energy markets in a finance environment. They do so by discussing the current knowledge and presenting empirical research in this quickly changing and developing field. This book is the first in a planned series on energy at a high scientific level organized by the Centre for Energy and Value Issues (CEVI).


Book
Inflation Uncertainty and Relative Price Variability in WAEMU Countries
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 146232634X 1455255262 1283556049 9786613868497 145522300X Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Using a consistent dataset and methodology for all eight member countries of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) from 1994 to 2009, this paper provides evidence of the two major channels for real effects of inflation: inflation uncertainty and relative price variability. In line with theory and most evidence for advanced and emerging market economies, higher inflation increases inflation uncertainty and relative price variability in all WAEMU countries. However, the pattern, magnitude and timing of these two channels vary considerably by country. The findings raise several policy issues for future research.


Book
Asean Bond Market Development : Where Does it Stand? Where is it Going?
Authors: --- --- --- --- --- et al.
ISBN: 1455290637 1455278521 1283558386 9786613870834 1455266469 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Since the Asian crisis, ASEAN5 countries have expended considerable effort in trying to develop their domestic bond markets. Yet today these markets are not much larger, relative to GDP, than they were a decade before. How can we explain this? And does this mean that domestic markets have not, in fact, developed? The paper argues that bond market growth has been held back by a sharp fall in investment rates, which has left firms with little need for bond borrowing. Even so, markets have developed in other ways, to such an extent that substantial amounts of foreign portfolio investment have begun to flow into ASEAN5 bonds. These developments have important ramifications. With the investor base growing and infrastructure investment likely to rise, ASEAN5 bond markets could expand rapidly over the next decade, holding out the prospect that the region could finally achieve "twin engine" financial systems.


Book
Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia : An Asset Price Perspective
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1463944861 1463949456 1283551632 9786613864086 1463953399 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper assesses financial integration in Asia in terms of risk-sharing benefit versus financial-contagion cost. We construct a new measure of risk sharing based on a term structure model, which allows identification of realized stochastic discount factors. Risk sharing is low in Asia, and varies across time and countries, whereas contagion risks are more significant intra-regionally, and relatively stable over the past decade. An overall tradeoff exists between risk sharing and contagion, but the terms of tradeoffs vary across countries, depending on relative economic fluctuations and inflation differentials. Asia, therefore, can potentially enhance risk sharing without raising contagion risk.


Book
Asian Financial Integration : Trends and Interruptions
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462392040 1455251879 1283553430 9786613865885 1455214892 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper compares trends in financial integration within Asia with those in industrialized countries and other regional groups. Declines in cross-country dispersion in equity returns and interest rates suggest increased Asian integration, with the process interrupted by crises and global volatility. Cross-border equity and bond holdings have also increased, but Asian countries remain considerably more financially integrated with major countries outside the region than with those within the region. The paper also discusses whether potential benefits of regional financial integration, such as increased risk-sharing and stability of the investor base, have materialized.


Book
(Why) Should Current Account Balances Be Reduced?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455294616 1455235083 1462384862 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.


Book
Quantitative Financial Risk Management
Author:
ISBN: 3642193382 3642193390 Year: 2011 Publisher: Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg : Imprint: Springer,

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The bulk of this volume deals with the four main aspects of risk management: market risk, credit risk, risk management - in macro-economy as well as within companies. It presents a number of approaches and case studies directed at applying risk management to diverse business environments. Included are traditional market and credit risk management models such as the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model, the Vasicek Model, Factor models, CAPM models, GARCH models, KMV models and credit scoring models.


Book
The Development of Local Debt Markets in Asia
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462363717 1462314279 1283570882 9786613883339 1462339492 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The paper makes an assessment of the progress made in developing local debt markets in emerging Asia. Market development has been limited by hurdles confronting borrowers and lenders, current and potential liquidity providers, and insufficient support from government policies and regulations. Besides fostering a credit culture to deepen local debt markets, the issue of critical size can be addressed through an integrated regional market for local currency bonds that provides greater scale, efficiency, and access. With rapid economic growth in Asia, a key challenge is to generate financial assets that can provide the underlying collateral for expanding fixed-income markets, and hence domestic and regional investment opportunities.


Book
India's Financial Globalisation
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462340598 1455280127 1283564920 9786613877376 1455214868 Year: 2011 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

India embarked on reintegration with the world economy in the early 1990s. At first, a certain limited opening took place emphasising equity flows by certain kinds of foreign investors. This opening has had myriad interesting implications in terms of both microeconomics and macroeconomics. A dynamic process of change in the economy and in economic policy then came about, with a co-evolution between the system of capital controls, macroeconomic policy, and the internationalisation of firms including the emergence of Indian multinationals.Through this process, de facto openness has risen sharply. De facto openness has implied a loss of monetary policy autonomy when exchange rate pegging was attempted. The exchange rate regime has evolved towards greater flexibility.

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