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Projections of demand for concessional loans under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) are subject to a high degree of uncertainty. The Fund's financial support to low-income countries (LICs) is both cyclical and lumpy. Moreover, there are important structural changes underway that are likely to affect the frequency, nature, and size of Fund concessional lending. As a result, simple extrapolations from historical lending volumes are misleading. This paper reviews factors underlying historical lending trends and develops a methodology that can narrow down the range of possible longer-term demand scenarios.
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"This exciting volume presents cutting-edge developments in high frequency financial econometrics, spanning a diverse range of topics: stochastic modeling, statistical analysis of high-frequency data, models in econophysics, applications to the analysis of high-frequency data, systems and complex adaptive systems in finance, among a host of others. Written, in part, on the outgrowth of several recent conferences in the subject matter and in concert with over two-dozen experts in the field, the main purpose of the handbook is to mathematically illustrate the fundamental implementation of high-frequency models in the banking and financial industries, both at home and abroad, through use of real-world, time-sensitive applications. By using examples derived from consulting projects, current research and course instruction, each chapter in the book offers a systematic understanding of the recent advances in high-frequency modeling related to real-world situations. Every effort is made to present a balanced treatment between theory and practice, as well as to showcase how accuracy and efficiency in implementing various methods can be used as indispensable tools. To by-pass tedious computation, software illustrations are presented in an assortment of packages, ranging from R, C++, EXCEL-VBA, Minitab, to JMP/SAS. Shedding light on some of the most relevant open questions in the analysis of high-frequency data, this volume will be of interest to graduate students, researchers and industry professionals"--
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Projections of demand for concessional loans under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) are subject to a high degree of uncertainty. The Fund's financial support to low-income countries (LICs) is both cyclical and lumpy. Moreover, there are important structural changes underway that are likely to affect the frequency, nature, and size of Fund concessional lending. As a result, simple extrapolations from historical lending volumes are misleading. This paper reviews factors underlying historical lending trends and develops a methodology that can narrow down the range of possible longer-term demand scenarios.
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Why do some sellers set nominal prices that apparently do not respond to changes in the aggregate price level? In many models, prices are sticky by assumption; here it is a result. We use search theory, with two consequences: prices are set in dollars, since money is the medium of exchange; and equilibrium implies a nondegenerate price distribution. When the money supply increases, some sellers may keep prices constant, earning less per unit but making it up on volume, so profit stays constant. The calibrated model matches price-change data well. But, in contrast with other sticky-price models, money is neutral.
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Economics --- Econometric models --- Methodology
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The book's comprehensive coverage on the application of econometric methods to empirical analysis of economic issues is impressive. It uncovers the missing link between textbooks on economic theory and econometrics and highlights the powerful connection between economic theory and empirical analysis perfectly through examples on rigorous experimental design. The use of data sets for estimation derived with the Monte Carlo method helps facilitate the understanding of the role of hypothesis testing applied to economic models. Topics covered in the book are: consumer behavior, producer
Economics --- Methodology. --- Econometric models.
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Handbook of Empirical Economics and Finance explores the latest developments in the analysis and modeling of economic and financial data. Well-recognized econometric experts discuss the rapidly growing research in economics and finance and offer insight on the future direction of these fields. Focusing on micro models, the first group of chapters describes the statistical issues involved in the analysis of econometric models with cross-sectional data often arising in microeconomics. The book then illustrates time series models that are extensively used in empirical macroeconomics and finance.
Econometrics. --- Finance --- Econometric models.
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Corporations --- Econometrics --- Finance --- Valuation --- Econometric models --- Econometric models
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This paper proposes a temporary modification of the current guidelines for allocation of currencies used for transfers in the Financial Transactions Plan (FTP). This temporary modification is designed to promote fair burden sharing between NAB participants that have bilateral borrowing agreements or note purchase agreements (hereafter referred to as 'bilateral agreements') and participants that do not have such agreements, and would result in a change from the current approach only for those FTP members that are NAB participants. It is proposed that the current guidelines for allocation of currencies used for transfers be reinstated automatically for all FTP members when all pre-NAB bilateral agreements have been terminated and when any imbalances in NAB positions resulting from the folding in of claims under bilateral agreements have been eliminated, or at an earlier date as decided by the Executive Board.
Debt. --- Debt relief --- Econometric models.
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