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2009 (5)

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Book
Does Good Financial Performance Mean Good Financial Intermediation in China?
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451917457 1462399150 1451873174 9786612843839 1282843834 145270466X Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Chinese banks generate large profits and have relatively low nonperforming loans. However, good financial performance does not, in itself, guarantee that banks efficiently intermediate the economy's financial resources. This paper first examines how efficient Chinese banks are in financial intermediation, using the stochastic production frontier approach. Quality of loans are controlled for by focusing on net loans and correcting for nonperforming loans; Hong Kong SAR banks are included in the sample to have a more universally representative production frontier. The results suggest that Chinese banks indeed became more efficient during 2001-07. Nevertheless, a majority of banks remain quite inefficient, including several large state owned banks and many city banks. Large banks tend to hoard deposits and operate beyond the point of diminishing returns to scale, while smaller banks operate at increasing returns to scale. This suggests that reallocating deposits from large to smaller banks would increase overall efficiency. The paper finds no significant correlation between bank efficiency and profitability. Possible factors leading to large profits in the banking system, despite wide-spread inefficiencies, are low deposit interest rates, large interest margins, and high market concentration. Moving to indirect monetary policy and deepening capital markets to channel some of the savings to productive investment would help improve the efficiency of financial intermediation. This may spur loan growth, however, which will need to be handled with monetary policy and regulatory/supervisory tools.


Book
Republic of Estonia : Financial System Stability Assessment.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455239011 1452783780 1280889853 145187975X 9786613731166 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents key findings of the Financial System Stability Assessment of the Republic of Estonia. The Estonian financial sector is highly concentrated and foreign owned. Financial indicators suggest a sound banking sector, and show particular strength in asset quality and earnings. The paper reveals that the Estonian banking sector has significant vulnerabilities from its real-estate lending. The rapid expansion of the banking sector has been funded, to a large extent, by short-term foreign borrowing from parent banks, making Estonia vulnerable to a disruption in international financial markets.


Book
Institutional Factors and Financial Sector Development : Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1451918194 1462319432 1282844520 1452707677 9786612844522 1451874049 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The paper assesses the effects of certain institutional factors on financial sector development in Sub- Saharan Africa (SSA). Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is applied to determine the extent to which these institutions affect the financial sector, and to suggest which institutions play a more critical role in each country. Results suggest that institutional factors affect financial depth and access to financial services more than asset quality and profitability (measured by nonperforming loans (NPL) and return on equity (ROE). The results also suggest that depth of credit information has the strongest influence on the NPL ratio, and political stability affects access the most. Based on model findings, policy implications on prioritizing institutional reforms to enhance financial sector development are suggested for individual countries and for country groups.


Book
Estimating Default Frequencies and Macrofinancial Linkages in the Mexican Banking Sector
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451916868 1462364853 1451872569 1282843249 9786612843242 1452750076 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The credit risk measures we develop in this paper are used to investigate macrofinancial linkages in the Mexican banking system. Domestic and external macro-financial variables are found to be closely associated with banking soundness. At the aggregate level, high external volatility and domestic interest rates are associated with higher expected default probability. Though results vary substantially across individual banks, domestic activity and U.S. growth, and higher asset prices, are generally associated with lower credit risks, while increased volatility worsens credit risks. The expected default probability is also found to be a leading indicator of traditional financial stability indicators.


Book
Bhutan : 2009 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Staff Supplement; and Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion.
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ISBN: 1462351492 1452748497 1280891319 9786613732620 1451877838 Year: 2009 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This 2009 Article IV Consultation highlights that Bhutan’s fiscal policy has been anchored by keeping current spending below domestic revenue. Bhutan’s large and volatile trade deficits have been offset by sizable foreign aid flows, resulting in a balance of payments (BOP) surplus and reserve accumulation. The BOP surplus has averaged about 8 percent of GDP over the last few years. Executive Directors have commended the authorities for the strong economic performance anchored by hydropower sector development, and supported by prudent economic management, firm donor support, and political stability.

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