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The Macroeconomic Impact of Healthcare Financing Alternatives : Reform Options for Hong Kong SAR.
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ISBN: 1462394124 1451993331 1283511819 9786613824264 1451994303 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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With much healthcare publicly funded, Hong Kong's rapidly aging population will significant raise fiscal pressure over coming decades. We ask what the implications are of meeting these costs by public funding, or private funding voluntarily or through mandates. Our simulations suggest that without early reform, these costs quickly become unsustainable. Prefunding is key. Whether this is done through the public system or through mandatory private provision is less important. Voluntary schemes are likely to result in insufficient savings without tax incentives. Even then, voluntary accounts are unlikely to yield better macroeconomic outcomes, while mandates tend to produce more equitable consumption.


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Hong Kong SAR Economic Integration with the Pearl River Delta
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462328547 1451991312 1283511525 1451996322 9786613823977 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Hong Kong SAR's economic integration with the Mainland has primarily taken place in the Pearl River Delta (PRD). Taking stock of integration trends, this paper discusses key implications for ensuring economic benefits of further integration are sustained and associated costs minimized. Besides further investments in infrastructure, Hong Kong SAR's role as a producers services and finance hub will depend on frictionless movements of goods, services, people and know-how, requiring policy coordination to further promote trade and investment and developing a common human skills base with the PRD. Regional cooperation will also be needed to minimize the costs of rising levels of cross-border pollution.


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The Impact of Introducing a Minimum Wage on Business Cycle Volatility : A Structural Analysis for Hong Kong SAR.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462351743 1452780358 1283511800 9786613824257 1451996330 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We study the impact of a minimum wage on business cycle volatility, depending upon its coverage and adjustment mechanism. As with other small open economies, Hong Kong SAR is vulnerable to external shocks, with its exchange rate regime precluding active monetary policy. Adjustment to past shocks has relied on flexible domestic prices. We find that a minimum wage affecting 20 percent of employees would amplify output volatility by 0.2 percent to 9.2 percent, and employment volatility by ?1.2 percent to 7.8 percent. A fixed wage or indexation to consumption price inflation increases volatility most. Indexation to wage inflation or unit labor cost growth is preferable, largely preserving labor market flexibility.


Book
Volatility Spillovers and Contagion from Mature to Emerging Stock Markets
Authors: --- --- ---
ISBN: 1462382010 1451983247 1283517566 9786613830012 145199835X Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets and tests for changes in the transmission mechanism-contagion-during turbulences in mature markets. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK models of returns in global (mature), regional, and local markets are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs), with a dummy capturing parameter shifts during turbulent episodes. LR tests suggest that mature markets influence conditional variances in many emerging markets. Moreover, spillover parameters change during turbulent episodes. Conditional variances in most EMEs rise during these episodes, but there is only limited evidence of shifts in conditional correlations between mature and emerging markets.


Book
An Analysis of So-Called Export-led Growth
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ISBN: 1451915314 1451992327 1451870787 1282841718 9786612841712 1462339646 Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/220 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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The stylized fact that strong economic growth is usually accompanied with strong export growth leads many people to conclude that the export sector is the main driving force behind those episodes. The model in this paper, however, shows that the non-tradable sector may also generate high economic growth together with high export growth. Evidence shows that out of 71 "so-called" export-led growth episodes, only 37 of them are consistent with the "exports driving growth" hypothesis. Most of the remaining episodes (24 cases) experienced significant real exchange rate depreciation and are more likely to be characterized by "growth driving exports".


Book
Hong Kong SAR as a Financial Center for Asia : Trends and Implications
Authors: ---
ISBN: 146239213X 1452763216 1283512491 1451913729 9786613824943 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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We document Hong Kong SAR's evolving role as an international financial center in the Asia region, the importance of the growing special link with China as well as supply-side advantages, and outline the scope for future financial services growth. Hong Kong SAR has a long established track record as Asia's premier center for cross-border financial transactions. Further financial opening of China is likely to consolidate Hong Kong SAR's leading position as Asia's international financial center over the medium term. However, preserving Hong Kong SAR's first-mover advantage in the long-term calls for a development strategy that balances reaping the benefits from the special China role with the need to transcend into a truly international center in the long run.


Book
People's Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region : Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes—FATF Recommendations for Anti-Money Laundering and Combating the Financing of Terrorism.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455261181 1452771669 1280920262 9786613742445 145198894X Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This report on the Observance of Standards and Codes on the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) on money laundering (ML) recommendations discusses antimoney laundering and combating the financing of terrorism for the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Hong Kong has a good legal structure to combat ML and terrorist financing (TF). The laundering of drug proceeds has declined and is increasingly derived from trafficking for domestic use. Hong Kong has implemented the provisions of the Vienna and Palermo Conventions, but shortcomings exist in implementation of the Terrorist Financing Convention.


Book
Mauritius : Selected Issues.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455288357 1452785740 1280882654 1451983948 9786613723963 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This Selected Issues paper assesses the external competitiveness of Mauritius over the period 1980–2007, with particular attention to the most recent years. The paper estimates the equilibrium real exchange rate using the macroeconomic balance approach, the single-equation equilibrium exchange rate approach, and the capital-enhanced equilibrium exchange rate approach. A wealth of structural competitiveness indicators are also analyzed. The findings indicate that the real exchange rate at the end of 2007 was broadly in line with its equilibrium value.


Book
People’s Republic of China : Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: Selected Issues.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455298514 1452706077 1280886188 9786613727497 1451988117 Year: 2008 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Hong Kong, like other city financial centers, has a high private saving rate. This paper seeks to understand what the principal drivers of saving and investment in financial centers are. Cyclical frequency changes affecting international financial and trade linkages are key drivers of saving and investment fluctuations in Hong Kong. Hong Kong has a long-established track-record as Asia’s premier center for cross-border financial transactions. Its preeminence derives from its special link with Mainland China, with respect to foreign direct investment flows.


Book
Financial Integration and Risk-Adjusted Growth Opportunities
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1451914407 146239616X 9786612840807 1282840800 145186986X 1452707715 Year: 2008 Volume: WP/08/126 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper documents the evolution of measures of financial integration for major advanced and emerging markets economies, assesses whether advances in integration have had a significant positive impact on countries' risk-adjusted growth opportunities, and identifies some of the channels through which financial integration may foster growth. Three main results obtain. First, financial integration has progressed significantly worldwide, particularly in emerging markets, and regional integration has advanced at the fastest pace in Europe. Second, a country's speed of integration predicts future country's risk-adjusted growth opportunities, while improved risk-adjusted growth opportunities predict future advances in integration, indicating that the countries whose integration has been faster may have benefited most from a virtuous dynamics in which financial integration and improved real prospects are mutually reinforcing. Third, financial integration predicts globalization but the reverse does not necessarily hold, while advances in financial integration predict advances in financial development and improvements in the liquidity of equity markets.

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