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The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) relies on the Enrollee Health Care Projection Model (EHCPM) to project veteran enrollment, enrolled veterans' use of health care services, and the cost of providing those services. Senior VA leadership and regional leadership of the VA's Veterans Integrated Service Networks (VISNs) use projections produced by the model to understand the dynamics of demand for health care services in the VISN service delivery areas and to plan the VA's appropriation request. There is also interest in using the model as a platform for a variety of strategic planning and policy analysis activities. This evaluation of the EHCPM examines its accuracy and validity, identifies potential model enhancements, and assesses the risks and benefits posed by the VA's reliance on the model for budgeting and planning.

Veterans --- Medical care --- Costs --- Forecasting. --- United States. --- Appropriations and expenditures.