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This note analyzes the medium- and long-term prospects of the hydrocarbon sector as a source of growth. Substantial hydrocarbon and financial reserves implies a sizable upward shift in the sustainable expenditure path. Rather than suggesting a specific fiscal rule, four simple alternatives are simulated and their implications assessed in terms of the overall non-oil balance. Comparing cross-country experiences with the current set up in Equatorial Guinea and statistical data on economic indices of Guinea have also been presented in the paper.

Hydrocarbons --- Fiscal policy --- Natural resources --- Petroleum industry and trade --- Energy industries --- Oil industries --- National resources --- Resources, Natural --- Resource-based communities --- Resource curse --- Tax policy --- Taxation --- Economic policy --- Finance, Public --- Organic compounds --- Economic aspects --- Government policy --- Equatorial Guinea --- Ækvatorialguinea --- Äquatoriaal-Guinea --- Äquatorialguinea --- Äquatorioal Guinea --- Beaivvedási Guinea --- Cemajan Gine --- Ce̳majan Gine ka Fasojamana --- Chawpipacha Khiniya --- Chawpipacha Khiniya Republika --- Chhiah-tō Guinea --- Chhiah-tō Guinea Kiōng-hô-kok --- Chi dao ji nei ya gong he guo --- Chidao Jineiya --- Chidao Jineiya Gongheguo --- Cộng hòa Guinea Xích Đạo --- Dēmokratia tēs Isēmerinēs Gouineas --- Egyenlítői-Guinea --- Egyenlítői-Guinea-i Köztársaság --- Ekuator Ginii︠a︡ --- Ėkuator Guinei︠a︡ta --- Ėkuator Guinei︠a︡tyn Respublikata --- Ekuatore Ginea --- Ekuatore Gineako Errepublika --- Ėkvataryi︠a︡lʹnai︠a︡ Hvinei︠a︡ --- Ekvator Ginesi --- Ekvator Ginesi Cumhuriyeti --- Ekvatora Gvineo --- Ekvatorguinea --- Ekvatorgvinea Respubliko --- Ekvatoriaal-Ginea --- Ekvatoriaal-Ginea Vabariik --- Ekvatoriaal-Guinea --- Ekvatoriaal-Guinea Vabariik --- Ekvatorial-Guinea --- Ekvatorial Gvineya --- Ekvatorial Qvineya --- Ekvatoriālā Gvineja --- Ekvatoriālās Gvinejas Republika --- Ekvatorialguinea --- Ekvatorialna Gvinei︠a︡ --- Ekvatorialna Gvineja --- Ekvatorialʹna Hvinei︠a︡ --- Ėkvatorialʹnai︠a︡ Gvinei︠a︡ --- Ekvatorijalna Gvineja --- Ekvatorli Gvineya --- Ekvatorli Gvineya Respublikasi --- Ekvatorska Gvineja --- Ekvatuorė Gvinėjė --- Ekwatoriaal-Guinee --- Ekwatoryal Gini --- Equatoral Gini --- Equatorala Guinea --- Equatoriaal-Guinea --- Equatoriaal Guinee --- Equatorialguinea --- Equatoriaol Hunea --- Ghuine Mheánchiorclach --- Ghuine Mheánchriosach --- Gine ekwateryal --- Gine-Ekwatorial --- Gineang Ekwatoryal --- Ginëe tî Ekuatëre --- Gineg yamoo --- Gineya Ekwatori --- Gineya Ekwatoriyale --- Gînêya Rojbendî --- Gini Mheadhan-Chriosach --- Gíní Nahasdzáán Ałníiʼgi Siʼánígíí --- Guiné Equatorial --- Guinê èquatoriâla --- Guinea Aequatorensis --- Guinea Alágedeméjì --- Guinea Chryss ny Cruinney --- Guinea Ecuadoriale --- Guinea Ecuatorial --- Guinea Equatoriâ --- Guinea, Equatorial --- Guinea Equatorial --- Guinèa Eqüatoriala --- Guinea Equatoriale --- Guinea Equaturiala --- Guinea Gyhydeddol --- Guinea Katulistiwa --- Guinea Khatulistiwa --- Guinea Tlahcotlālticpac --- Guinea Xích Đạo --- Guinea ya Ikweta --- Guinée équatoriale --- Guineea Ecuatorială --- Guineja Ekuatoriale --- Guineyang Ekwatoryal --- Guinia Ecuaturiali --- Gweriniaeth Guinea Gyhydeddol --- Gwinea Ekwatorjali --- Gwinea Równikowa --- Gyni Ekwadoriel --- Ikweetiga Guinea --- Isēmerinē Gouinea --- Jamhuri ya Guinea ya Ikweta --- Jamhuuriyadda Ikweetiga Guinea --- Kveatora-Gineyän --- Lýðveldi Ekvatorguinea --- Miðbaugs-Gínea --- Orílẹ̀-èdè Olómìnira ilẹ̀ Guinea ti Alágedeméjì --- Päiväntasaajan Guinea --- Päiväntasaajan Guinean tasavalta --- Pobblaght Ghuinea Chryss ny Cruinney --- Pusiaujo Gvinėja --- Pusiaujo Gvinėjos Respublika --- Repoblek Gyni Ekwadoriel --- Repubblica della Guinea Equatoriale --- Republic of Equatorial Guinea --- Républica da Guiné Equatorial --- República de Guinea Ecuatorial --- Republica Guineea Ecuatorială --- Republiek Equatoriaal-Guinea --- Republik Äquatorialguinea --- Republik Guinea Katulistiwa --- Republik Guinea Khatulistiwa --- Republika Ekvatorialna Gvinei︠a︡ --- Republika Ekvatorialna Gvineja --- Republika Ekvatorijalna Gvineja --- Republika Ekvatorska Gvineja --- Republika Gwinei Równikowej --- Republika ng Equatorial Guinea --- Republika Rovníková Guinea --- Republika Rovníkovej Guiney --- Republiken Ekvatorialguinea --- Republíki ya Gine-Ekwatorial --- Republikken Ekvatorial-Guinea --- République de Guinée équatoriale --- Respublika Ekvatorialʹna Hvinei︠a︡ --- Respublika Ėkvatorialʹnai︠a︡ Gvinei︠a︡ --- Rovníková Guinea --- Sekidō Ginia --- Sekidō Ginia Kyōwakoku --- Tlācatlahtohcāyōtl Guinea Tlahcotlālticpac --- Δημοκρατια της Ισημερινης Γουινεας --- Ισημερινη Γουινεα --- Республика Экваториальная Гвинея --- Республіка Екваторіальна Гвінея --- Република Екваторска Гвинеја --- Република Екваториална Гвинея --- Република Екваторијална Гвинеја --- Экуатор Гуинеята --- Экуатор Гуинеятын Республиката --- Экватарыяльная Гвінея --- Экваториальная Гвинея --- Екуатор Гиния --- Екваторска Гвинеја --- Екваториална Гвинея --- Екваторијална Гвинеја --- Екваторіальна Гвінея --- 赤道ギニア --- 赤道ギニア共和国 --- 赤道幾內亞 --- 赤道幾內亞共和國 --- 赤道几内亚 --- Spanish Guinea --- Economic policy. --- Economic conditions --- Budgeting --- Investments: Energy --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Natural Resources --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Fiscal Policy --- Energy: General --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- Business Taxes and Subsidies --- Public finance & taxation --- Investment & securities --- Environmental management --- Budgeting & financial management --- Expenditure --- Oil --- Budget planning and preparation --- Oil, gas and mining taxes --- Commodities --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Taxes --- Expenditures, Public --- Budget --- Equatorial Guinea, Republic of