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This paper examines the design of economic policies using factor analysis, which has several advantages; in particular, it limits the problems that typically arise from the high correlation of economic policy indicators, it helps in identifying clusters of economic policy, and it facilitates the derivation of policy design indicators that represent the pace and sequence of economic policies. Econometric results show that the introduction of sound economic policies has both level effects and growth effects, suggesting it is necessary to exercise caution when assessing a country's growth prospects immediately following the introduction of new policies. In addition, the results suggest that growth strengthens when a country implements policies that outpace either a notional measure of "world average policies" or a country's own policy trend, and highlight the critical role played by macroeconomic vis-à-vis microeconomic policies. The latter also reveals the existence of sequencing factors in policy implementation; for example, trade liberalization and financial liberalization positively affect growth, but more so if economic stability and fiscal sustainability have been secured.
Econometrics --- Macroeconomics --- Classification Methods --- Cluster Analysis --- Principal Components --- Factor Models --- Fiscal Policy --- Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy --- Stabilization --- Treasury Policy --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Factor models --- Fiscal stabilization --- Fiscal sustainability --- Structural reforms --- Fiscal stance --- Fiscal policy --- Econometric models --- Zimbabwe
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This paper focuses on euro area policies. The monetary policy stance remains appropriate for now. Fiscal policies are falling well short of consolidation requirements, and the area remains insufficiently prepared for the looming demographic shock. Past fiscal policy failures, notably insufficient adjustment during economic upswings, have strained the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) and EMU’s fiscal framework. IMF staff has welcomed certain elements of flexibility in the SGP reforms while regretting the vagueness and open-endedness of others. Center-led structural reform programs have struggled to deliver.
Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Industries: Financial Services --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Energy: Demand and Supply --- Prices --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Fiscal Policy --- Labor Economics: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Finance --- Oil prices --- Structural reforms --- Employment --- Macrostructural analysis --- Price stabilization --- Fiscal policy --- Labor economics --- Economic theory --- Germany --- Income economics
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This paper discusses the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper—Preparation Status Report for Dominica. The paper discusses that the government of the Commonwealth of Dominica has advanced its sectoral strategy to enhance growth in several dimensions. With technical assistance from the World Bank, the government has been reviewing its Electricity Supply Act to modify it and allow the exploitation of geothermal energy, which potentially can be exported to neighboring islands. The government has also made progress in the area of social protection.
Poverty --- Destitution --- Wealth --- Basic needs --- Begging --- Poor --- Subsistence economy --- Government policy --- International Monetary Fund --- Internationaal monetair fonds --- International monetary fund --- Macroeconomics --- Social Services and Welfare --- Government Policy --- Provision and Effects of Welfare Program --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Social welfare & social services --- Poverty reduction strategy --- Structural reforms --- Macrostructural analysis --- Dominica
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This 2005 Article IV Consultation for Samoa reports that the combination of sound economic management and structural reform had led to robust growth, low inflation, sound public finances, and a comfortable external position. With continued commitment to sound macroeconomic and reform policies, Samoa became one of the best managed economies in the Pacific Island region. The level of public debt has steadily declined from more than 90 percent to about 50 percent. Samoa also made progress toward the Millennium Development Goals.
Budgeting --- Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Trade: General --- Remittances --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Budgeting & financial management --- International economics --- Labour --- income economics --- Budget planning and preparation --- Wage adjustments --- Exports --- Imports --- Public financial management (PFM) --- International trade --- Balance of payments --- Budget --- Wages --- International finance --- American Samoa --- Income economics
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A rules-based fiscal framework, such as the EU’s Stability and Growth Pact (SGP), can be an important bulwark against short-sighted policies. Although policies have improved following the SGP’s adoption, shortcomings remain. These, however, are rooted in the policies rather than the rules, where few changes seem necessary. Specifically, the Excessive Deficit Procedure needs a stronger focus on policies rather than outcomes, while staying operationally simple and transparent. Furthermore, reforms are needed to foster time-consistent national policies, budgetary transparency, and ownership of the Pact. Accordingly, parliaments should debate national Stability Programs and national fiscal councils should review these programs for parliaments.
Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Data Processing --- Policy Objectives --- Policy Designs and Consistency --- Policy Coordination --- Fiscal Policy --- National Budget, Deficit, and Debt: General --- Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology --- Computer Programs: General --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Data capture & analysis --- Fiscal policy --- Data processing --- Fiscal governance --- Fiscal rules --- Structural reforms --- Economic and financial statistics --- Macrostructural analysis --- Electronic data processing --- Greece
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La edición en Internet del Boletín del FMI, que se actualiza varias veces a la semana, contiene numerosos artículos sobre temas de actualidad en el ámbito de las políticas y la economía. Consulte las últimas investigaciones del FMI, lea entrevistas y escuche podcasts de los principales economistas del FMI sobre importantes temas relacionados con la economía mundial. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx.
Actuarial Studies --- Debt Management --- Debt --- Debts, Public --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial sector development --- Financial services industry --- Financial soundness indicators --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Insurance & actuarial studies --- Insurance Companies --- Insurance --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Pensions --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Revenue administration --- Revenue --- Sovereign Debt --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- India
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L’édition web du Bulletin du FMI est mise à jour plusieurs fois par semaine et contient de nombreux articles sur des questions de politique générale et de politique économique d'actualité. Accédez aux dernières recherches du FMI, lisez des interviews et écoutez des podcasts proposés par les principaux économistes du FMI sur des questions importantes de l'économie mondiale. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx.
Actuarial Studies --- Debt Management --- Debt --- Debts, Public --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial sector development --- Financial services industry --- Financial soundness indicators --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Insurance & actuarial studies --- Insurance Companies --- Insurance --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Pensions --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Revenue administration --- Revenue --- Sovereign Debt --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- India
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This paper studies the apparent contradictions between two strands of the literature on the effects of financial intermediation on economic activity. On the one hand, the empirical growth literature finds a positive effect of financial depth as measured by, for instance, private domestic credit and liquid liabilities. On the other hand, the banking and currency crisis literature finds that monetary aggregates, such as domestic credit, are among the best predictors of crises and their related economic downturns. This paper accounts for these contrasting effects based on the distinction between the short- and long-run effects of financial intermediation.
Banks and banking. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Financial crises. --- Financial services industry. --- Banks and Banking --- Finance: General --- Financial Risk Management --- Macroeconomics --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development --- Economic Development: Financial Markets --- Saving and Capital Investment --- Corporate Finance and Governance --- Financial Crises --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Finance --- Financial crises --- Systemic crises --- Banking crises --- Financial sector development --- Production growth --- Financial markets --- Production --- Financial services industry --- Economic theory --- Congo, Democratic Republic of the
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This paper discusses the experience of the EU's eight new member countries (EU8) between 1995 and 2003 when the bulk of capital account liberalization took place, focusing on interest-rate-sensitive portfolio flows and financial flows. It takes stock of the lessons from capital flow patterns to draw policy conclusions. There were two distinct groups in terms of the speed of capital account liberalization: rapid liberalizers and cautious liberalizers. The speed of disinflation and the level of public debt were major determinants of the size of interest-rate-sensitive portfolio inflows. Monetary and exchange rate policies were the main instruments used to react to large interest-sensitive inflows, whereas fiscal tightening was seldom used as a direct reaction to inflows.
Capital movements -- European Union countries. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Fiscal policy -- European Union countries. --- Foreign exchange administration -- European Union countries. --- Monetary policy -- European Union countries. --- Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Current Account Adjustment --- Short-term Capital Movements --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- International economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Capital account liberalization --- Capital flows --- Capital account --- Capital inflows --- Balance of payments --- Capital movements --- Hungary --- Monetary policy --- Foreign exchange administration --- Fiscal policy
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This paper reviews central bank legislation in 24 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean during the 1990s. Using panel regressions, we find a negative relationship between legal central bank independence (CBI) and inflation. This result holds for three alternative measures of CBI and after controlling for international inflation, banking crises, and exchange regimes. The result is also robust to the inclusion of a broader indicator of structural reforms that usually go along with changes in central bank legislation, illustrating the complementary nature of various aspects of economic reform. The paper fails, however, to find a causal relationship running from CBI to inflation.
Banks and banking, Central -- Caribbean Area. --- Banks and banking, Central -- Latin America. --- Electronic books. -- local. --- Inflation (Finance) -- Caribbean Area. --- Inflation (Finance) -- Latin America. --- Banks and Banking --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Institutions and the Macroeconomy --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Banking --- Public finance & taxation --- Central bank autonomy --- Structural reforms --- Legal support in revenue administration --- Prices --- Banks and banking --- Revenue --- Ecuador --- Banks and banking, Central --- Inflation (Finance)
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