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Book
Pace and Sequencing of Economic Policies
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ISBN: 1462334695 1452724946 1282448102 9786613821294 1451906730 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines the design of economic policies using factor analysis, which has several advantages; in particular, it limits the problems that typically arise from the high correlation of economic policy indicators, it helps in identifying clusters of economic policy, and it facilitates the derivation of policy design indicators that represent the pace and sequence of economic policies. Econometric results show that the introduction of sound economic policies has both level effects and growth effects, suggesting it is necessary to exercise caution when assessing a country's growth prospects immediately following the introduction of new policies. In addition, the results suggest that growth strengthens when a country implements policies that outpace either a notional measure of "world average policies" or a country's own policy trend, and highlight the critical role played by macroeconomic vis-à-vis microeconomic policies. The latter also reveals the existence of sequencing factors in policy implementation; for example, trade liberalization and financial liberalization positively affect growth, but more so if economic stability and fiscal sustainability have been secured.


Book
Euro Area Policies : Staff Report.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455272310 1452732329 1280891696 145187992X 9786613733009 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper focuses on euro area policies. The monetary policy stance remains appropriate for now. Fiscal policies are falling well short of consolidation requirements, and the area remains insufficiently prepared for the looming demographic shock. Past fiscal policy failures, notably insufficient adjustment during economic upswings, have strained the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) and EMU’s fiscal framework. IMF staff has welcomed certain elements of flexibility in the SGP reforms while regretting the vagueness and open-endedness of others. Center-led structural reform programs have struggled to deliver.


Book
Dominica : Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper: Preparation Status Report.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455283428 1452740402 1280889020 9786613730336 1451879253 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper discusses the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper—Preparation Status Report for Dominica. The paper discusses that the government of the Commonwealth of Dominica has advanced its sectoral strategy to enhance growth in several dimensions. With technical assistance from the World Bank, the government has been reviewing its Electricity Supply Act to modify it and allow the exploitation of geothermal energy, which potentially can be exported to neighboring islands. The government has also made progress in the area of social protection.


Book
Samoa : Staff Report of the 2005 Article IV Consultation.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1455281220 1452702950 1281130850 9786613776501 145188981X Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This 2005 Article IV Consultation for Samoa reports that the combination of sound economic management and structural reform had led to robust growth, low inflation, sound public finances, and a comfortable external position. With continued commitment to sound macroeconomic and reform policies, Samoa became one of the best managed economies in the Pacific Island region. The level of public debt has steadily declined from more than 90 percent to about 50 percent. Samoa also made progress toward the Millennium Development Goals.


Book
Reforming the Stability and Growth Pact
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462380484 1452719063 1451975481 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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A rules-based fiscal framework, such as the EU’s Stability and Growth Pact (SGP), can be an important bulwark against short-sighted policies. Although policies have improved following the SGP’s adoption, shortcomings remain. These, however, are rooted in the policies rather than the rules, where few changes seem necessary. Specifically, the Excessive Deficit Procedure needs a stronger focus on policies rather than outcomes, while staying operationally simple and transparent. Furthermore, reforms are needed to foster time-consistent national policies, budgetary transparency, and ownership of the Pact. Accordingly, parliaments should debate national Stability Programs and national fiscal councils should review these programs for parliaments.


Book
Calendario.
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ISBN: 1463985789 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

La edición en Internet del Boletín del FMI, que se actualiza varias veces a la semana, contiene numerosos artículos sobre temas de actualidad en el ámbito de las políticas y la economía. Consulte las últimas investigaciones del FMI, lea entrevistas y escuche podcasts de los principales economistas del FMI sobre importantes temas relacionados con la economía mundial. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx.


Book
Calendrier.
Author:
ISBN: 1463918380 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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L’édition web du Bulletin du FMI est mise à jour plusieurs fois par semaine et contient de nombreux articles sur des questions de politique générale et de politique économique d'actualité. Accédez aux dernières recherches du FMI, lisez des interviews et écoutez des podcasts proposés par les principaux économistes du FMI sur des questions importantes de l'économie mondiale. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx.


Book
Financial Development, Financial Fragility, and Growth
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462331661 145273805X 1283518589 1451907257 9786613831033 1451861893 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper studies the apparent contradictions between two strands of the literature on the effects of financial intermediation on economic activity. On the one hand, the empirical growth literature finds a positive effect of financial depth as measured by, for instance, private domestic credit and liquid liabilities. On the other hand, the banking and currency crisis literature finds that monetary aggregates, such as domestic credit, are among the best predictors of crises and their related economic downturns. This paper accounts for these contrasting effects based on the distinction between the short- and long-run effects of financial intermediation.


Book
Capital Account Liberalization, Capital Flow Patterns, and Policy Responses in the EU's New Member States
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462314503 145274713X 1283516543 9786613828996 1451907680 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper discusses the experience of the EU's eight new member countries (EU8) between 1995 and 2003 when the bulk of capital account liberalization took place, focusing on interest-rate-sensitive portfolio flows and financial flows. It takes stock of the lessons from capital flow patterns to draw policy conclusions. There were two distinct groups in terms of the speed of capital account liberalization: rapid liberalizers and cautious liberalizers. The speed of disinflation and the level of public debt were major determinants of the size of interest-rate-sensitive portfolio inflows. Monetary and exchange rate policies were the main instruments used to react to large interest-sensitive inflows, whereas fiscal tightening was seldom used as a direct reaction to inflows.


Book
Any Link Between Legal Central Bank Independence and Inflation? Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462380107 1452744114 1283513722 9786613826176 1451906307 Year: 2005 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper reviews central bank legislation in 24 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean during the 1990s. Using panel regressions, we find a negative relationship between legal central bank independence (CBI) and inflation. This result holds for three alternative measures of CBI and after controlling for international inflation, banking crises, and exchange regimes. The result is also robust to the inclusion of a broader indicator of structural reforms that usually go along with changes in central bank legislation, illustrating the complementary nature of various aspects of economic reform. The paper fails, however, to find a causal relationship running from CBI to inflation.

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