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Optimal long-run fiscal policy: constraints, preferences and the resolution of uncertainty.
Authors: ---
Year: 2002 Publisher: Cambridge National Bureau Of Economic Research. Working Paper Nr. 9132

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Book
Optimal Long-Run Fiscal Policy : Constraints, Preferences and the Resolution of Uncertainty
Authors: --- ---
Year: 2002 Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research

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Abstract

We construct a computational dynamic stochastic overlapping generations general equilibrium model with uncertain lifetimes and explore the impact of policy stickiness (specifically, a major reform will preclude future reforms for a generation) on optimal long-run fiscal policy. Under such circumstances, entitlement reforms exhaust a valuable option to move in the future. We explore the conditions under which the gain to waiting is large enough to induce optimizing policymakers to delay reforming a suboptimal system. We also allow for the uncertainty to have ARCH characteristics and explore the impact of time-varying uncertainty on the optimality of delayed policy action.

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