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This volume focuses on the area of the physics of complex systems and provides both an overview of the field and more detailed examination of those topics within the field that are currently of greatest interest to researchers. The properties of complex systems play an important role in a variety of different and overlapping areas in physics, chemistry, biology, mathematics and technology. The research field of complex systems is very broad, but this volume attempts to be comprehensive. This book is a useful reference work for researchers in this area, whether graduate students or advanced aca

Fluctuations (Physics) --- Mesoscopic phenomena (Physics) --- Nonlinear theories --- Self-organizing systems --- Stochastic processes --- System theory

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Changement climatique --- Changement des climats --- Changements climatiques --- Changes [Climatic ] --- Climat [Changement du ] --- Climat--Changements --- Climate (Uf) --- Climate change --- Climate changes --- Climatic change --- Climatic changes --- Climatic fluctuations --- Climatologie --- Climatology --- Climats [Modification des ] --- Cycles climatiques --- Fluctuations climatiques --- Global climate changes --- Global climatic changes --- Klimaatveranderingen --- Klimatologie --- Modification des climats --- Modifications climatiques --- Oscillations climatiques --- Variations climatiques --- Veranderingen [Klimaat ] --- Climatic changes. --- Climatology.

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Business cycles --- Depressions --- Cycles économiques --- Crises économiques --- Encyclopedias. --- Encyclopédies --- -Depressions --- -338.54203 --- Commercial crises --- Crises, Commercial --- Economic depressions --- Recessions --- Economic cycles --- Economic fluctuations --- Cycles --- Financial crises --- Encyclopedias --- Cycles économiques --- Crises économiques --- Encyclopédies --- Business cycles - Encyclopedias. --- Depressions - Encyclopedias.

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These Proceedings of a NATO-ARW (HTECH ARW 96 00 52) held at the International Center for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy from Aug 5 till Aug 9, 1996 resulted from many discussions between various workers, concerning the need for a gathering of all (if possible) who were concerned about the subject of superconductivity fluctuations in High critical Temperature Superconductors (HTS). It appeared to many that the Skocpol-Tinkham work of 1975 had to be revitalized in view of the discovery of the new superconducting ceramics and the enormous amount of work having already taken place. The study of HTS is one of the most prominent research subject in solid state sciences. The understanding of the role of fluctuations is also thought to be necessary before technological applications since the fluctuations may destroy the superconducting state. The workshop discussions have touched upon (i) Superconducting fluctuations in the vicinity of the critical transition, (ii) Superconductivity fluctuations near the percolation transition, and (iii) Fluctuations of the vortex lattice at the lattice melting temperature. These topics served as initiators for a very great amount of discussions with many comments from the audience. More than forty "long lectures" and two "poster sessions" were held. Private discussions going unrecorded but obviously took place at many locations : lecture halls, staircases, cafetaria, bedrooms, bars, beach, . . .

Physics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Atomic Physics --- High temperature superconductors --- Fluctuations (Physics) --- Electricity & Magnetism --- Congresses --- High-temperature superconductors --- Condensed matter. --- Optics. --- Electrodynamics. --- Materials science. --- Statistical physics. --- Dynamical systems. --- Condensed Matter Physics. --- Classical Electrodynamics. --- Characterization and Evaluation of Materials. --- Complex Systems. --- Statistical Physics and Dynamical Systems. --- Dynamical systems --- Kinetics --- Mathematics --- Mechanics, Analytic --- Force and energy --- Mechanics --- Statics --- Mathematical statistics --- Material science --- Physical sciences --- Dynamics --- Light --- Condensed materials --- Condensed media --- Condensed phase --- Materials, Condensed --- Media, Condensed --- Phase, Condensed --- Liquids --- Matter --- Solids --- Statistical methods --- Ceramic superconductors --- Fluctuations

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This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expected depreciation obtained from survey data partially takes different measures of exchange rate misalignment into consideration, expectations fail to anticipate currency crises.

Financial Risk Management --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomics --- International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions --- Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Financial Crises --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economic growth --- Real exchange rates --- Currency crises --- Cyclical indicators --- Financial crises --- Exchange rates --- Business cycles --- Thailand