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book (13)


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1997 (13)

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The synergy trap: how companies lose the acquisition game
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ISBN: 0684832550 9780684832555 Year: 1997 Publisher: New York Free Press


Book
A Provincial View of Economic Integration
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462303633 1452776520 1281961434 1451893299 9786613793621 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper develops a method of testing levels of economic integration based upon consumption smoothing, and tests it using data on trade balances across Canadian provinces. The results indicate the provinces are highly integrated within Canada, but integration between Canada and the rest of the world is partial. Provincial trade balances respond only about half as much to events in the rest of the world as they do to events within Canada. In short, national borders appear to matter for intertemporal trade.


Book
External Finance and Foreign Debt in Central and Eastern European Countries
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ISBN: 1462300456 1452782504 1282051075 9786613798527 1451900759 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

External finance can provide a positive contribution to the transition process and can enhance welfare in former centrally planned economies, especially when domestic saving has not fully recovered after the initial contraction. However, as was pointed out at the beginning of the transition process, foreign debt could exert a strong constraint on the borrowing capacity of some central and eastern European countries. This paper analyzes the determinants of net external borrowing in ten transition economies during 1990-95 and assesses the impact of the outstanding stock of foreign liabilities on net financial inflows.


Book
Monetary Frameworks : Is There a Preferred Option for the European Central Bank?
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ISBN: 1462335071 1455217506 1451972032 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper discusses how the size of the monetary union in Europe can influence the choice of the monetary framework. The main conjecture is that the European Central Bank ought to target inflation if monetary union is confined to a “core” group of countries. However, the decision on whether to target inflation or monetary aggregates is not an unambiguous one if monetary union is EU-wide; the choice of the framework will depend on the type of shocks that are likely to prevail. The arguments motivating these conjectures essentially concern the trade-offs between the viability and credibility of different monetary frameworks.


Book
Effects of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) on Taxation and Interest Spending of National Governments
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ISBN: 1462346928 1452723001 1283570602 9786613883056 1451897464 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper examines the interest spending and taxation channels through which EMU could affect the public finances. It provides a framework for examining different views on a further narrowing of interest rate differentials. A model of Blanchard and Fischer is amended to analyze the two channels, and empirical evidence on the tax harmonization process is presented. The paper argues that “high-debt” and “high-tax” countries pursuing prudent fiscal policies could benefit the most from EMU: if monetary and widespread fiscal discipline are jointly established, interest rates could decline rapidly, while tax harmonization is likely to be gradual.


Book
Experiences with Monetary Integration and Lessons for Korean Unification
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ISBN: 1462339913 1452789622 1283568721 9786613881175 1451895224 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper discusses the timing of monetary integration and supporting economic policies during a rapid and largely uncontrolled process of Korean unification. The paper concludes that the transitory use of a separate currency in each region and supporting economic policies would help limit the initial costs of unification although the extent of the eventual cost reduction would depend critically on the success of ensuing economic reforms in the North during the transition. Maintaining the competitiveness of the northern economy would need to be a primary policy objective in the case of an early introduction of a common currency.


Book
Characteristics of the Euro, the Demand for Reserves, and Policy Coordination Under EMU
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462338917 145273917X 1281345733 9786613779304 145189466X Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

The success of European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) will depend on the stability of the euro. The monetary policy framework is yet to be decided, but is likely to involve either money or inflation targeting. Stochastic simulations compare the outcomes for major macroeconomic and financial variables pre- and post-EMU under both policy rules, as well as under an inflation targeting rule that includes output. Implications for the euro as a reserve currency are examined in the light of the expected returns and covariances among reserve currencies. The role of the exchange rate as an indicator and incentives for policy coordination with other major countries are also discussed.


Book
A Model of an Optimum Currency Area
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ISBN: 1462350992 1452791635 1281383643 9786613779748 1451896115 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper investigates the circumstances under which it is beneficial to participate in a currency area. A two-country monetary model of trade with nominal rigidities encompasses the real and monetary arguments suggested by the optimum currency area literature: correlation of real shocks, international factor mobility, fiscal adjustment, openness, difference in national inflationary biases, correlation of monetary shocks, and benefits of a single currency. The effect of openness on the net benefits is ambiguous, contrary to the usual argument that more open economies are better candidates for a currency area. Countries do not necessarily agree on whether a given currency union should be created.


Book
European Monetary Union and International Capital Markets : Structural Implications and Risks
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462301576 1452758344 1281345539 9786613779106 1451894988 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the structural implications of EMU for international capital markets. It discusses the potential size of euro capital markets and the existing roles of European currencies in international capital markets. The paper also examines the euro’s impact on international securities markets, including the role of the ECB, the evolution of EMU securities markets, and aspects of systemic risk management. The implications for wholesale and retail banking markets are also discussed, as are the broader implications of the introduction of the euro for changes in international capital flows, international portfolios, and by implication exchange rates.


Book
The CFA Franc Zone and the EMU
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462322638 1452729018 1282080245 1451902514 9786613799401 Year: 1997 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Whether the prospective shift of the peg of the CFA franc to the euro would constitute an exchange rate arrangement with EMU countries would depend critically on the interpretation of the free convertibility of the CFA franc guaranteed by France. Nonetheless, this shift is likely to leave the CFA franc arrangements and operating features of the zone essentially unchanged. The current parity of the CFA franc could be considered in line with fundamentals. The potential economic consequences for the CFA franc countries could be positive over the long term, but there is a risk of a weakening of external competitiveness.

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